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Mjallby AIF crestMjallby AIF
v
Sirius crestSirius

Allsvenskan | Sat 15 Aug, 14:00

Mjallby AIF v Sirius Stats

Data last updated: Fri 14 Aug 2026, 07:29 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sirius hosts Mjallby AIF at Studenternas IP in a clash where the league leaders' impressive eight-game home winning streak meets Mjallby's historical control in their head-to-head encounters. Sirius boasts the league's most potent attack, spearheaded by Isak Bjerkebo and Robbie Ure, but defensive absences and suspensions may expose vulnerabilities. Mjallby, despite recent struggles and sitting mid-table, have a strong away record against Sirius and a healthy squad ready to exploit spaces. This match promises tactical intensity, emotional stakes, and a likely open game with both sides aiming to score.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Sirius have scored 27 goals in 10 league games, led by Bjerkebo and Ure with 16 combined goals.
  • Mjallby have scored in four consecutive away matches, showing attacking threat on the road.
  • Both teams have seen BTTS in 14 of Sirius's last 20 league games and 60% of Mjallby's recent matches.
  • Sirius's defense is weakened by Mohamed Soumah's suspension, increasing chances of conceding.
  • Historical head-to-head favors Mjallby with 7 wins in the last 10 meetings, adding psychological complexity.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at 76% chance, well above the implied 61.7% , reflecting strong attacking outputs from Sirius and consistent scoring from Mjallby on the road. Sirius's top scorers and Mjallby's recent away goals support an open game. Defensive disruptions for Sirius increase the likelihood of conceding. The model is high at 86%, indicating a robust data foundation without price warnings. This pick balances attacking firepower and defensive vulnerabilities, making BTTS a compelling selection.

Sirius attack strength27 goals in 10 matches, top scorers Bjerkebo (9) and Ure (7)
Strong positive
Mjallby away scoringScored in 4 consecutive away matches
Positive
Sirius defensive disruptionKey defender Mohamed Soumah suspended
Positive
Historical BTTS frequencyBTTS in 14 of last 20 Sirius league matches
Strong positive
Model confidence86% confidence in BTTS outcome
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown consistent scoring ability, with Sirius's potent attack facing a Mjallby side that historically challenges them effectively. Defensive absences for Sirius increase the chance of conceding, while Mjallby's recent away goals underline their threat. This match is likely to see goals at both ends, making Both Teams to Score a tactically and statistically sound choice.

Main risk

Expect a dramatic encounter where both attacks will inevitably find joy, but the ultimate question remains whether Sirius can break their historical shackles or if Mjallby will continue to reign supreme as.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“Sirius's attacking duo leads the league, but defensive gaps and Mjallby's resilience create a scenario ripe for goals at both ends. The psychological edge Mjallby holds adds intrigue to this BTTS selection.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Sirius have scored 27 goals in 10 league games, led by Bjerkebo and Ure with 16 combined goals.

Mjallby have scored in four consecutive away matches, showing attacking threat on the road.

Both teams have seen BTTS in 14 of Sirius's last 20 league games and 60% of Mjallby's recent matches.

Sirius's defense is weakened by Mohamed Soumah's suspension, increasing chances of conceding.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last 10 matches, the fixture averages 3.8 goals per game, with Sirius having an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate and Mjallby 60%.
  • This trend indicates a high likelihood of multiple goals, driven by Sirius's aggressive attacking transitions and Mjallby's counter-attacking threat, reinforcing the expectation of an open, goal-rich encounter.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Mjallby AIF1.2
Avg goals scored
Sirius2.6
Mjallby AIF1.8
Avg goals conceded
Sirius1
Mjallby AIF60%
BTTS rate
Sirius80%
Mjallby AIF60%
Over 2.5 goals
Sirius80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 33%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Sirius averages 2.6 goals per game with a high BTTS rate of 80%, while Mjallby scores 1.2 goals per game and has a 60% BTTS rate. Their head-to-head matches average 3.8 goals, supporting an open game with goals from both sides. Sirius's attacking style and Mjallby's ability to find the net on the road underpin the BTTS likelihood.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Sirius Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Sirius to WinBet365 guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Mjallby AIF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Mjallby AIF to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at 1.62 with an implied chance of 61.7%, while the model estimates a 76% probability, indicating clear value. The price reflects in an open game but remains attractive given Sirius's defensive suspension and Mjallby's consistent away scoring. This pricing suggests a positive value opportunity without requiring caution for short .
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Mjallby AIF4.6
Avg corners for
Sirius6.6
Mjallby AIF8.8
Avg total corners
Sirius10.8
Mjallby AIF2.6
Avg yellow cards
Sirius1.4
Mjallby AIF15.4
Avg shots
Sirius16.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Sirius averages 6.6 corners and 16.4 shots per game, reflecting sustained attacking pressure, while Mjallby averages 4.6 corners and 15.4 shots, showing offensive intent. Mjallby’s higher average yellow cards (2.6) versus Sirius (1.4) suggests a more physical approach, potentially leading to set-piece opportunities and fluctuating match tempo conducive to goals.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Mjallby AIF

