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Ostia Mare crestOstia Mare
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Ravenna crestRavenna

Serie C - Girone B | Wed 16 Sep, 17:30

Ostia Mare v Ravenna Stats

Data last updated: Tue 15 Sep 2026, 07:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ravenna arrives in strong form for this Serie C - Girone B clash against Ostia Mare, sitting second in the table with eight points from recent matches. Ostia Mare, positioned 17th with three points, have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.75 goals per game. Ravenna's disciplined defense, allowing only 0.5 goals per game, combined with their more potent attack averaging 1.75 goals, sets a clear tactical contrast. This fixture presents a significant challenge for Ostia Mare, who must overcome both form and defensive frailties to upset the visitors.

BT4Y best bet

Ravenna to Win

  • Ravenna holds a commanding second place with 8 points versus Ostia Mare's 17th and 3 points.
  • Ravenna concedes just 0.5 goals per game, showcasing defensive solidity.
  • Ostia Mare averages 1.75 goals conceded per match, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Ravenna's attack is more productive, scoring 1.75 goals per game compared to Ostia Mare's 1.25.
  • Ostia Mare's recent matches show a high rate of over 2.5 goals (75%), but Ravenna's tighter defense may limit scoring.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Ravenna to win with a 70% chance, reflecting their superior form, defensive strength, and league standing. The at 1.9 offer positive value given the implied chance of 52.6%. Ravenna's consistent defensive record and higher points tally underpin in their ability to secure victory. No data limitations affect this assessment, and the price is attractive without requiring caution on stake size.

Model Win Probability70%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance52.6%
Positive
Value Edge17.4%
Strong positive
Recent Defensive FormRavenna concedes 0.5 goals per game
Strong positive
League PositionRavenna 2nd vs Ostia Mare 17th
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Ravenna's tactical discipline and strong defensive record make them the clear favorites against a struggling Ostia Mare side. Their superior league position and recent form suggest they can control the game and secure a win, capitalizing on Ostia Mare's defensive weaknesses and inconsistent performances.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Ravenna's defensive resilience and efficient attack create a compelling case for their victory here, especially given Ostia Mare's defensive struggles and lower league standing.”

Key Data Signals

Ravenna to Win evidence

Ravenna holds a commanding second place with 8 points versus Ostia Mare's 17th and 3 points.

Ravenna concedes just 0.5 goals per game, showcasing defensive solidity.

Ostia Mare averages 1.75 goals conceded per match, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

Ravenna's attack is more productive, scoring 1.75 goals per game compared to Ostia Mare's 1.25.

What To Watch In The Data

Ravenna to Win notes

  • Recent trends show Ostia Mare's matches often exceed 2.5 goals, driven by defensive lapses.
  • Ravenna's matches have a lower over 2.5 rate, reflecting a more measured tempo and defensive control.
  • This suggests the fixture may produce moderate goal scoring, with Ravenna likely managing the game's tempo to limit Ostia Mare's scoring opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Ostia Mare1.25
Avg goals scored
Ravenna1.75
Ostia Mare1.75
Avg goals conceded
Ravenna0.5
Ostia Mare75%
BTTS rate
Ravenna50%
Ostia Mare75%
Over 2.5 goals
Ravenna50%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 81%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Ostia Mare's matches have featured a high frequency of over 2.5 goals and BTTS outcomes, driven by their leaky defense. However, Ravenna's tighter defensive record and lower BTTS rate suggest this game may see fewer goals and a more controlled match, with Ravenna likely limiting Ostia Mare's scoring chances.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickRavenna to WinBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Ravenna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The current of 1.9 for Ravenna to win reflect a market underestimation compared to the model's 70% win probability, indicating positive value. This price suggests the market sees a closer contest than recent form and defensive stats imply, making Ravenna a strong value pick without requiring caution on stake size.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Ostia Mare

LWLL
Last 51W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 3L
13 Sep 2026A Torres2-3
05 Sep 2026A Vis Pesaro2-1
29 Aug 2026H Grosseto1-2
23 Aug 2026A Perugia0-1

Ravenna

WDWD
Last 52W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 0L
13 Sep 2026H Perugia3-0
06 Sep 2026A Pescara0-0
29 Aug 2026H Latina3-1
24 Aug 2026A Reggiana1-1
Market aligned with main pickRavenna to WinBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
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Ravenna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Ravenna's recent form is strong, accumulating 8 points and conceding only 0.5 goals per game, reflecting defensive solidity and effective attack. Ostia Mare's form is weaker with just 3 points and a higher goals conceded rate, indicating struggles in both defense and attack. This contrast supports in Ravenna's ability to secure the win.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Ostia Mare wins
0Draws
0Ravenna wins
Market aligned with main pickRavenna to WinBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
No previous meetings between Ostia Mare and Ravenna exist to provide direct historical context. Therefore, current form, defensive solidity, and league position are more relevant indicators for predicting the likely outcome of this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie C - Girone B

Ostia Mare4
Played
Ravenna4
Ostia Mare1.3
Avg goals for
Ravenna1.8
Ostia Mare1.8
Avg goals against
Ravenna0.5
Ostia Mare0
Clean sheets
Ravenna2
Market aligned with main pickRavenna to WinBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
Ravenna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Season-long stats show Ravenna as a well-balanced side with a strong defense conceding only 0.5 goals per game and a solid attack scoring 1.75 goals. Ostia Mare's season stats reveal defensive frailties with 1.75 goals conceded per game and a less potent attack, underscoring the challenge they face against Ravenna's consistent performance.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Ravenna842205
17Ostia Mare34103-2
Ravenna's second-place position with 8 points highlights their status as title contenders, adding motivation and . Ostia Mare's 17th place with 3 points reflects their struggle to climb the table, increasing pressure and reducing margin for error. The standings context favors Ravenna as the more stable and confident side.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

75%Ostia Mare Over 2.5
50%Ravenna Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent trends show Ostia Mare's matches often exceed 2.5 goals, driven by defensive lapses. Ravenna's matches have a lower over 2.5 rate, reflecting a more measured tempo and defensive control. This suggests the fixture may produce moderate goal scoring, with Ravenna likely managing the game's tempo to limit Ostia Mare's scoring opportunities.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.