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Operario-PR crestOperario-PR
v
CRB crestCRB

Serie B | Thu 10 Sep, 00:30

Operario-PR v CRB Stats

Data last updated: Wed 09 Sep 2026, 08:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Serie B fixture features CRB visiting Operario-PR in a tightly contested mid-table clash. CRB currently sit sixth with 42 points, narrowly ahead of Operario-PR in seventh with 40 points, making this a crucial match for both sides aiming to solidify playoff positions. CRB have shown stronger recent form, collecting 10 points in their last five games compared to Operario-PR's 5 points. The tactical battle will likely hinge on CRB's more potent attack and ability to control the midfield, while Operario-PR will seek to leverage home advantage and defensive resilience to disrupt CRB's rhythm.

BT4Y best bet

CRB to Win

  • CRB leads the recent form table with 10 points from last five matches versus Operario-PR's 5 points.
  • CRB averages 1.6 goals per game, double Operario-PR's 0.8, indicating superior attacking output.
  • CRB's average shots per game (21) and shots on target (6) significantly outpace Operario-PR's 14 shots and 3.25 on target.
  • Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, suggesting openness but CRB's defensive solidity (0.8 goals conceded) is better than Operario-PR's (1.0).
  • CRB ranks higher in the league standings and has a positive in the model at 35.8%, supporting the away win pick.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model strongly favors CRB to win with a 69.1% chance, reflecting their superior recent form, higher goal-scoring rate, and better shot metrics compared to Operario-PR. CRB's attack, led by prolific striker Mikael, creates more quality chances, while their defense concedes fewer goals. The model identifies significant value as the market imply only a 33.3% chance, making this a positive value bet with standard staking recommended. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model Chance69.1%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance33.3%
Strong positive
Value Edge35.8%
Strong positive
Recent FormCRB 10 points vs Operario-PR 5 points
Positive
Goals ForCRB 1.6 vs Operario-PR 0.8
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

CRB's recent form and attacking superiority make them the clear favorite to secure victory in this Serie B encounter. Their higher league position and consistent goal threat, especially through Mikael, provide a strong tactical and statistical foundation for an away win. Operario-PR's defensive vulnerabilities and lower scoring output further tilt the balance towards CRB.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · CRB to Win

“CRB's attacking efficiency and recent momentum position them well to overcome Operario-PR, whose defensive record and lower shot volume suggest they may struggle to contain CRB's key forwards.”

Key Data Signals

CRB to Win evidence

CRB leads the recent form table with 10 points from last five matches versus Operario-PR's 5 points.

CRB averages 1.6 goals per game, double Operario-PR's 0.8, indicating superior attacking output.

CRB's average shots per game (21) and shots on target (6) significantly outpace Operario-PR's 14 shots and 3.25 on target.

Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, suggesting openness but CRB's defensive solidity (0.8 goals conceded) is better than Operario-PR's (1.0).

What To Watch In The Data

CRB to Win notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.9, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • CRB's higher over 2.5 goals rate (60%) compared to Operario-PR's 40% suggests CRB games tend to be more open and attacking.
  • This trend points to a match with potential for multiple goals, driven by CRB's offensive style and Operario-PR's defensive vulnerabilities.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Operario-PR4.8
Avg corners for
CRB5.6
Operario-PR10.6
Avg total corners
CRB10.2
Operario-PR2.6
Avg yellow cards
CRB1.2
Operario-PR15.4
Avg shots
CRB22.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 5.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
CRB averages 5.5 corners per game and 1.25 yellow cards, reflecting a controlled but attacking style that generates set-piece chances without excessive fouling. Operario-PR's 4.5 corners and 3 yellow cards per game suggest a more physical approach with defensive pressure. CRB's higher shot volume (21) and shots on target (6) compared to Operario-PR (14 shots, 3.25 on target) underline their offensive control and ability to create scoring chances.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Operario-PR0.8
Avg goals scored
CRB1.6
Operario-PR1
Avg goals conceded
CRB0.8
Operario-PR60%
BTTS rate
CRB60%
Operario-PR40%
Over 2.5 goals
CRB60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 58% · edge +8.9 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, indicating a tendency for matches with goals at both ends. CRB's higher average goals per game (1.6) compared to Operario-PR (0.8) suggests they are more likely to score, while Operario-PR's defensive record allows for BTTS scenarios. The average goals in their 10 head-to-head matches is 2.9, supporting a moderately open game with goal opportunities.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCRB to WinBetfred guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
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CRB Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The CRB to Win market is priced attractively with implying a 33.3% chance, well below the model's 69.1% probability. This significant of 35.8% indicates the market underestimates CRB's chances, making this a positive value bet with no current price warnings.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Operario-PR

WDDLL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
06 Sep 2026A Londrina2-1
31 Aug 2026A Fortaleza EC1-1
23 Aug 2026H Vila Nova0-0
20 Aug 2026A Cuiaba0-1
16 Aug 2026H Avai1-2

CRB

WWLWD
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 2D 1L
05 Sep 2026H America Mineiro3-1
30 Aug 2026H Criciuma2-1
25 Aug 2026A Juventude1-2
20 Aug 2026A Athletic Club2-0
16 Aug 2026H Novorizontino0-0
Market aligned with main pickCRB to WinBetfred guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
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Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 77%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
CRB Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
CRB's recent form is superior, having secured 10 points in their last five matches compared to Operario-PR's 5 points. This momentum reflects better consistency and , with CRB also scoring twice as many goals per game in this period. Operario-PR's struggles to convert chances and defensive lapses contribute to their lower form, making CRB the more likely winner based on current performance trends.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Operario-PR wins
4Draws
3CRB wins
10 May 2026CRB v Operario-PR3-0
09 Nov 2025CRB v Operario-PR2-2
17 Jul 2025Operario-PR v CRB1-1
24 Nov 2024CRB v Operario-PR1-1
04 Aug 2024Operario-PR v CRB2-0
22 Oct 2022CRB v Operario-PR2-1
Market aligned with main pickCRB to WinBetfred guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The ten previous meetings between these teams have averaged 2.9 goals per game, reflecting a relatively open and competitive fixture history. While the sample size is moderate, it suggests that matches tend to have multiple goal-scoring opportunities, supporting the likelihood of an active game. However, recent form and current season stats provide stronger signals for this match's outcome.
Season team stats

Serie B

Operario-PR26
Played
CRB26
Operario-PR1.3
Avg goals for
CRB1.5
Operario-PR1.3
Avg goals against
CRB1.4
Operario-PR9
Clean sheets
CRB7
Market aligned with main pickCRB to WinBetfred guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
CRB Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Over the season, CRB has demonstrated a more potent attack, averaging 1.6 goals per game versus Operario-PR's 0.8. Defensively, CRB concedes fewer goals (0.8 per game) than Operario-PR (1.0), indicating a stronger overall team balance. These season-long trends support CRB's ability to control matches and secure wins, reinforcing the away win selection.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6CRB422612684
7Operario-PR402611780
CRB sits just above Operario-PR in the Serie B standings, with 42 points to Operario-PR's 40. This close proximity highlights the competitive nature of the fixture, with both teams vying for playoff positioning. CRB's slight edge in points and recent form suggests they have the upper hand in this battle for league advancement.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Operario-PR Over 2.5
60%CRB Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.9, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend. CRB's higher over 2.5 goals rate (60%) compared to Operario-PR's 40% suggests CRB games tend to be more open and attacking. This trend points to a match with potential for multiple goals, driven by CRB's offensive style and Operario-PR's defensive vulnerabilities.

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