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Once Caldas crestOnce Caldas
v
Deportivo Cali crestDeportivo Cali

Primera A | Mon 14 Sep, 00:10

Once Caldas v Deportivo Cali Stats

Data last updated: Sun 13 Sep 2026, 08:38 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Once Caldas and Deportivo Cali meet in a tightly contested Primera A clash where both teams have shown offensive intent despite mixed recent results. Once Caldas has struggled to find the net consistently, averaging 0.8 goals per game, while Deportivo Cali has been more potent with 1.4 goals per match. Both sides have conceded at similar rates, suggesting an open game with chances at both ends. The mid-table positioning and equal points tally add competitive tension, with both teams likely to push for attacking opportunities to secure vital points in this fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have strong BTTS rates: Once Caldas 60%, Deportivo Cali 80%.
  • Recent form shows Deportivo Cali averages 1.4 goals per game, Once Caldas 0.8.
  • Both teams concede around 1.2 goals per match, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
  • H2H average goals stand at 1.8 over last 10 meetings, supporting goal-scoring chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, well above the implied market chance of 52.4%, indicating clear value at 1.91 . Both sides have shown consistent attacking output and defensive lapses, with Deportivo Cali's higher scoring rate and Once Caldas' moderate BTTS frequency reinforcing the likelihood of goals at both ends. Player-level data highlights key attackers like D. Guzman for Once Caldas and S. Rodríguez for Deportivo Cali, who contribute significant shot volume and goal threat, further supporting this market. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model BTTS Probability76%
Strong positive
Once Caldas BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Deportivo Cali BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance52.4%
Positive
Key Player Goal ThreatsD. Moreno, H. Guzman, S. Rodríguez
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown enough attacking promise and defensive frailty to expect goals at both ends in this fixture. Deportivo Cali's slightly better scoring form and Once Caldas' home motivation suggest an open game where both sides find the net. This pick aligns well with recent trends and player contributions, making it a tactically and statistically sound choice.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking and defensive balance supporting BTTS

“The attacking profiles of both Once Caldas and Deportivo Cali, combined with their defensive records, make both teams to score a compelling market. Key forwards like D. Rodríguez consistently create chances, ensuring goal threats from both sides.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have strong BTTS rates: Once Caldas 60%, Deportivo Cali 80%.

Recent form shows Deportivo Cali averages 1.4 goals per game, Once Caldas 0.8.

Both teams concede around 1.2 goals per match, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

H2H average goals stand at 1.8 over last 10 meetings, supporting goal-scoring chances.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.8, indicating a moderate scoring trend.
  • The recent BTTS and over 2.5 goals rates suggest a match tempo conducive to goals, supporting an open game with scoring opportunities for both sides.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Once Caldas4.6
Avg corners for
Deportivo Cali3
Once Caldas7.6
Avg total corners
Deportivo Cali7.2
Once Caldas2.6
Avg yellow cards
Deportivo Cali3.4
Once Caldas15.8
Avg shots
Deportivo Cali12.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 46% vs implied 55% · edge -8.7 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Once Caldas averages 5 corners and 17.25 shots per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure, while Deportivo Cali averages fewer corners (3) but still generates 12.2 shots per match. Both teams have moderate card counts, with Deportivo Cali averaging 3.4 yellows, suggesting a competitive but not overly aggressive contest.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Once Caldas0.8
Avg goals scored
Deportivo Cali1.4
Once Caldas1.2
Avg goals conceded
Deportivo Cali1.2
Once Caldas60%
BTTS rate
Deportivo Cali80%
Once Caldas20%
Over 2.5 goals
Deportivo Cali40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both teams have demonstrated a propensity to score and concede, with Once Caldas scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 goals per game, and Deportivo Cali scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2. Their BTTS rates of 60% and 80% respectively reflect this balance, suggesting a match where both sides will find the net is likely.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Deportivo Cali Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
2
Check odds @ 2
Deportivo Cali to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 46%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Once Caldas Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively at 1.91 with a of 76%, indicating strong value. The market's implied chance of 52.4% significantly underestimates the likelihood of goals from both sides, making this a positive value bet with no current price warnings.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Once Caldas

LWDDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
05 Sep 2026A Chico0-2
02 Sep 2026A Fortaleza FC2-1
24 Aug 2026A Junior1-1
10 Aug 2026A Jaguares1-1
06 Aug 2026H America de Cali0-1

Deportivo Cali

DDLDW
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
11 Sep 2026A Millonarios1-1
31 Aug 2026H Bucaramanga1-1
27 Aug 2026A Atletico Nacional1-2
24 Aug 2026H Internacional de Bogota2-2
09 Aug 2026A Deportivo Pasto2-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Deportivo Cali Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
2
Check odds @ 2
Deportivo Cali to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Once Caldas Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 62%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Once Caldas to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Recent form shows Deportivo Cali with a slightly better offensive output, averaging 1.4 goals per game compared to Once Caldas' 0.8, but both teams have conceded similarly. The BTTS rates of 80% and 60% respectively underline the likelihood of goals from both sides in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Once Caldas wins
4Draws
1Deportivo Cali wins
07 Mar 2026Deportivo Cali v Once Caldas0-2
11 Jan 2026Deportivo Cali v Once Caldas0-0
14 Nov 2025Deportivo Cali v Once Caldas1-1
25 May 2025Once Caldas v Deportivo Cali1-0
14 Sep 2024Once Caldas v Deportivo Cali4-1
02 Mar 2024Deportivo Cali v Once Caldas0-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Deportivo Cali to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Once Caldas to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
The last 10 meetings between Once Caldas and Deportivo Cali have averaged 1.8 goals per game, showing a moderate scoring history. While not high-scoring, this trend combined with current form supports the likelihood of both teams scoring in this fixture.
Season team stats

Primera A

Once Caldas28
Played
Deportivo Cali26
Once Caldas1.6
Avg goals for
Deportivo Cali1.1
Once Caldas1.2
Avg goals against
Deportivo Cali0.9
Once Caldas4
Clean sheets
Deportivo Cali9
Best odds for this sectionDeportivo Cali Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 50% · edge +9.3 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Deportivo Cali to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Once Caldas Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Once Caldas to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Season-long stats reveal both teams have balanced scoring and conceding patterns, supporting the BTTS market. Deportivo Cali's higher scoring rate and Once Caldas' moderate BTTS frequency align with the expectation of goals at both ends.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Once Caldas33198929
9Deportivo Cali27197664
11Once Caldas972322
12Deportivo Cali972322
Both teams sit mid-table with equal points, reflecting a competitive environment where securing points is crucial. This context encourages offensive play to break deadlocks, increasing the chance of both teams scoring.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Once Caldas Over 2.5
40%Deportivo Cali Over 2.5
1.8H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.8, indicating a moderate scoring trend. The recent BTTS and over 2.5 goals rates suggest a match tempo conducive to goals, supporting an open game with scoring opportunities for both sides.

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