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Feyenoord crestFeyenoord
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Utrecht crestUtrecht

Eredivisie | Sun 20 Sep, 11:15

Feyenoord v Utrecht Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:18 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Feyenoord hosts Utrecht in an Eredivisie clash where attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities set the stage for a high-scoring encounter. Feyenoord's potent offense, averaging nearly four goals per game recently, contrasts with Utrecht's leaky defense conceding over three goals per match. Both sides have consistently featured matches with multiple goals, reflecting open play and tactical openness. Feyenoord's strong home form and Utrecht's struggles at the back create a dynamic where goals are likely, though defensive lapses add uncertainty to the outcome.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Feyenoord averages 3.8 goals scored and concedes 1.4 per game recently
  • Utrecht concedes 3.4 goals per match, indicating defensive frailty
  • Both teams have a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals this season
  • Feyenoord averages 22.2 shots with 8.4 on target per game, showing attacking volume
  • H2H average goals stand at 3.5 across last 10 meetings, supporting goal potential

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a value bet with a 58% chance against an implied 55.6%, reflecting a slight edge. Feyenoord's attacking control, combined with Utrecht's defensive struggles, supports a high-scoring game. Both teams have consistently produced matches with multiple goals, and the head-to-head average of 3.5 goals aligns with this trend. The model at 60% indicates a solid statistical basis, while the standard stake guidance reflects a balanced risk-reward profile.

Feyenoord offensive output3.8 goals/game
Strong positive
Utrecht defensive concessions3.4 goals/game
Strong positive
Both teams over 2.5 goals rate100% each
Strong positive
H2H average goals3.5 goals in last 10 matches
Positive
Model confidence60%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with Feyenoord's aggressive attack facing Utrecht's vulnerable defense, creating fertile ground for multiple goals. The statistical trends and recent form strongly suggest a high-scoring match, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling selection based on both tactical outlook and data.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match attacking dynamics and defensive vulnerabilities

“Feyenoord's relentless offensive pressure combined with Utrecht's defensive lapses sets the stage for a goal-rich encounter. The data clearly points to a match where both sides contribute to a lively scoreline.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Feyenoord averages 3.8 goals scored and concedes 1.4 per game recently

Utrecht concedes 3.4 goals per match, indicating defensive frailty

Both teams have a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals this season

Feyenoord averages 22.2 shots with 8.4 on target per game, showing attacking volume

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals tally stands at 3.5, with both sides frequently involved in high-tempo, open play leading to multiple scoring opportunities.
  • This trend over a meaningful sample supports the likelihood of a match exceeding 2.5 goals, driven by attacking intent and defensive gaps.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Feyenoord5.4
Avg corners for
Utrecht3.8
Feyenoord9
Avg total corners
Utrecht11.2
Feyenoord0.6
Avg yellow cards
Utrecht2.2
Feyenoord22.2
Avg shots
Utrecht11.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 46% · edge +10.7 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Feyenoord's average of 5.4 corners and 22.2 shots per game demonstrates sustained attacking pressure, while Utrecht's 3.8 corners and lower shot volume reflect a more defensive stance. The disparity in yellow cards, with Utrecht averaging 2.2 per game, suggests a physical contest that could influence set-piece opportunities and game flow.

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Eredivisie fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Feyenoord3.8
Avg goals scored
Utrecht2
Feyenoord1.4
Avg goals conceded
Utrecht3.4
Feyenoord80%
BTTS rate
Utrecht100%
Feyenoord100%
Over 2.5 goals
Utrecht100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 56% · edge +2.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both Feyenoord and Utrecht have consistently featured matches with multiple goals and both teams scoring, as indicated by their 100% over 2.5 goals rate and high BTTS percentages. This pattern, combined with an average of 3.5 goals in their last 10 meetings, underscores the likelihood of an open game with goals at both ends.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Utrecht Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 36%
4.8
Check odds @ 4.8
Feyenoord to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Feyenoord Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Utrecht to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
9.5
Check odds @ 9.5
The Over 3.5 Goals market is priced with a slight , reflecting the strong attacking and defensive profiles of the teams. The at 1.8 imply a 55.6% chance, while the model estimates a 58% probability, suggesting a modest but meaningful value opportunity without requiring caution on price sensitivity.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Feyenoord

WWDWD
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 0L
13 Sep 2026A PEC Zwolle7-0
05 Sep 2026A NEC Nijmegen3-1
30 Aug 2026H ADO Den Haag2-2
23 Aug 2026A Cambuur5-2
16 Aug 2026H GO Ahead Eagles2-2

Utrecht

WDLDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 3L
13 Sep 2026A Excelsior2-1
08 Sep 2026H GO Ahead Eagles3-3
30 Aug 2026H PSV Eindhoven1-6
22 Aug 2026A Sparta Rotterdam3-3
15 Aug 2026H AZ Alkmaar1-4
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
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Utrecht Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 36%
4.8
Check odds @ 4.8
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Feyenoord to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Feyenoord Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Utrecht to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
9.5
Check odds @ 9.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Feyenoord's recent form shows control with 11 points and an average of 3.8 goals scored per game, while Utrecht has struggled, earning 5 points and conceding heavily. Both teams have featured matches exceeding 2.5 goals consistently, reinforcing the expectation of a high-scoring fixture driven by current momentum and attacking output.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

8Feyenoord wins
1Draws
1Utrecht wins
08 Feb 2026Utrecht v Feyenoord0-1
05 Oct 2025Feyenoord v Utrecht3-2
12 Jan 2025Feyenoord v Utrecht1-2
27 Oct 2024Utrecht v Feyenoord0-2
31 Mar 2024Feyenoord v Utrecht4-2
20 Dec 2023Feyenoord v Utrecht2-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Feyenoord to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Utrecht to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
9.5
Check odds @ 9.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
The head-to-head record of 10 matches shows an average of 3.5 goals per game, indicating a historically open and attacking fixture between these teams. This sample size provides a solid background that aligns with the expectation of a high-scoring encounter, reinforcing the Over 3.5 Goals pick.
Season team stats

Eredivisie

Feyenoord6
Played
Utrecht6
Feyenoord3.3
Avg goals for
Utrecht1.8
Feyenoord1.2
Avg goals against
Utrecht3.2
Feyenoord2
Clean sheets
Utrecht0
Best odds for this sectionUtrecht Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 36% vs implied 21% · edge +15 pts
4.8
Check odds @ 4.8
Load more odds for this section
Feyenoord to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Feyenoord Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Utrecht to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
9.5
Check odds @ 9.5
Season-long statistics reveal Feyenoord's prolific attack and relatively solid defense, contrasted by Utrecht's porous defense conceding over 3 goals per game. Both teams maintain a 100% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, highlighting a season trend of open, goal-filled games that supports the Over 3.5 Goals selection.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Feyenoord14642013
14Utrecht56123-8
Feyenoord sits comfortably in 3rd place with 14 points, reflecting strong performance and , while Utrecht languishes near the bottom at 14th with 5 points, indicating pressure and potential defensive vulnerabilities. The standings context suggests Feyenoord's attacking will be a key factor in this matchup.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Feyenoord Over 2.5
100%Utrecht Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals tally stands at 3.5, with both sides frequently involved in high-tempo, open play leading to multiple scoring opportunities. This trend over a meaningful sample supports the likelihood of a match exceeding 2.5 goals, driven by attacking intent and defensive gaps.

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