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PEC Zwolle crestPEC Zwolle
v
Ajax crestAjax

Eredivisie | Sun 09 Aug, 13:30

PEC Zwolle v Ajax Stats

Data last updated: Sat 08 Aug 2026, 08:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

PEC Zwolle face Ajax in Eredivisie on Sun 09 Aug, 13:30. PEC Zwolle have gone 19 competitive matches without beating Ajax, with their most recent successful period in this fixture dating back to 2014 and 2015.

BT4Y best bet

Ly between the lines, but not so deep that Ajax are given uncontested possession throughout midfield

  • At 8/5, Ly between the lines, but not so deep that Ajax are given uncontested possession throughout midfield implies roughly 39%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 43%.
  • A 3-1 scoreline fits Ajax's recent pattern of winning by multiple goals and PEC Zwolle's ability to score despite defensive vulnerabilities.
  • PEC Zwolle sit 4 in the table, while Ajax sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 43% for Ly between the lines, but not so deep that Ajax are given uncontested possession throughout midfield sits against roughly 39% implied by the current price. PEC Zwolle sit 4 in the table, while Ajax sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read. A 3-1 scoreline fits Ajax's recent pattern of winning by multiple goals and PEC Zwolle's ability to score despite defensive vulnerabilities.

Model chance vs price43% model chance against roughly 39% implied
Neutral
PEC Zwolle sit 4 in the table, while Ajax sit.Visible data support
Positive
A 3-1 scoreline fits Ajax's recent pattern of winning.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: PEC Zwolle Win is the preferred angle because a 3-1 scoreline fits Ajax's recent pattern of winning by multiple goals and PEC Zwolle's ability to score despite defensive vulnerabilities. PEC Zwolle sit 4 in the table, while Ajax sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read. High-risk markets like Correct Score offer higher potential returns but require exact outcomes.

Main risk

High-risk markets like Correct Score offer higher potential returns but require exact outcomes.

Key Data Signals

Ly between the lines, but not so deep that Ajax are given uncontested possession throughout midfield evidence

A 3-1 scoreline fits Ajax's recent pattern of winning by multiple goals and PEC Zwolle's ability to score.

PEC Zwolle sit 4 in the table, while Ajax sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Ly between the lines, but not so deep that Ajax are given uncontested possession throughout midfield notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickPEC Zwolle to WinBet365 guide price · Model 32% vs implied 17% · edge +15 pts
    6
    Check odds @ 6
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    PEC Zwolle Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 44%
    3.45
    Check odds @ 3.45
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    PEC Zwolle to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    PEC Zwolle-
    Avg goals scored
    Ajax-
    PEC Zwolle-
    Avg goals conceded
    Ajax-
    PEC Zwolle-
    BTTS rate
    Ajax-
    PEC Zwolle-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Ajax-
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 54%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    PEC Zwolle

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for PEC Zwolle yet.

    Ajax

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Ajax yet.

    Market aligned with main pickPEC Zwolle to WinBet365 guide price · Model 32% vs implied 17% · edge +15 pts
    6
    Check odds @ 6
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 55%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    PEC Zwolle Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 44%
    3.45
    Check odds @ 3.45
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1PEC Zwolle wins
    2Draws
    7Ajax wins
    01 Mar 2026PEC Zwolle v Ajax0-0
    13 Sep 2025Ajax v PEC Zwolle3-1
    09 Mar 2025PEC Zwolle v Ajax0-1
    24 Nov 2024Ajax v PEC Zwolle2-0
    05 Jul 2024Ajax v PEC Zwolle0-1
    31 Mar 2024PEC Zwolle v Ajax1-3
    Market aligned with main pickPEC Zwolle to WinBet365 guide price · Model 32% vs implied 17% · edge +15 pts
    6
    Check odds @ 6
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    The head-to-head sample gives context for PEC Zwolle to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Eredivisie

    PEC Zwolle0
    Played
    Ajax0
    PEC Zwolle0
    Avg goals for
    Ajax0
    PEC Zwolle0
    Avg goals against
    Ajax0
    PEC Zwolle0
    Clean sheets
    Ajax0
    Market aligned with main pickPEC Zwolle to WinBet365 guide price · Model 32% vs implied 17% · edge +15 pts
    6
    Check odds @ 6
    Load more odds for this section
    PEC Zwolle Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 44%
    3.45
    Check odds @ 3.45
    Season data supports PEC Zwolle to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    4PEC Zwolle000000
    6Ajax000000
    PEC Zwolle sit in position 4, while Ajax sit in position 6, so table pressure belongs in the Ly between the lines, but not so deep that Ajax are given uncontested possession throughout midfield assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -PEC Zwolle Over 2.5
    -Ajax Over 2.5
    2.3H2H avg goals
    A 3-1 scoreline fits Ajax's recent pattern of winning by multiple goals and PEC Zwolle's ability to score despite defensive vulnerabilities.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.