Football Stats Hub

Alianza Valledupar crestAlianza Valledupar
v
Junior crestJunior

Primera A | Sun 13 Sep, 02:20

Alianza Valledupar v Junior Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:07 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Primera A clash features Alianza Valledupar hosting Junior in a fixture where both teams are seeking to improve their modest points tallies. Junior arrives with slightly better recent form and a more potent attack, while Alianza Valledupar has struggled defensively but shown some attacking intent. The match promises open play with both sides likely to push forward, creating opportunities at both ends. Tactical setups suggest a contest where defensive vulnerabilities could be exploited, making goal-scoring chances for both teams a key feature of the game.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Junior has a high BTTS rate of 80% this season, indicating frequent scoring and conceding.
  • Alianza Valledupar concedes an average of 2.4 goals per game, showing defensive fragility.
  • Both teams have decent shot volumes, with Junior averaging nearly 15 shots and Alianza Valledupar 11 per match.
  • The head-to-head average of 2.4 goals per game supports a match with goals at both ends.
  • Junior's attackers like Luis Muriel and Teófilo Gutiérrez provide consistent goal threats and shot volume.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 70% chance for both teams to score, reflecting Junior's strong attacking output and Alianza Valledupar's defensive vulnerabilities. Junior's high BTTS rate (80%) combined with Alianza Valledupar's tendency to concede over two goals per game supports this view. The attacking roles of players like Luis Muriel, who averages 1.95 shots on target per 90 minutes, further enhance scoring potential. The pricing at 1.8 offers positive value given the model's and the tactical openness expected in the match.

Junior BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Alianza Valledupar Goals Against2.4 per game
Strong positive
Luis Muriel Shots on Target1.95 per 90 minutes
Positive
Model Confidence86%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance55.6%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown tendencies to concede and score, especially Junior with their attacking firepower led by Luis Muriel and Teófilo Gutiérrez. Alianza Valledupar's defensive struggles and willingness to attack suggest this match will feature goals from both sides. The data supports a BTTS outcome as a logical expectation based on recent performances and player influence.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking roles and defensive vulnerabilities

“Junior's attacking trio, particularly Muriel and Gutiérrez, create sustained pressure and scoring chances, while Alianza Valledupar's defensive record invites goals at both ends, making BTTS a compelling angle.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Junior has a high BTTS rate of 80% this season, indicating frequent scoring and conceding.

Alianza Valledupar concedes an average of 2.4 goals per game, showing defensive fragility.

Both teams have decent shot volumes, with Junior averaging nearly 15 shots and Alianza Valledupar 11 per match.

The head-to-head average of 2.4 goals per game supports a match with goals at both ends.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 2.4, indicating a moderate scoring tempo.
  • Junior's matches have a 40% Over 2.5 rate, while Alianza Valledupar's is 60%, suggesting a reasonable chance for a higher-scoring game.
  • The trend points to an open tempo with opportunities for both teams to score.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Alianza Valledupar3.4
Avg corners for
Junior4.2
Alianza Valledupar6.4
Avg total corners
Junior9.2
Alianza Valledupar3.2
Avg yellow cards
Junior3.4
Alianza Valledupar11
Avg shots
Junior14.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 36%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Both teams generate a healthy number of shots and corners, with Junior averaging 14.75 shots and 4.75 corners per game, while Alianza Valledupar averages 11 shots and 3.4 corners. The similar yellow card averages (3.2 and 3.5) suggest a competitive but not overly aggressive match, with sustained attacking pressure likely to produce set-piece opportunities and shots on target.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Alianza Valledupar0.6
Avg goals scored
Junior1.4
Alianza Valledupar2.4
Avg goals conceded
Junior2
Alianza Valledupar40%
BTTS rate
Junior80%
Alianza Valledupar60%
Over 2.5 goals
Junior40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 56% · edge +14.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 31%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Junior's 80% BTTS rate and Alianza Valledupar's 40% rate, combined with their average goals conceded per game (2.0 and 2.4 respectively), point to a match with goals at both ends. The head-to-head average of 2.4 goals per game further supports this, indicating a pattern of open games where both sides find the net.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 56% · edge +14.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Junior Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Junior to WinBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Alianza Valledupar to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Alianza Valledupar Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at 1.8, reflecting a 55.6% implied chance, which is notably below the model's 70% probability. This gap indicates positive value in the market, supported by Junior's offensive strength and Alianza Valledupar's defensive concessions. The price is attractive without warning flags, suggesting a standard stake approach is appropriate.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Alianza Valledupar

