Fortaleza EC

Avai

Serie B | Wed 09 Sep, 23:30

Fortaleza EC v Avai Stats

Data last updated: Tue 08 Sep 2026, 08:36 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Fortaleza EC hosts Avai in a Serie B clash where both teams bring contrasting styles to the pitch. Fortaleza EC ranks 5th with solid defensive form, while Avai sits 17th, struggling to keep opponents at bay. Both sides have shown attacking intent recently, with Avai averaging 1.4 goals per game and Fortaleza EC maintaining tight defense conceding just 0.4 goals on average. The fixture promises territorial battles and set-piece opportunities, setting the stage for a high corner count as both teams seek to exploit width and pressure in the final third.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

Fortaleza EC averages 5.8 corners per game, Avai 3.8, combining for over 9.5 corners regularly.
Recent form shows Fortaleza EC and Avai have aggressive wing play leading to frequent corner wins.
Both teams' defensive setups encourage wide attacks and repeated deliveries into the box.
Model projects a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, with a positive of 11.2%.
Avai's rank and form suggest they will defend deep, increasing corner opportunities for Fortaleza EC.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies strong value in Over 9.5 Corners with a 69% chance against a 57.8% implied market chance, highlighting a significant edge. Fortaleza EC's high average corners (5.8) combined with Avai's 3.8 per game create sustained pressure and wing play conducive to corners. The teams' tactical tendencies to attack wide and defend deep increase set-piece frequency. is high at 81%, supported by solid recent form and season stats. No price warnings apply, making this a standard stake recommendation.

Model Chance69%

Strong positive

Implied Market Chance57.8%

Positive

Value Edge11.2%

Strong positive

Confidence Level81%

Strong positive

Recent Form Corner RatesHigh for both teams

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with sustained wing attacks and defensive resilience from Avai, leading to numerous corner situations. Fortaleza EC's ability to generate corners through wide play and Avai's defensive posture suggest Over 9.5 Corners is a tactically sound bet supported by data.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market rationale

“The corner count here is driven by Fortaleza EC's aggressive wing play and Avai's defensive style inviting pressure, making Over 9.5 Corners a compelling angle with clear tactical and statistical backing.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Fortaleza EC averages 5.8 corners per game, Avai 3.8, combining for over 9.5 corners regularly.

Recent form shows Fortaleza EC and Avai have aggressive wing play leading to frequent corner wins.

Both teams' defensive setups encourage wide attacks and repeated deliveries into the box.

Model projects a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, with a positive of 11.2%.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

Over the last seven meetings, the average goals stand at 2.29, indicating moderately open games.
Recent matches in Serie B show a trend towards higher goal and corner counts due to tactical openness and transitional play.
This trend suggests a tempo conducive to multiple attacking phases and set pieces, aligning with the Over 2.5 Goals trend panel and supporting a high corner count in this fixture.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Fortaleza EC1

Avg goals scored

Avai1.4

Fortaleza EC0.4

Avg goals conceded

Avai1.2

Fortaleza EC40%

BTTS rate

Avai60%

Fortaleza EC0%

Over 2.5 goals

Avai60%

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%

1.65

Check odds @ 1.65

Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%

Check odds @ 4

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Both teams show moderate goal-scoring rates, with Avai averaging 1.4 goals and Fortaleza EC 1.0, but their defensive setups encourage wide attacks and set-piece situations. The BTTS rates (40% for Fortaleza EC, 60% for Avai) and Over 2.5 goal rates suggest open phases that can lead to increased corner counts through attacking transitions and defensive clearances.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

Avai Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 43%

3.55

Check odds @ 3.55

Avai to WinBet365 guide price · model 30%

6.5

Check odds @ 6.5

DrawBetUK guide price · model 30%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Fortaleza EC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

The Over 9.5 Corners market is priced attractively with a 1.73 odd reflecting a 57.8% implied chance, while the model estimates a 69% likelihood, indicating solid value. This gap suggests the market underestimates the frequency of corners given the teams' playing styles and recent corner averages, making this a price-sensitive opportunity worth standard staking.

