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Deportivo Pereira crestDeportivo Pereira
v
Bucaramanga crestBucaramanga

Primera A | Sun 13 Sep, 20:00

Deportivo Pereira v Bucaramanga Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:07 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Deportivo Pereira face Bucaramanga in Primera A on Sun 13 Sep, 20:00. Deportivo Pereira come in with 6 recent points and 0.6 goals per match, while Bucaramanga have 7 points and 1.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 1.62, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 62%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Deportivo Pereira and 20% for Bucaramanga, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Bucaramanga are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with Deportivo Pereira at 0.6.
  • BTTS rates of 40% for Deportivo Pereira and 80% for Bucaramanga show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 62% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Deportivo Pereira and 20% for Bucaramanga, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 62% implied
Neutral
The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Deportivo Pereira.Visible data support
Positive
Bucaramanga are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Bucaramanga are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with Deportivo Pereira at 0.6. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Bucaramanga are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with Deportivo Pereira at 0.6.

BTTS rates of 40% for Deportivo Pereira and 80% for Bucaramanga show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Deportivo Pereira2
Avg corners for
Bucaramanga1.5
Deportivo Pereira7.6
Avg total corners
Bucaramanga4.25
Deportivo Pereira2
Avg yellow cards
Bucaramanga4.25
Deportivo Pereira8.4
Avg shots
Bucaramanga11.25

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Deportivo Pereira0.6
Avg goals scored
Bucaramanga1.2
Deportivo Pereira1
Avg goals conceded
Bucaramanga1
Deportivo Pereira40%
BTTS rate
Bucaramanga80%
Deportivo Pereira40%
Over 2.5 goals
Bucaramanga20%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 62% · edge +4.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 40% for Deportivo Pereira and 20% for Bucaramanga, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 50% · edge +13.3 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Deportivo Pereira to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Deportivo Pereira Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Bucaramanga to WinBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Bucaramanga Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 59%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Deportivo Pereira

DLWDD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
07 Sep 2026H Millonarios1-1
04 Sep 2026H Independiente Medellin0-3
01 Sep 2026A Deportivo Pasto2-1
22 Aug 2026A Alianza Valledupar0-0
01 Aug 2026A Fortaleza FC0-0

Bucaramanga

DDWDD
Last 51W 4D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 5D 2L
31 Aug 2026A Deportivo Cali1-1
22 Aug 2026A Deportes Tolima0-0
09 Aug 2026A Alianza Valledupar3-2
04 Aug 2026H Cucuta1-1
31 Jul 2026H Llaneros1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 51% · edge +10.3 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Deportivo Pereira to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Deportivo Pereira Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 77%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Bucaramanga to WinBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Bucaramanga Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 59%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Deportivo Pereira wins
3Draws
4Bucaramanga wins
10 Mar 2026Bucaramanga v Deportivo Pereira3-0
31 Aug 2025Deportivo Pereira v Bucaramanga0-1
14 Mar 2025Bucaramanga v Deportivo Pereira0-1
13 Oct 2024Bucaramanga v Deportivo Pereira1-1
02 Jun 2024Bucaramanga v Deportivo Pereira3-1
04 May 2024Deportivo Pereira v Bucaramanga1-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 50% · edge +13.3 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Deportivo Pereira to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Bucaramanga to WinBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Primera A

Deportivo Pereira25
Played
Bucaramanga25
Deportivo Pereira0.7
Avg goals for
Bucaramanga1.3
Deportivo Pereira1.5
Avg goals against
Bucaramanga1
Deportivo Pereira5
Clean sheets
Bucaramanga9
Best odds for this sectionDeportivo Pereira to WinBet365 guide price · Model 34% vs implied 21% · edge +13.2 pts
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Load more odds for this section
Deportivo Pereira Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Bucaramanga to WinBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Bucaramanga Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 59%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Season data supports Deportivo Pereira to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
13Bucaramanga23195866
20Deportivo Pereira10191711-17
9Bucaramanga1062402
16Deportivo Pereira66132-3
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Deportivo Pereira Over 2.5
20%Bucaramanga Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Deportivo Pereira sit at 40% and Bucaramanga sit at 20% with the H2H average at 2.3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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Fixture links

Prediction context

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