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Osasuna crestOsasuna
v
Levante crestLevante

La Liga | Mon 24 Aug, 18:30

Osasuna v Levante Stats

Data last updated: Sun 23 Aug 2026, 07:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Osasuna face Levante in La Liga on Mon 24 Aug, 18:30. Osasuna are making their league entrance after an uneven pre-season. One match should not outweigh a broader run, but it does place immediate emphasis on whether that attacking output can be restored.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Both Teams To Score YES

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 54%, above the 33% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 20/23, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 33%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
Price warning

Both Teams To Score YES is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 54% while the model sits nearer 33% (-20.2 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Over 2.5 Goals shows a +15 pts edge at 2.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 33% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price33% model chance against roughly 54% implied
Negative
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -20.2 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. However, exact-score selections are inherently fragile.

Main risk

However, exact-score selections are inherently fragile.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Osasuna

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Osasuna yet.

Levante

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
16 Aug 2026A Espanyol0-3
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 83% vs implied 85% · edge -1.3 pts
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Load more odds for this section
Osasuna to WinBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Osasuna Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Levante Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Levante to WinBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
16Osasuna000000
20Levante01001-3
Osasuna sit in position 16, while Levante sit in position 20, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score YES assessment.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Osasuna-
Avg goals scored
Levante0
Osasuna-
Avg goals conceded
Levante3
Osasuna-
BTTS rate
Levante0%
Osasuna-
Over 2.5 goals
Levante100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 33% vs implied 52% · edge -19.1 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS Yes does not fully support the current price; this needs scoring involvement from both teams, not just pressure from one side.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 33% vs implied 52% · edge -19.1 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Osasuna to WinBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Osasuna Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Levante Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Levante to WinBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
BTTS Yes is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Osasuna wins
2Draws
4Levante wins
08 May 2026Levante v Osasuna3-2
08 Dec 2025Osasuna v Levante2-0
19 Mar 2022Osasuna v Levante3-1
05 Dec 2021Levante v Osasuna0-0
14 Feb 2021Levante v Osasuna0-1
27 Sep 2020Osasuna v Levante1-3
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 33% vs implied 52% · edge -19.1 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Osasuna to WinBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Levante to WinBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Osasuna-
Avg corners for
Levante1
Osasuna-
Avg total corners
Levante1
Osasuna-
Avg yellow cards
Levante0
Osasuna-
Avg shots
Levante4
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 29% vs implied 48% · edge -18.6 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

La Liga

Osasuna0
Played
Levante1
Osasuna0
Avg goals for
Levante0
Osasuna0
Avg goals against
Levante3
Osasuna0
Clean sheets
Levante0
Best odds for this sectionOsasuna to WinBetUK guide price · Model 58% vs implied 56% · edge +2.5 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Osasuna Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Levante Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Levante to WinBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Season data supports Osasuna to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Osasuna Over 2.5
100%Levante Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.