New York Red Bulls
Chicago FireMajor League Soccer | Sun 23 Aug, 00:30
New York Red Bulls v Chicago Fire Stats
Data last updated: Sun 23 Aug 2026, 11:29 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
This Major League Soccer clash features Chicago Fire visiting New York Red Bulls, with Chicago currently third in the standings and New York eighth. Chicago Fire have shown strong recent form, securing nine points in their last three matches, while New York have struggled with just three points in the same period. Chicago's tactical setup emphasizes efficient attacking transitions and disciplined defense, which has been effective on the road. The Red Bulls face pressure to improve results at home, but Chicago's momentum and squad depth create an intriguing contest with potential for an away win.
Chicago Fire to Win
- Chicago Fire hold a strong recent form advantage with 9 points from last 3 games versus New York's 3 points.
- Chicago Fire average 1.8 goals per game, showing more consistent scoring than New York's 1.0.
- New York Red Bulls take more shots per game (15.2) but Chicago Fire have a higher conversion efficiency.
- Chicago Fire have a perfect 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently, indicating open games with scoring chances.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model favors Chicago Fire to win with a 70% chance, reflecting their superior recent form and league position. Chicago's attack, led by H. Cuypers with 13 goals and strong shot accuracy, combines with a solid defense conceding 1.8 goals per game, matching New York's defensive record but with better offensive output. The of 29.2% at of 2.45 indicates this is a strong value bet. The data quality is robust for both teams, supporting in this selection.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Chicago Fire's recent form and attacking efficiency make them the logical pick to win this match. Their ability to convert chances, led by striker H. Cuypers, combined with disciplined defense, should overcome New York Red Bulls' home efforts. Chicago's league standing and momentum provide a solid foundation for victory in this contest.
Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome
“Chicago Fire's clinical finishing and tactical discipline on the road give them a clear edge over New York Red Bulls, who have struggled to capitalize on their shot control. This match favors the visitors tactically and statistically.”
Key Data Signals
Chicago Fire to Win evidence
Chicago Fire hold a strong recent form advantage with 9 points from last 3 games versus New York's 3 points.
Chicago Fire average 1.8 goals per game, showing more consistent scoring than New York's 1.0.
New York Red Bulls take more shots per game (15.2) but Chicago Fire have a higher conversion efficiency.
Chicago Fire have a perfect 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently, indicating open games with scoring chances.
What To Watch In The Data
Chicago Fire to Win notes
- In the last ten meetings between these teams, the average goals per game is 2.7, supporting a trend towards open matches with multiple goals.
- Chicago Fire's recent 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate further suggests this fixture is likely to feature attacking play and goal-scoring opportunities from both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Useful next reads
Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Season team stats
Major League Soccer
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 36 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 11 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | -12 |
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
