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Atletico Nacional crestAtletico Nacional
v
Águilas Doradas crestÁguilas Doradas

Primera A | Sun 13 Sep, 22:05

Atletico Nacional v Águilas Doradas Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:07 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Atletico Nacional face Águilas Doradas in Primera A on Sun 13 Sep, 22:05. Atletico Nacional come in with 12 recent points and 2.4 goals per match, while Águilas Doradas have 7 points and 1.6 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 2, Both Teams to Score implies roughly 50%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 65%.
  • Atletico Nacional show a 60% BTTS rate and Águilas Doradas show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Atletico Nacional average 2.4 goals scored and Águilas Doradas average 1.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 65% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price. Atletico Nacional show a 60% BTTS rate and Águilas Doradas show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price65% model chance against roughly 50% implied
Strong positive
Atletico Nacional show a 60% BTTS rate and Águilas Doradas.Visible data support
Positive
Atletico Nacional average 2.4 goals scored and Águilas Doradas average.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Atletico Nacional show a 60% BTTS rate and Águilas Doradas show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Atletico Nacional show a 60% BTTS rate and Águilas Doradas show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Atletico Nacional average 2.4 goals scored and Águilas Doradas average 1.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Atletico Nacional2.4
Avg goals scored
Águilas Doradas1.6
Atletico Nacional0.8
Avg goals conceded
Águilas Doradas1.4
Atletico Nacional60%
BTTS rate
Águilas Doradas100%
Atletico Nacional80%
Over 2.5 goals
Águilas Doradas60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 85%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Atletico Nacional to WinBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Águilas Doradas Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 38%
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
Atletico Nacional Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Águilas Doradas to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
8
Check odds @ 8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Atletico Nacional7.5
Avg corners for
Águilas Doradas7.67
Atletico Nacional11.25
Avg total corners
Águilas Doradas10.67
Atletico Nacional2.25
Avg yellow cards
Águilas Doradas3.67
Atletico Nacional16
Avg shots
Águilas Doradas14.33
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 55% · edge +13.3 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Atletico Nacional

WWWLW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 108W 0D 2L
30 Aug 2026A Alianza Valledupar5-1
27 Aug 2026H Deportivo Cali2-1
23 Aug 2026A Fortaleza FC2-1
10 Aug 2026A America de Cali0-1
02 Aug 2026A Jaguares3-0

Águilas Doradas

DDDDW
Last 51W 4D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 5D 2L
06 Sep 2026A Internacional de Bogota2-2
30 Aug 2026H Chico2-2
22 Aug 2026H Millonarios1-1
19 Aug 2026H Llaneros1-1
01 Aug 2026A Deportivo Pasto2-1
Best odds for this sectionAtletico Nacional to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 71% · edge +1.7 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
Águilas Doradas Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 38%
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Atletico Nacional Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Águilas Doradas to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
8
Check odds @ 8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

6Atletico Nacional wins
2Draws
2Águilas Doradas wins
07 Mar 2026Águilas Doradas v Atletico Nacional1-2
08 Nov 2025Atletico Nacional v Águilas Doradas2-1
18 May 2025Águilas Doradas v Atletico Nacional2-1
06 Aug 2024Atletico Nacional v Águilas Doradas1-1
19 Jun 2024Atletico Nacional v Águilas Doradas2-2
04 Feb 2024Águilas Doradas v Atletico Nacional0-3
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Atletico Nacional to WinBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Águilas Doradas to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
8
Check odds @ 8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Primera A

Atletico Nacional30
Played
Águilas Doradas25
Atletico Nacional2
Avg goals for
Águilas Doradas1.2
Atletico Nacional0.8
Avg goals against
Águilas Doradas1.3
Atletico Nacional10
Clean sheets
Águilas Doradas4
Best odds for this sectionAtletico Nacional to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 71% · edge +1.7 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
Águilas Doradas Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 38%
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
Atletico Nacional Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Águilas Doradas to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
8
Check odds @ 8
Season data supports Atletico Nacional to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Atletico Nacional4019131520
12Águilas Doradas2619757-5
6Atletico Nacional1254018
8Águilas Doradas1062402
Atletico Nacional sit in position 6, while Águilas Doradas sit in position 8, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams to Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Atletico Nacional Over 2.5
60%Águilas Doradas Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Atletico Nacional sit at 80% and Águilas Doradas sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

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Betting context

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