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PEC Zwolle crestPEC Zwolle
v
Feyenoord crestFeyenoord

Eredivisie | Sun 13 Sep, 15:45

PEC Zwolle v Feyenoord Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:07 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

PEC Zwolle face Feyenoord in Eredivisie on Sun 13 Sep, 15:45. PEC Zwolle come in with 4 recent points and 1.2 goals per match, while Feyenoord have 11 points and 2.6 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

PEC Zwolle to Win

  • At 6, PEC Zwolle to Win implies roughly 17%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • Feyenoord have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 4 for PEC Zwolle.
  • Feyenoord have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the PEC Zwolle to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • PEC Zwolle sit 13 in the table, while Feyenoord sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 27% for PEC Zwolle to Win sits against roughly 17% implied by the current price. Feyenoord have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 4 for PEC Zwolle.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 17% implied
Positive
Feyenoord have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points.Visible data support
Positive
Feyenoord have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: PEC Zwolle Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Feyenoord have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 4 for PEC Zwolle. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

PEC Zwolle to Win evidence

Feyenoord have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 4 for PEC Zwolle.

Feyenoord have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the PEC Zwolle Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

PEC Zwolle sit 13 in the table, while Feyenoord sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

PEC Zwolle to Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    PEC Zwolle3.6
    Avg corners for
    Feyenoord6.25
    PEC Zwolle12.2
    Avg total corners
    Feyenoord9.25
    PEC Zwolle1.4
    Avg yellow cards
    Feyenoord1
    PEC Zwolle11.8
    Avg shots
    Feyenoord20
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

    Continue the research

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    PEC Zwolle1.2
    Avg goals scored
    Feyenoord2.6
    PEC Zwolle2
    Avg goals conceded
    Feyenoord1.4
    PEC Zwolle60%
    BTTS rate
    Feyenoord80%
    PEC Zwolle60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Feyenoord80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickPEC Zwolle to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 17% · edge +10.3 pts
    6
    Check odds @ 6
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    PEC Zwolle Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
    3.7
    Check odds @ 3.7
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    PEC Zwolle to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    PEC Zwolle

    DLWLL
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 3L
    04 Sep 2026A Sparta Rotterdam2-2
    29 Aug 2026H NEC Nijmegen1-3
    22 Aug 2026A Heerenveen2-0
    16 Aug 2026A Twente1-3
    09 Aug 2026H Ajax0-2

    Feyenoord

    WDWDW
    Last 53W 2D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 2D 0L
    05 Sep 2026A NEC Nijmegen3-1
    30 Aug 2026H ADO Den Haag2-2
    23 Aug 2026A Cambuur5-2
    16 Aug 2026H GO Ahead Eagles2-2
    09 Aug 2026A Sparta Rotterdam1-0
    Market aligned with main pickPEC Zwolle to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 17% · edge +10.3 pts
    6
    Check odds @ 6
    Load more odds for this section
    PEC Zwolle Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
    3.7
    Check odds @ 3.7
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0PEC Zwolle wins
    0Draws
    10Feyenoord wins
    17 May 2026PEC Zwolle v Feyenoord0-2
    06 Dec 2025Feyenoord v PEC Zwolle6-1
    25 Apr 2025Feyenoord v PEC Zwolle4-0
    18 Aug 2024PEC Zwolle v Feyenoord1-5
    05 May 2024Feyenoord v PEC Zwolle5-0
    08 Oct 2023PEC Zwolle v Feyenoord0-2
    Market aligned with main pickPEC Zwolle to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 17% · edge +10.3 pts
    6
    Check odds @ 6
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    The head-to-head sample gives context for PEC Zwolle to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Eredivisie

    PEC Zwolle5
    Played
    Feyenoord5
    PEC Zwolle1.2
    Avg goals for
    Feyenoord2.6
    PEC Zwolle2
    Avg goals against
    Feyenoord1.4
    PEC Zwolle1
    Clean sheets
    Feyenoord1
    Market aligned with main pickPEC Zwolle to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 17% · edge +10.3 pts
    6
    Check odds @ 6
    Load more odds for this section
    PEC Zwolle Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
    3.7
    Check odds @ 3.7
    Season data supports PEC Zwolle to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    3Feyenoord1153206
    13PEC Zwolle45113-4
    PEC Zwolle sit in position 13, while Feyenoord sit in position 3, so table pressure belongs in the PEC Zwolle to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%PEC Zwolle Over 2.5
    80%Feyenoord Over 2.5
    4.1H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: PEC Zwolle sit at 60% and Feyenoord sit at 80% with the H2H average at 4.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Betting context

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