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NEC Nijmegen crestNEC Nijmegen
v
GO Ahead Eagles crestGO Ahead Eagles

Eredivisie | Sun 20 Sep, 15:45

NEC Nijmegen v GO Ahead Eagles Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:18 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

NEC Nijmegen and GO Ahead Eagles meet in an Eredivisie clash where attacking intent and open play have defined recent matches. Both teams have shown a willingness to push forward, with NEC Nijmegen boasting a perfect over 2.5 goals record this season and GO Ahead Eagles closely behind. The mid-table positioning adds incentive for both sides to seek victory, likely resulting in an open, end-to-end encounter. Defensive vulnerabilities and offensive set the stage for a high-scoring game with multiple goal-scoring opportunities expected.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • NEC Nijmegen has a 100% over 2.5 goals rate this season, indicating frequent high-scoring matches.
  • GO Ahead Eagles have scored an average of 2.2 goals per game and an 80% over 2.5 goals rate.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.4 goals per game, supporting a goal-rich fixture.
  • Both teams have strong BTTS rates: 80% for NEC Nijmegen and 100% for GO Ahead Eagles.
  • NEC Nijmegen averages 12.4 shots per game with 4 on target; GO Ahead Eagles average 15 shots with 5 on target, showing offensive pressure.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 3.5 Goals with a 58% chance, slightly above the implied market chance of 55.6%, reflecting a small positive . Both teams demonstrate attacking prowess and defensive openness, with NEC Nijmegen's perfect over 2.5 goals rate and GO Ahead Eagles' high scoring and BTTS percentages. The average of 3.4 goals in recent head-to-heads further supports expectations for a high-scoring match. Player data shows key attackers capable of creating and converting chances, reinforcing the likelihood of multiple goals. No data limitations or price warnings affect this pick.

Model Chance58%
Strong positive
NEC Nijmegen Over 2.5 Goals Rate100%
Strong positive
GO Ahead Eagles Goals For per Game2.2
Positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals3.4
Positive
Shots on Target per Game (Both Teams)9 (4 + 5)
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as NEC Nijmegen and GO Ahead Eagles both prioritize offense, reflected in their recent scoring trends. The strong average goals in their head-to-head and high shot volumes suggest multiple goals are likely, making Over 3.5 Goals a fitting selection for this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and tactical openness

“This fixture features two sides with attacking freedom and defensive lapses, creating fertile ground for a high-scoring encounter. The data-backed offensive threat from key players and historical goal averages underline the appeal of Over 3.5 Goals here.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

NEC Nijmegen has a 100% over 2.5 goals rate this season, indicating frequent high-scoring matches.

GO Ahead Eagles have scored an average of 2.2 goals per game and an 80% over 2.5 goals rate.

The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.4 goals per game, supporting a goal-rich fixture.

Both teams have strong BTTS rates: 80% for NEC Nijmegen and 100% for GO Ahead Eagles.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • The last 10 head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 3.4 goals, indicating a historical trend of high-scoring encounters.
  • This trend, combined with recent form and attacking styles, suggests Over 2.5 Goals is a consistent feature, making Over 3.5 Goals a plausible extension in this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

NEC Nijmegen3.4
Avg corners for
GO Ahead Eagles5.8
NEC Nijmegen6.6
Avg total corners
GO Ahead Eagles10.6
NEC Nijmegen1.8
Avg yellow cards
GO Ahead Eagles0.6
NEC Nijmegen12.4
Avg shots
GO Ahead Eagles14.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2
Check odds @ 2
GO Ahead Eagles average nearly twice as many corners as NEC Nijmegen, reflecting more attacking pressure and wide play. Both teams generate significant shot volumes, with GO Ahead Eagles averaging 15 shots and NEC 12.4 per game. Discipline is moderate, with NEC Nijmegen showing a higher yellow card average, suggesting physicality that may disrupt defensive rhythm and create set-piece chances.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

