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Pescara crestPescara
v
Gubbio crestGubbio

Serie C - Girone B | Wed 16 Sep, 20:00

Pescara v Gubbio Stats

Data last updated: Tue 15 Sep 2026, 07:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Pescara and Gubbio meet in Serie C - Girone B with both sides showing contrasting recent form and attacking intent. Pescara has collected 4 points with a modest goal return, while Gubbio has 6 points and a stronger scoring record, averaging 2 goals per game. The fixture promises open play given Gubbio's high over 2.5 goals rate and Pescara's willingness to engage offensively despite defensive vulnerabilities. Tactical setups suggest an engaging contest where both teams seek to assert themselves, making goal-scoring opportunities likely throughout the match.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Gubbio has a 100% over 2.5 goals rate this season, indicating frequent high-scoring games.
  • Pescara's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 50% of their recent outings, showing moderate goal involvement.
  • The average goals per game in their last 8 head-to-head meetings is 3.38, supporting a goal-rich encounter.
  • Both teams have conceded 2 goals per game on average, highlighting defensive openness.
  • Recent form shows Gubbio scoring 2 goals per game, suggesting attacking momentum.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies strong value in Over 2.5 Goals at 1.73 , with a 74.8% chance compared to the implied 57.8%, yielding a 17% . Gubbio's perfect over 2.5 record and Pescara's openness in defense underpin the likelihood of multiple goals. The head-to-head average of 3.38 goals further supports this expectation. No data limitations affect , making this a robust selection with standard staking recommended.

Model Probability74.8% chance of Over 2.5 Goals
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance57.8%
Neutral
Value Edge+17%
Strong positive
Gubbio Over 2.5 Rate100% this season
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Goals3.38 average goals per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as Gubbio's strong scoring form meets Pescara's defensive vulnerabilities. The high average goals in their recent encounters and Gubbio's perfect over 2.5 record suggest multiple goals are likely, making Over 2.5 Goals a tactically and statistically sound choice for this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Over 2.5 Goals

“Gubbio's offensive consistency combined with Pescara's defensive openness creates a fertile ground for goals. The historical goal averages and current form strongly point towards a lively, high-scoring match.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Gubbio has a 100% over 2.5 goals rate this season, indicating frequent high-scoring games.

Pescara's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 50% of their recent outings, showing moderate goal involvement.

The average goals per game in their last 8 head-to-head meetings is 3.38, supporting a goal-rich encounter.

Both teams have conceded 2 goals per game on average, highlighting defensive openness.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last eight head-to-head meetings have averaged 3.38 goals per game, indicating a historical trend towards high-scoring matches.
  • This sample suggests a tempo and tactical openness conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, with both teams historically engaging in attacking play that produces multiple goal opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Pescara1.5
Avg goals scored
Gubbio2
Pescara2
Avg goals conceded
Gubbio2
Pescara50%
BTTS rate
Gubbio75%
Pescara50%
Over 2.5 goals
Gubbio100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 29%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Both teams have shown tendencies to participate in high-scoring games, with Gubbio's 100% over 2.5 rate and Pescara's 50%. The head-to-head average of 3.38 goals per game further confirms the likelihood of multiple goals and potential BTTS scenarios, highlighting an open game with attacking emphasis from both sides.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Gubbio Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Gubbio to WinBetMGM guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Pescara Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 1.73, reflecting a 57.8% implied chance, which is significantly lower than the model's 74.8% probability. This discrepancy indicates clear value in backing Over 2.5 Goals, supported by recent scoring trends and head-to-head data, making the market favorable for bettors.

Continue the research

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Pescara

LDLW
Last 51W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 2L
12 Sep 2026A Atalanta II1-2
06 Sep 2026H Ravenna0-0
29 Aug 2026A Forli3-6
22 Aug 2026H Vis Pesaro2-0

Gubbio

WWLL
Last 52W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 2L
12 Sep 2026H Latina3-1
05 Sep 2026A Campobasso FC4-2
30 Aug 2026H Reggiana1-2
22 Aug 2026A Guidonia Montecelio 19370-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
Gubbio Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Gubbio to WinBetMGM guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Pescara Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Pescara to WinBetUK guide price · model 31%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Recent form data shows Gubbio scoring an average of 2 goals per game and maintaining a 100% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating strong offensive form. Pescara's 50% over 2.5 rate and 1.5 goals per game suggest moderate scoring ability. These trends point towards a match likely to feature multiple goals, driven by Gubbio's attacking and Pescara's defensive concessions.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Pescara wins
2Draws
2Gubbio wins
13 Apr 2025Pescara v Gubbio2-0
30 Nov 2024Gubbio v Pescara1-2
09 Feb 2024Gubbio v Pescara4-0
02 Oct 2023Pescara v Gubbio3-2
02 Nov 2022Pescara v Gubbio0-1
04 May 2022Pescara v Gubbio2-2
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Gubbio to WinBetMGM guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Pescara to WinBetUK guide price · model 31%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The head-to-head record between Pescara and Gubbio supports the Over 2.5 Goals selection, with an average of 3.38 goals across eight matches. This consistent scoring pattern highlights a history of open contests, reinforcing the expectation of a goal-rich game in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie C - Girone B

Pescara4
Played
Gubbio4
Pescara1.5
Avg goals for
Gubbio2
Pescara2
Avg goals against
Gubbio2
Pescara2
Clean sheets
Gubbio0
Best odds for this sectionGubbio Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 30% · edge +15 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
Gubbio to WinBetMGM guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Pescara Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Pescara to WinBetUK guide price · model 31%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Season-long statistics reveal Gubbio's consistent goal-scoring and Pescara's defensive challenges, with both teams conceding an average of 2 goals per game. The offensive output and defensive openness from both sides support the expectation of a high-scoring encounter, aligning well with the Over 2.5 Goals market.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
9Gubbio642020
15Pescara44112-2
Gubbio sits higher in the standings with 6 points compared to Pescara's 4, reflecting slightly better recent results. While league position is not decisive, Gubbio's momentum and from their standing may encourage an attacking approach, contributing to the likelihood of multiple goals in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Pescara Over 2.5
100%Gubbio Over 2.5
3.38H2H avg goals
The last eight head-to-head meetings have averaged 3.38 goals per game, indicating a historical trend towards high-scoring matches. This sample suggests a tempo and tactical openness conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, with both teams historically engaging in attacking play that produces multiple goal opportunities.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

More stats pages

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