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Useful next reads

corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles stats dashboard football analysis hub prediction centre best bets research acca fixture filtering

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Fortaleza EC5.8

Avg corners for

Avai3.8

Fortaleza EC11.2

Avg total corners

Avai9.8

Fortaleza EC1.6

Avg yellow cards

Avai2

Fortaleza EC17.2

Avg shots

Avai13.4

Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +11.2 pts

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price

1.98

Check odds @ 1.98

Over 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 54%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Fortaleza EC averages 17.2 shots with 4.6 on target, while Avai averages 13.4 shots and 4 on target, indicating active offensive pressure. Combined with 5.8 and 3.8 corners per game respectively, this reflects sustained wing play and repeated deliveries into the box. Card averages (1.6 for Fortaleza EC, 2 for Avai) suggest physical contests that often lead to fouls near the flanks, increasing corner opportunities.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Fortaleza EC

WDWDD

Last 52W 3D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 104W 4D 2L

05 Sep 2026A Goias1-0

31 Aug 2026H Operario-PR1-1

23 Aug 2026A Criciuma2-0

19 Aug 2026H São Bernardo1-1

15 Aug 2026A Juventude0-0

Avai

LLWWW

Last 53W 0D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 105W 1D 4L

05 Sep 2026A Novorizontino1-3

30 Aug 2026H Atletico Goianiense0-1

23 Aug 2026A Ponte Preta2-0

19 Aug 2026H Sport Recife2-1

16 Aug 2026A Operario-PR2-1

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts

2.3

Check odds @ 2.3

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Avai Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 43%

3.55

Check odds @ 3.55

Avai to WinBet365 guide price · model 30%

6.5

Check odds @ 6.5

Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 74%

1.11

Check odds @ 1.11

DrawBetUK guide price · model 30%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

Fortaleza EC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Fortaleza EC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%

1.27

Check odds @ 1.27

Recent form data shows Fortaleza EC and Avai both generate frequent corners, with Fortaleza EC maintaining a high average and Avai's attacking intent reflected in their 60% Over 2.5 goals rate. Fortaleza EC's defensive solidity contrasts with Avai's more open approach, creating a dynamic where corners arise from both attacking pressure and defensive clearances, supporting the Over 9.5 Corners pick.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Fortaleza EC wins

2Draws

1Avai wins

10 May 2026Avai v Fortaleza EC0-0

09 Oct 2022Fortaleza EC v Avai2-0

16 Jun 2022Avai v Fortaleza EC3-2

30 Oct 2019Avai v Fortaleza EC1-3

13 Jul 2019Fortaleza EC v Avai2-0

10 Nov 2018Avai v Fortaleza EC0-1

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

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Avai to WinBet365 guide price · model 30%

6.5

Check odds @ 6.5

DrawBetUK guide price · model 30%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Fortaleza EC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

The seven previous meetings between Fortaleza EC and Avai average 2.29 goals per game, reflecting moderately open contests. While the sample is limited, these matches have featured active wing play and set-piece situations, providing a background that supports a higher corner count. However, the head-to-head data is only a moderate indicator and should be combined with current form and tactical context for betting decisions.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie B

Fortaleza EC26

Played

Avai26

Fortaleza EC1.1

Avg goals for

Avai1.1

Fortaleza EC0.8

Avg goals against

Avai1.3

Fortaleza EC12

Clean sheets

Avai7

Best odds for this sectionAvai Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 28% · edge +15 pts

3.55

Check odds @ 3.55

Load more odds for this section

Avai to WinBet365 guide price · model 30%

6.5

Check odds @ 6.5

Fortaleza EC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Fortaleza EC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%

1.27

Check odds @ 1.27

Season-long stats reveal Fortaleza EC averages 5.8 corners per game, reflecting consistent wing play and offensive pressure. Avai's 3.8 corners per game complement this, with both teams contributing to a combined corner count regularly exceeding nine. Defensive tendencies and fouling patterns further increase corner opportunities, reinforcing the likelihood of surpassing 9.5 corners in this fixture.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
5	Fortaleza EC	44	26	12	8	6	7
17	Avai	29	26	8	5	13	-6

Fortaleza EC's 5th place and Avai's 17th position highlight contrasting stakes, with Fortaleza EC pushing for promotion and Avai fighting relegation. This disparity suggests Fortaleza EC will press aggressively, generating corners, while Avai's defensive posture and desperation to avoid defeat may lead to conceding more corners under pressure, supporting the Over 9.5 Corners market.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Fortaleza EC Over 2.5

60%Avai Over 2.5

2.29H2H avg goals

Over the last seven meetings, the average goals stand at 2.29, indicating moderately open games. Recent matches in Serie B show a trend towards higher goal and corner counts due to tactical openness and transitional play. This trend suggests a tempo conducive to multiple attacking phases and set pieces, aligning with the Over 2.5 Goals trend panel and supporting a high corner count in this fixture.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Fortaleza EC v Avai Stats

Match Report

Over 9.5 Corners

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

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What To Watch In The Data

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Fortaleza EC v Avai Stats

Match Report

Over 9.5 Corners

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Fortaleza EC

Avai

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