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FC Cincinnati crestFC Cincinnati
v
Seattle Sounders crestSeattle Sounders

Major League Soccer | Sun 23 Aug, 00:30

FC Cincinnati v Seattle Sounders Stats

Data last updated: Mon 24 Aug 2026, 14:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Cincinnati hosts Seattle Sounders in a Major League Soccer clash where Cincinnati's recent form and home advantage set the stage for a competitive encounter. Cincinnati has collected 30 points, sitting fifth in the standings, while Seattle is twelfth with 24 points. Cincinnati's attacking momentum and tactical discipline contrast with Seattle's struggles to convert chances and defensive vulnerabilities. This match carries importance for both teams seeking to improve their playoff positioning, with Cincinnati aiming to capitalize on their stronger recent performances and home conditions.

BT4Y best bet

FC Cincinnati to Win

  • FC Cincinnati holds a 74% to win, reflecting strong recent form and home advantage.
  • Cincinnati averages 2.4 goals per game, significantly higher than Seattle's 0.6, indicating superior attacking output.
  • Seattle's defensive record concedes 2 goals per game, while Cincinnati concedes 1.8, suggesting defensive frailties on both sides.
  • Cincinnati's over 2.5 goals rate is 80%, supporting an attacking game plan likely to pressure Seattle's defense.
  • Seattle's key players like N. Ferreira offer attacking threats but have not translated into consistent team success.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors FC Cincinnati to win with a 74% chance, driven by their superior recent form, higher goal-scoring rate, and home advantage. Cincinnati's offensive efficiency and defensive stability contrast with Seattle's lower scoring and leaky defense. The 11.5% at 1.6 indicates a positive betting opportunity. While Seattle has individual attacking talents, their overall team performance and recent results suggest Cincinnati is better positioned to secure victory. No price warnings apply, supporting a standard stake recommendation.

Recent FormCincinnati has 10 points in recent matches vs Seattle's 0
Strong positive
Goal Scoring2.4 goals per game for Cincinnati vs 0.6 for Seattle
Strong positive
Defensive RecordCincinnati concedes 1.8 goals, Seattle concedes 2
Positive
Model Probability74% chance for Cincinnati win
Strong positive
Value Edge11.5% positive value at 1.6 odds
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

FC Cincinnati's consistent attacking output and home form provide a tactical and statistical edge over Seattle Sounders, who have struggled to convert chances and maintain defensive solidity. This combination of form and data underpins the in Cincinnati securing the win in this matchup.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Cincinnati's offensive rhythm and defensive resilience at home create a clear advantage against a Seattle side that has yet to find consistent form. Their ability to control tempo and capitalize on chances makes them the logical pick for victory.”

Key Data Signals

FC Cincinnati to Win evidence

FC Cincinnati holds a 74% to win, reflecting strong recent form and home advantage.

Cincinnati averages 2.4 goals per game, significantly higher than Seattle's 0.6, indicating superior attacking output.

Seattle's defensive record concedes 2 goals per game, while Cincinnati concedes 1.8, suggesting defensive frailties on both sides.

Cincinnati's over 2.5 goals rate is 80%, supporting an attacking game plan likely to pressure Seattle's defense.

What To Watch In The Data

FC Cincinnati to Win notes

  • In the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.67, indicating a moderate scoring trend.
  • Cincinnati's 80% over 2.5 goals rate and Seattle's 60% suggest a match likely to feature multiple goals, driven by Cincinnati's attacking style and Seattle's defensive lapses.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Cincinnati2.4
Avg goals scored
Seattle Sounders0.6
FC Cincinnati1.8
Avg goals conceded
Seattle Sounders2
FC Cincinnati100%
BTTS rate
Seattle Sounders60%
FC Cincinnati80%
Over 2.5 goals
Seattle Sounders60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 85%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 37%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Cincinnati's high scoring average of 2.4 goals per game and 100% BTTS rate suggest open games with goals at both ends, while Seattle's lower scoring and 60% BTTS rate indicate fewer goals but some offensive threat. This mix points to a likely competitive match with multiple goals and both teams scoring chances.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickFC Cincinnati to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 63% · edge +11.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
FC Cincinnati Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
The 1.6 for FC Cincinnati to win reflect a strong model of 74%, indicating positive value with an 11.5% edge. This price aligns well with Cincinnati's superior recent form and attacking statistics, making the market a sound betting opportunity without price sensitivity concerns.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

