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Philadelphia Union crestPhiladelphia Union
v
Seattle Sounders crestSeattle Sounders

Major League Soccer | Sun 26 Jul, 00:30

Philadelphia Union v Seattle Sounders Stats

Data last updated: Sat 25 Jul 2026, 05:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Philadelphia Union face Seattle Sounders in Major League Soccer on Sun 26 Jul, 00:30. Philadelphia Union have scored 11 goals across their last four league matches, while Seattle Sounders have managed only two. Seattle arrive at Subaru Park after losing four consecutive MLS fixtures and conceding 11 goals during that run.

BT4Y best bet

Philadelphia Union to win and both teams to score

  • At 11/5, Philadelphia Union to win and both teams to score implies roughly 31%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 46%.
  • A 3-1 scoreline fits Philadelphia's recent scoring pattern and Seattle's defensive frailties.
  • Philadelphia Union have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Seattle Sounders.
  • Philadelphia Union sit 14 in the table, while Seattle Sounders sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 46% for Philadelphia Union to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 31% implied by the current price. Philadelphia Union have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Seattle Sounders. A 3-1 scoreline fits Philadelphia's recent scoring pattern and Seattle's defensive frailties.

Model chance vs price46% model chance against roughly 31% implied
Strong positive
Philadelphia Union have the stronger recent points return, taking 4.Visible data support
Positive
Philadelphia Union sit 14 in the table, while Seattle Sounders.Visible data support
Positive
A 3-1 scoreline fits Philadelphia's recent scoring pattern.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Philadelphia Union Win is the preferred angle because a 3-1 scoreline fits Philadelphia's recent scoring pattern and Seattle's defensive frailties. Philadelphia Union have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Seattle Sounders. However, those fixtures have also contained plenty of attacking activity.

Main risk

However, those fixtures have also contained plenty of attacking activity.

Key Data Signals

Philadelphia Union to win and both teams to score evidence

A 3-1 scoreline fits Philadelphia's recent scoring pattern and Seattle's defensive frailties.

Philadelphia Union have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Seattle Sounders.

Seattle Sounders have the cleaner defensive sample at 2.6 conceded per match, which helps the Philadelphia Union Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Philadelphia Union sit 14 in the table, while Seattle Sounders sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Philadelphia Union to win and both teams to score notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Philadelphia Union5.4
    Avg corners for
    Seattle Sounders5
    Philadelphia Union10.4
    Avg total corners
    Seattle Sounders10.2
    Philadelphia Union2.4
    Avg yellow cards
    Seattle Sounders1
    Philadelphia Union18.8
    Avg shots
    Seattle Sounders13.6
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 58% · edge +2.3 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Philadelphia Union2.4
    Avg goals scored
    Seattle Sounders1
    Philadelphia Union2.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Seattle Sounders2.6
    Philadelphia Union100%
    BTTS rate
    Seattle Sounders60%
    Philadelphia Union80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Seattle Sounders60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickPhiladelphia Union to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 49% · edge +8 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    Philadelphia Union Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Philadelphia Union to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Philadelphia Union

    WLDLL
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 4D 4L
    23 Jul 2026H New York Red Bulls3-1
    25 May 2026A Inter Miami4-6
    17 May 2026H Columbus Crew1-1
    14 May 2026A Orlando City SC3-4
    10 May 2026A New England Revolution1-2

    Seattle Sounders

    LLLLW
    Last 51W 0D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 2D 4L
    23 Jul 2026A Austin1-3
    17 Jul 2026H Portland Timbers1-5
    25 May 2026A Los Angeles FC0-1
    17 May 2026H Los Angeles Galaxy0-2
    14 May 2026H San Jose Earthquakes3-2
    Market aligned with main pickPhiladelphia Union to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 49% · edge +8 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    Philadelphia Union Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 83%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    3Philadelphia Union wins
    2Draws
    5Seattle Sounders wins
    01 May 2024Philadelphia Union v Seattle Sounders2-3
    19 May 2019Philadelphia Union v Seattle Sounders0-0
    20 Sep 2018Seattle Sounders v Philadelphia Union0-1
    01 Oct 2017Philadelphia Union v Seattle Sounders2-0
    17 Apr 2016Seattle Sounders v Philadelphia Union2-1
    25 Jun 2015Philadelphia Union v Seattle Sounders1-0
    Market aligned with main pickPhiladelphia Union to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 49% · edge +8 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Philadelphia Union to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Major League Soccer

    Philadelphia Union18
    Played
    Seattle Sounders17
    Philadelphia Union1.4
    Avg goals for
    Seattle Sounders1.2
    Philadelphia Union1.8
    Avg goals against
    Seattle Sounders1.3
    Philadelphia Union3
    Clean sheets
    Seattle Sounders5
    Market aligned with main pickPhiladelphia Union to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 49% · edge +8 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    Philadelphia Union Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    Season data supports Philadelphia Union to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    11Seattle Sounders2417737-2
    14Philadelphia Union16184410-8
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Philadelphia Union Over 2.5
    60%Seattle Sounders Over 2.5
    2.4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Philadelphia Union sit at 80% and Seattle Sounders sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Philadelphia Union v Seattle Sounders prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Betting context

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