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ADO Den Haag crestADO Den Haag
v
Cambuur crestCambuur

Eredivisie | Sat 19 Sep, 15:30

ADO Den Haag v Cambuur Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

ADO Den Haag and Cambuur meet in an Eredivisie clash where attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities set the stage for a high-scoring encounter. Both teams have shown a propensity for goals this season, with Cambuur averaging 1.8 goals scored per game and ADO Den Haag conceding 2.8 goals on average. Cambuur's recent form includes multiple matches with high goal totals, while ADO Den Haag's defensive struggles suggest an open game. The tactical setup and recent performances indicate a lively contest with multiple scoring opportunities expected from both sides.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Both teams have high Over 2.5 Goals rates: ADO Den Haag at 80%, Cambuur at 100%.
  • Recent matches show strong goal-scoring trends, with an average of 3.4 goals in their last 10 meetings.
  • Cambuur averages 12.6 shots per game with 4.8 on target, indicating offensive pressure.
  • Key players like R. El Arguioui and J. Bal contribute significantly to goal threat and shot volume.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 58% chance to Over 3.5 Goals, reflecting the attacking strengths and defensive weaknesses of both teams. Cambuur's perfect Over 2.5 Goals rate and ADO Den Haag's defensive concessions support a high-scoring game. The average of 3.4 goals in their recent head-to-head matches further underlines the likelihood of multiple goals. Player data shows key attackers generating shots and goal threats, enhancing the probability of a goal-rich fixture. No price warning is necessary as the offer positive value with a 12.5% edge.

Model Chance58% probability of Over 3.5 Goals
Strong positive
Recent Over 2.5 Rates80% (ADO Den Haag), 100% (Cambuur)
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Goals3.4 average goals per match
Positive
Player Offensive StatsHigh shots and goal threat from key attackers
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking match given Cambuur's strong offensive form and ADO Den Haag's defensive vulnerabilities. The high average goals in recent meetings and both teams' tendency to concede suggest Over 3.5 Goals is a plausible outcome. Tactical openness and key attacking players on both sides should fuel scoring chances throughout the game.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match attacking and defensive dynamics

“This fixture features two sides with attacking intent but defensive frailties, making a high-scoring game likely. The combination of Cambuur's offensive efficiency and ADO Den Haag's porous defense creates a fertile environment for multiple goals.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have high Over 2.5 Goals rates: ADO Den Haag at 80%, Cambuur at 100%.

Recent matches show strong goal-scoring trends, with an average of 3.4 goals in their last 10 meetings.

Cambuur averages 12.6 shots per game with 4.8 on target, indicating offensive pressure.

Key players like R. El Arguioui and J. Bal contribute significantly to goal threat and shot volume.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten matches between these teams, the average goals scored is 3.4, indicating a trend towards open, attacking games.
  • Both sides have shown a high frequency of Over 2.5 Goals outcomes recently, with Cambuur at 100%.
  • This trend suggests a fast tempo and defensive gaps that can lead to multiple scoring opportunities, supporting the likelihood of a high-goal game.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

ADO Den Haag2.5
Avg corners for
Cambuur4
ADO Den Haag9.5
Avg total corners
Cambuur8.5
ADO Den Haag2
Avg yellow cards
Cambuur2
ADO Den Haag11.25
Avg shots
Cambuur13.25
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Cambuur averages 3.6 corners per game and 12.6 shots with 4.8 on target, while ADO Den Haag averages 3 corners and 11 shots with 3.6 on target. The volume of shots and set-piece opportunities suggests sustained attacking pressure and territorial advantage, which often correlates with higher goal totals. Discipline is moderate, with both teams averaging around 1.6-1.8 yellow cards, indicating a competitive but not overly aggressive match environment.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