FC Cincinnati3.25
Avg corners for
Seattle Sounders3.6
FC Cincinnati8.75
Avg total corners
Seattle Sounders9
FC Cincinnati1.75
Avg yellow cards
Seattle Sounders1.8
FC Cincinnati11.75
Avg shots
Seattle Sounders11.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 55% · edge -2 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Seattle averages more corners (5.33) and shots (15) than Cincinnati, indicating they generate set-piece opportunities and offensive pressure despite lower goal conversion. Both teams have similar yellow card averages, suggesting a balanced disciplinary profile that may allow for sustained attacking play without excessive interruptions.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Cincinnati

WDWLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
20 Aug 2026H New York City FC2-1
16 Aug 2026A Orlando City SC1-1
02 Aug 2026H San Jose Earthquakes4-2
26 Jul 2026A Columbus Crew1-2
23 Jul 2026H Vancouver Whitecaps4-3

Seattle Sounders

LLLLL
Last 50W 0D 5L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 8L
20 Aug 2026H Austin1-2
17 Aug 2026H Vancouver Whitecaps0-2
02 Aug 2026A Portland Timbers1-2
26 Jul 2026A Philadelphia Union0-1
23 Jul 2026A Austin1-3
Market aligned with main pickFC Cincinnati to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 63% · edge +11.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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FC Cincinnati Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
FC Cincinnati's recent form is markedly superior, earning 10 points in recent matches compared to Seattle's zero, reflecting momentum and . This form disparity underlines Cincinnati's ability to control games and convert chances, while Seattle's struggles highlight tactical and execution challenges.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1FC Cincinnati wins
1Draws
1Seattle Sounders wins
12 Mar 2023FC Cincinnati v Seattle Sounders1-0
28 Sep 2022Seattle Sounders v FC Cincinnati1-1
03 Mar 2019Seattle Sounders v FC Cincinnati4-1
Market aligned with main pickFC Cincinnati to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 63% · edge +11.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
The three recent meetings between these teams average 2.67 goals per game, showing a moderately open scoring pattern. While this sample is limited, it suggests that matches tend to produce multiple goals, supporting expectations for an active offensive contest in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati21
Played
Seattle Sounders20
FC Cincinnati2.3
Avg goals for
Seattle Sounders1.1
FC Cincinnati2.2
Avg goals against
Seattle Sounders1.4
FC Cincinnati2
Clean sheets
Seattle Sounders5
Market aligned with main pickFC Cincinnati to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 63% · edge +11.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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FC Cincinnati Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Over the season, Cincinnati's attack has been productive with 2.4 goals per game and a strong BTTS rate, while their defense concedes 1.8 goals. Seattle's lower scoring rate of 0.6 goals per game and conceding 2 goals per game reveal offensive inefficiency and defensive vulnerability, supporting Cincinnati's advantage.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
13Seattle Sounders2520749-5
6FC Cincinnati31218762
Cincinnati sits fifth with 30 points, comfortably above Seattle's twelfth place and 24 points. This gap reflects Cincinnati's steadier performance and better positioning for playoff contention, adding competitive urgency and home advantage to their favor in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%FC Cincinnati Over 2.5
60%Seattle Sounders Over 2.5
2.67H2H avg goals
In the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.67, indicating a moderate scoring trend. Cincinnati's 80% over 2.5 goals rate and Seattle's 60% suggest a match likely to feature multiple goals, driven by Cincinnati's attacking style and Seattle's defensive lapses.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.