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CF Montreal crestCF Montreal
v
Los Angeles Galaxy crestLos Angeles Galaxy

Major League Soccer | Sun 23 Aug, 00:30

CF Montreal v Los Angeles Galaxy Stats

Data last updated: Sun 23 Aug 2026, 12:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

CF Montreal hosts Los Angeles Galaxy in a Major League Soccer clash where Montreal aims to capitalize on recent momentum and home advantage. Montreal has secured 5 points recently with a solid defensive record, conceding just 1.2 goals per game, while Galaxy have struggled for form and goals. Montreal's tactical setup emphasizes structured defense and quick transitions, seeking to exploit Galaxy's inconsistent performances. The match carries importance for Montreal to climb the standings, adding urgency to their approach, while Galaxy look to arrest their poor run away from home.

BT4Y match pick

CF Montreal to Win

  • CF Montreal has earned 5 points in recent matches, showing improved form.
  • Montreal concedes just 1.2 goals per game, indicating defensive solidity.
  • CF Montreal averages 12.8 shots and 5.2 shots on target per match, reflecting attacking intent.
  • Los Angeles Galaxy have struggled for goals and points recently, increasing Montreal's chances.
  • Montreal ranks 14th but is motivated to close the gap on Galaxy, who sit 10th with 25 points.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 65.5% chance for CF Montreal to win, reflecting their recent form and home advantage. Montreal's balanced attack, averaging nearly 13 shots per game, combined with a disciplined defense conceding just over one goal per match, supports this . Galaxy's offensive struggles and lack of recent points further tilt the . The data quality is solid for both teams, reinforcing the reliability of this prediction. The price at 2.2 offers positive value given the model's higher win probability, making this a compelling selection.

Recent FormMontreal earned 5 points recently; Galaxy none
Strong positive
Attack/Defense BalanceMontreal averages 12.8 shots, concedes 1.2 goals
Positive
Galaxy Offensive StrugglesLimited goals and shots data, poor recent output
Positive
Data QualityGood data coverage for both teams
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

CF Montreal's recent form and home attacking pressure make them the logical pick to secure victory. Their defensive discipline combined with Galaxy's offensive difficulties provides a clear tactical and statistical edge for Montreal to claim three points in this matchup.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Montreal's blend of solid defense and consistent shot creation positions them well against a struggling Galaxy side. Their home advantage and recent momentum are key factors that could decide this contest.”

Key Data Signals

CF Montreal to Win evidence

CF Montreal has earned 5 points in recent matches, showing improved form.

Montreal concedes just 1.2 goals per game, indicating defensive solidity.

CF Montreal averages 12.8 shots and 5.2 shots on target per match, reflecting attacking intent.

Los Angeles Galaxy have struggled for goals and points recently, increasing Montreal's chances.

What To Watch In The Data

CF Montreal to Win notes

  • Over the last five matches, Montreal's games have a 40% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating moderate scoring tempo.
  • The trend suggests a balanced game with chances for goals but not an open high-scoring affair, reflecting tactical discipline and measured attacking intent.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

CF Montreal1
Avg goals scored
Los Angeles Galaxy0.6
CF Montreal1.2
Avg goals conceded
Los Angeles Galaxy1
CF Montreal60%
BTTS rate
Los Angeles Galaxy40%
CF Montreal40%
Over 2.5 goals
Los Angeles Galaxy20%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 41%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 23%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Montreal's matches show a 40% rate of over 2.5 goals and 60% BTTS, suggesting moderate scoring with both teams often finding the net. Galaxy's limited scoring data hints at a lower offensive threat, potentially keeping goals moderate but with chances for both sides to score.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

CF Montreal

WDDLL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 5D 3L
20 Aug 2026A Columbus Crew2-1
16 Aug 2026H DC United1-1
02 Aug 2026H New England Revolution2-2
26 Jul 2026H Inter Miami0-1
23 Jul 2026A Nashville SC0-1

Los Angeles Galaxy

WLDDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
20 Aug 2026H San Jose Earthquakes1-0
16 Aug 2026A Houston Dynamo0-1
02 Aug 2026H FC Dallas0-0
26 Jul 2026A San Jose Earthquakes1-1
23 Jul 2026H St. Louis City1-3
Market aligned with main pickCF Montreal to WinBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 46% · edge -0.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
CF Montreal Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Montreal's recent 5 points and improved defensive record contrast with Galaxy's winless streak and scoring difficulties. This momentum difference underpins Montreal's favored status and suggests they will control the game's tempo and chances.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
12Los Angeles Galaxy2622688-5
13CF Montreal21215610-10
Montreal sits 14th with 20 points, trailing Galaxy's 10th place and 25 points. While Galaxy holds a higher position, Montreal's recent form and home advantage reduce the gap's impact, making the standings a background factor rather than a decisive edge.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCF Montreal to WinBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 46% · edge -0.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
CF Montreal Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
The for CF Montreal to win at 2.2 reflect a market underestimating their 65.5% , indicating positive value. Montreal's recent form and home advantage justify this price, making the market attractive rather than overpriced.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

CF Montreal4.2
Avg corners for
Los Angeles Galaxy4.2
CF Montreal8.2
Avg total corners
Los Angeles Galaxy9.8
CF Montreal1.4
Avg yellow cards
Los Angeles Galaxy2.8
CF Montreal12.8
Avg shots
Los Angeles Galaxy11.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2
Check odds @ 2
Montreal averages 4.2 corners and 12.8 shots per game, indicating territorial control and sustained pressure. Their disciplined approach yields only 1.4 yellow cards on average, suggesting controlled aggression. These factors support a game with active attacking phases and manageable discipline levels.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1CF Montreal wins
3Draws
5Los Angeles Galaxy wins
05 Jul 2022Los Angeles Galaxy v CF Montreal4-0
22 Sep 2019Los Angeles Galaxy v CF Montreal2-1
21 May 2018CF Montreal v Los Angeles Galaxy0-1
08 Apr 2017Los Angeles Galaxy v CF Montreal2-0
29 May 2016CF Montreal v Los Angeles Galaxy3-2
13 Sep 2015Los Angeles Galaxy v CF Montreal0-0
Market aligned with main pickCF Montreal to WinBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 46% · edge -0.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
No previous head-to-head matches exist between these teams, so historical data offers no direct insight. Tactical setups and recent form data carry greater weight in predicting the outcome for this fixture.
Season team stats

Major League Soccer

CF Montreal21
Played
Los Angeles Galaxy22
CF Montreal1.4
Avg goals for
Los Angeles Galaxy1.2
CF Montreal1.9
Avg goals against
Los Angeles Galaxy1.5
CF Montreal4
Clean sheets
Los Angeles Galaxy4
Market aligned with main pickCF Montreal to WinBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 46% · edge -0.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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CF Montreal Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Montreal's season stats reveal a solid defense conceding 1.2 goals per game and a healthy shot volume, supporting their ability to control matches. Galaxy's less consistent offensive numbers and defensive lapses highlight Montreal's advantage in season-long performance.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%CF Montreal Over 2.5
20%Los Angeles Galaxy Over 2.5
2.44H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Montreal's games have a 40% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating moderate scoring tempo. The trend suggests a balanced game with chances for goals but not an open high-scoring affair, reflecting tactical discipline and measured attacking intent.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.