LLDLD
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
08 Aug 2026H IF Elfsborg0-1
25 Jul 2026A Kalmar FF1-2
17 Jul 2026H Vasteras SK FK0-0
11 Jul 2026H AIK Stockholm1-2
03 Jul 2026A Sirius4-4

Sirius

DWWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 108W 2D 0L
10 Aug 2026H IF Brommapojkarna2-2
03 Aug 2026A Halmstad2-0
26 Jul 2026H IFK Goteborg4-1
19 Jul 2026A IF Elfsborg3-1
12 Jul 2026A IF Brommapojkarna2-1
Best odds for this sectionSirius Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 63% · edge +12.7 pts
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Load more odds for this section
Sirius to WinBet365 guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Mjallby AIF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Mjallby AIF to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Sirius is in excellent form with 13 points from recent matches and an 80% BTTS rate, reflecting their offensive consistency and occasional defensive lapses. Mjallby has struggled recently with only 2 points and a 60% BTTS rate, but their ability to score in consecutive away fixtures suggests they remain a threat despite form dips, supporting the BTTS outcome.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

8Mjallby AIF wins
2Draws
0Sirius wins
03 Jul 2026Sirius v Mjallby AIF4-4
27 Jul 2025Mjallby AIF v Sirius2-1
14 Jul 2025Sirius v Mjallby AIF1-2
03 Nov 2024Sirius v Mjallby AIF1-1
06 Jul 2024Mjallby AIF v Sirius3-2
24 Jul 2023Sirius v Mjallby AIF2-3
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Sirius to WinBet365 guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Mjallby AIF to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
The last 10 meetings show Mjallby winning 7 times, despite Sirius's current league superiority. This historical control suggests Mjallby can disrupt Sirius's rhythm and contribute goals, supporting the BTTS selection. However, the head-to-head sample also highlights a competitive dynamic rather than a one-sided affair, adding intrigue to the scoring potential.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Allsvenskan

Mjallby AIF15
Played
Sirius16
Mjallby AIF1.3
Avg goals for
Sirius2.8
Mjallby AIF1.3
Avg goals against
Sirius1.2
Mjallby AIF4
Clean sheets
Sirius5
Best odds for this sectionSirius Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 63% · edge +12.7 pts
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Load more odds for this section
Sirius to WinBet365 guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Mjallby AIF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Mjallby AIF to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Sirius leads the league with 27 goals scored and a solid defensive record conceding 1 goal per game, indicating a high-tempo attacking style balanced by reasonable defense. Mjallby scores fewer goals (14) but concedes 1.8 per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that increase the chance of both teams scoring in this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Sirius4216133025
13Mjallby AIF17154560
Sirius sits top of the Allsvenskan with 42 points, demonstrating control, while Mjallby is mid-table with 17 points. The standings reflect Sirius's strong season but do not diminish Mjallby's historical psychological edge and ability to challenge Sirius, adding tactical complexity and influencing match openness.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Mjallby AIF Over 2.5
80%Sirius Over 2.5
3.8H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 matches, the fixture averages 3.8 goals per game, with Sirius having an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate and Mjallby 60%. This trend indicates a high likelihood of multiple goals, driven by Sirius's aggressive attacking transitions and Mjallby's counter-attacking threat, reinforcing the expectation of an open, goal-rich encounter.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Mjallby AIF v Sirius prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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