ADO Den Haag1.2
Avg goals scored
Cambuur1.8
ADO Den Haag2.8
Avg goals conceded
Cambuur2.8
ADO Den Haag80%
BTTS rate
Cambuur80%
ADO Den Haag80%
Over 2.5 goals
Cambuur100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 48% · edge +10.4 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Both teams have strong tendencies to contribute to goal-rich matches, with ADO Den Haag and Cambuur showing 80% and 100% Over 2.5 Goals rates respectively. Their last ten head-to-head encounters averaged 3.4 goals, indicating a history of open play and goal-scoring opportunities from both sides, supporting an Over 3.5 Goals outlook.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 68% · edge +10.4 pts
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Cambuur Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Cambuur to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
ADO Den Haag Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
The Over 3.5 Goals market is priced attractively with around 2.2, reflecting a positive as the model estimates a 58% chance versus an implied 45.5%. This suggests the market underestimates the probability of a high-scoring game, making the bet a favorable option without requiring caution on price sensitivity.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

ADO Den Haag

LLDLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 5L
12 Sep 2026A Twente0-2
06 Sep 2026H Fortuna Sittard2-3
30 Aug 2026A Feyenoord2-2
23 Aug 2026A GO Ahead Eagles1-3
16 Aug 2026H Groningen1-4

Cambuur

WDLLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 4L
12 Sep 2026H NEC Nijmegen3-0
06 Sep 2026A Telstar2-2
30 Aug 2026H Twente1-4
23 Aug 2026H Feyenoord2-5
15 Aug 2026A Fortuna Sittard1-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Cambuur Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Cambuur to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
ADO Den Haag Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
ADO Den Haag to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Cambuur's recent form includes a perfect 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, reflecting consistent high-scoring matches. ADO Den Haag also shows an 80% Over 2.5 rate despite limited points, indicating matches with multiple goals. Both teams have conceded an average of 2.8 goals per game, reinforcing defensive vulnerabilities that contribute to the likelihood of a high-scoring fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2ADO Den Haag wins
2Draws
6Cambuur wins
16 Jan 2026ADO Den Haag v Cambuur1-2
21 Nov 2025Cambuur v ADO Den Haag2-0
02 May 2025ADO Den Haag v Cambuur3-4
07 Dec 2024Cambuur v ADO Den Haag2-1
29 Oct 2024ADO Den Haag v Cambuur1-4
05 Apr 2024Cambuur v ADO Den Haag0-2
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 68% · edge +10.4 pts
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Cambuur to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
ADO Den Haag to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
The last ten meetings between ADO Den Haag and Cambuur have produced an average of 3.4 goals per match, demonstrating a history of open contests with multiple goals. This head-to-head data supports the expectation of a high-scoring game, although tactical changes or player availability could influence this pattern in the current fixture.
Season team stats

Eredivisie

ADO Den Haag6
Played
Cambuur6
ADO Den Haag1
Avg goals for
Cambuur1.5
ADO Den Haag2.7
Avg goals against
Cambuur3
ADO Den Haag0
Clean sheets
Cambuur1
Best odds for this sectionCambuur Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Load more odds for this section
Cambuur to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
ADO Den Haag Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
ADO Den Haag to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Season statistics reveal both teams have leaky defenses, conceding 2.8 goals per game on average, while maintaining decent attacking output (1.2 goals for ADO Den Haag and 1.8 for Cambuur). The combination of offensive capability and defensive frailty supports the expectation of a match with at least four goals, aligning well with the Over 3.5 Goals market.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
15Cambuur46114-9
18ADO Den Haag16015-10
ADO Den Haag sits at the bottom of the Eredivisie table with just 1 point, while Cambuur is slightly higher with 4 points. Although standings reflect current struggles, the pressure on ADO Den Haag to improve results may lead to more open play. Cambuur's mid-table position allows for offensive freedom, suggesting both teams may prioritize attack over defense in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%ADO Den Haag Over 2.5
100%Cambuur Over 2.5
3.4H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches between these teams, the average goals scored is 3.4, indicating a trend towards open, attacking games. Both sides have shown a high frequency of Over 2.5 Goals outcomes recently, with Cambuur at 100%. This trend suggests a fast tempo and defensive gaps that can lead to multiple scoring opportunities, supporting the likelihood of a high-goal game.

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