NEC Nijmegen2
Avg goals scored
GO Ahead Eagles2.2
NEC Nijmegen2
Avg goals conceded
GO Ahead Eagles2.4
NEC Nijmegen80%
BTTS rate
GO Ahead Eagles100%
NEC Nijmegen100%
Over 2.5 goals
GO Ahead Eagles80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 56% · edge +2.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Both teams have high BTTS rates—80% for NEC Nijmegen and 100% for GO Ahead Eagles—indicating frequent mutual scoring. Combined with NEC's perfect over 2.5 goals rate and GO Ahead Eagles' average of 2.2 goals per game, the goal-scoring environment is conducive to multiple goals and open play.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 75% · edge +2.8 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
GO Ahead Eagles to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
GO Ahead Eagles Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
NEC Nijmegen Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
NEC Nijmegen to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
The Over 3.5 Goals market is priced with a slight edge, as the model's 58% chance exceeds the implied 55.6% chance from of 1.8. This small positive value suggests the market is reasonably efficient but slightly favors a high-scoring outcome, supported by both teams' offensive records and recent form.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

NEC Nijmegen

LDLWW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 3L
12 Sep 2026A Cambuur0-3
08 Sep 2026H Excelsior2-2
05 Sep 2026H Feyenoord1-3
29 Aug 2026A PEC Zwolle3-1
15 Aug 2026A Willem II4-1

GO Ahead Eagles

DDLWD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 1L
12 Sep 2026H Groningen1-1
08 Sep 2026A Utrecht3-3
29 Aug 2026A AZ Alkmaar2-5
23 Aug 2026H ADO Den Haag3-1
16 Aug 2026A Feyenoord2-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 55% · edge +10.2 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
GO Ahead Eagles to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
GO Ahead Eagles Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
NEC Nijmegen Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
NEC Nijmegen to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
NEC Nijmegen's perfect record of over 2.5 goals in recent matches and GO Ahead Eagles' 80% rate highlight a consistent trend toward high-scoring games. Both teams have conceded over 2 goals per game on average, reinforcing the likelihood of an open game with multiple goals.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2NEC Nijmegen wins
4Draws
4GO Ahead Eagles wins
17 May 2026NEC Nijmegen v GO Ahead Eagles2-1
05 Oct 2025GO Ahead Eagles v NEC Nijmegen1-1
09 Mar 2025NEC Nijmegen v GO Ahead Eagles2-3
07 Dec 2024GO Ahead Eagles v NEC Nijmegen5-0
23 May 2024NEC Nijmegen v GO Ahead Eagles1-2
28 Jan 2024GO Ahead Eagles v NEC Nijmegen2-2
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 75% · edge +2.8 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
GO Ahead Eagles to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
NEC Nijmegen to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
The head-to-head sample of 10 matches shows an average of 3.4 goals per game, reflecting a history of open, attacking contests between NEC Nijmegen and GO Ahead Eagles. This supports expectations for a high-scoring game, although individual match dynamics may vary.
Season team stats

Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen6
Played
GO Ahead Eagles6
NEC Nijmegen1.8
Avg goals for
GO Ahead Eagles2.5
NEC Nijmegen2
Avg goals against
GO Ahead Eagles2.2
NEC Nijmegen0
Clean sheets
GO Ahead Eagles0
Best odds for this sectionGO Ahead Eagles to WinBet365 guide price · Model 36% vs implied 29% · edge +7.7 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
GO Ahead Eagles Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
NEC Nijmegen Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
NEC Nijmegen to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Season-long data shows NEC Nijmegen averaging 2 goals scored and conceded per game, while GO Ahead Eagles score 2.2 and concede 2.4. These offensive and defensive profiles suggest a match prone to goal exchanges and a high final scoreline, supporting the Over 3.5 Goals selection.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
9GO Ahead Eagles962312
11NEC Nijmegen76213-1
Both teams sit mid-table with NEC Nijmegen 10th and GO Ahead Eagles 9th, separated by only two points. This proximity adds competitive motivation to attack and secure points, likely encouraging open play and goal-scoring opportunities rather than defensive caution.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%NEC Nijmegen Over 2.5
80%GO Ahead Eagles Over 2.5
3.4H2H avg goals
The last 10 head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 3.4 goals, indicating a historical trend of high-scoring encounters. This trend, combined with recent form and attacking styles, suggests Over 2.5 Goals is a consistent feature, making Over 3.5 Goals a plausible extension in this fixture.

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