LLLDL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 4D 6L
03 Sep 2026A America de Cali0-3
30 Aug 2026H Atletico Nacional1-5
26 Aug 2026A Cucuta0-1
22 Aug 2026H Deportivo Pereira0-0
09 Aug 2026H Bucaramanga2-3

Junior

DDLDL
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 5D 4L
06 Sep 2026H Jaguares3-3
30 Aug 2026H Santa Fe1-1
27 Aug 2026A America de Cali2-4
24 Aug 2026H Once Caldas1-1
02 Aug 2026H Millonarios0-1
Best odds for this sectionJunior Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 82%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Junior to WinBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Alianza Valledupar to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Alianza Valledupar Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Junior's recent form shows more points gained and a higher goals-for average (1.4) compared to Alianza Valledupar's 0.6, suggesting better attacking momentum. Alianza Valledupar's defense has conceded heavily (2.4 goals per game), increasing the likelihood of conceding again. These form trends align with an expectation of goals from both teams in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Alianza Valledupar wins
3Draws
7Junior wins
06 Mar 2026Junior v Alianza Valledupar1-1
12 Oct 2025Alianza Valledupar v Junior0-1
20 Apr 2025Junior v Alianza Valledupar2-0
04 Aug 2024Junior v Alianza Valledupar2-2
05 Feb 2024Alianza Valledupar v Junior0-1
15 Sep 2023Alianza Valledupar v Junior1-5
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 56% · edge +14.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Junior to WinBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Alianza Valledupar to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
The head-to-head record over ten matches shows an average of 2.4 goals per game, indicating a history of moderately open contests. While not overwhelmingly high-scoring, the data suggests both teams have found the net in several encounters, providing some support for the BTTS selection.
Season team stats

Primera A

Alianza Valledupar26
Played
Junior31
Alianza Valledupar0.7
Avg goals for
Junior1.5
Alianza Valledupar1.6
Avg goals against
Junior1.3
Alianza Valledupar5
Clean sheets
Junior9
Best odds for this sectionJunior Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Junior to WinBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Alianza Valledupar to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Alianza Valledupar Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Season-long data reveals Junior's stronger offensive profile with more shots and higher BTTS percentage, while Alianza Valledupar's defensive record is among the weakest, conceding 2.4 goals per game. These stats underpin the expectation that both teams will find the net, as defensive lapses meet potent attacking threats.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Junior351911267
17Alianza Valledupar1719388-14
18Junior36033-4
20Alianza Valledupar27025-10
Both teams are positioned near the bottom of the Primera A table, with Junior slightly ahead. The standings reflect pressure to secure points, likely encouraging open play and risk-taking in attack. This competitive context supports a match environment conducive to goals from both sides.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Alianza Valledupar Over 2.5
40%Junior Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 2.4, indicating a moderate scoring tempo. Junior's matches have a 40% Over 2.5 rate, while Alianza Valledupar's is 60%, suggesting a reasonable chance for a higher-scoring game. The trend points to an open tempo with opportunities for both teams to score.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

More stats pages

Internacional de Bogota v LlanerosPrimera A · Sat 12 Sep 22:05Chico v Independiente MedellinPrimera A · Sun 13 Sep 00:10America de Cali v Deportivo PastoPrimera A · Sun 13 Sep 02:15Deportivo Pereira v BucaramangaPrimera A · Sun 13 Sep 20:00

Competition and hubs

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre