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Djurgardens IF crestDjurgardens IF
v
AIK Stockholm crestAIK Stockholm

Allsvenskan | Sun 16 Aug, 13:00

Djurgardens IF v AIK Stockholm Stats

Data last updated: Sat 15 Aug 2026, 07:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Djurgardens IF and AIK Stockholm meet in an Allsvenskan clash where defensive solidity is paramount. Djurgardens IF have conceded just 0.2 goals per game recently, showcasing a tight backline, while AIK Stockholm's attack has been less prolific, averaging 1.6 goals per match. Both teams have accumulated 10 points in their last five games, reflecting balanced form. The tactical setup suggests a cautious approach, with Djurgardens IF's strong defensive record likely to limit scoring opportunities, setting the stage for a low-scoring encounter with limited goal exchanges.

BT4Y best bet

BTTS No

  • Djurgardens IF have a 0% BTTS rate recently, indicating strong defensive performances.
  • AIK Stockholm's BTTS rate stands at 40%, showing moderate scoring inconsistency.
  • Djurgardens IF concede only 0.2 goals per game, highlighting defensive resilience.
  • Both teams average a combined 2.1 goals in their last 10 head-to-head matches, suggesting modest scoring.
  • Djurgardens IF average 14.4 shots per game with 7 on target, but AIK Stockholm's defense limits goal threats.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors BTTS No with a 64% chance, reflecting Djurgardens IF's exceptional defensive record conceding just 0.2 goals per game and a 0% recent BTTS rate. AIK Stockholm's moderate attack and 40% BTTS rate add to the likelihood of a low-scoring match. The at 2.2 offer positive value given the implied chance of 45.5%. is high at 85%, supported by balanced recent form and tactical caution from both sides. No data limitations affect this assessment.

Djurgardens IF Defensive Strength0.2 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Recent BTTS RatesDjurgardens IF 0%, AIK Stockholm 40%
Positive
Model Confidence85%
Strong positive
Value Edge18.5% positive
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

The tactical setup and recent defensive form strongly suggest a match where both teams will struggle to score. Djurgardens IF's defensive discipline and AIK Stockholm's inconsistent attack point to a low-scoring game, making BTTS No a sensible choice supported by solid data.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Defensive solidity and attacking limitations

“Djurgardens IF's near-impenetrable defense combined with AIK Stockholm's modest attacking output creates a scenario where both teams scoring is unlikely, making BTTS No a compelling tactical and statistical pick.”

Key Data Signals

BTTS No evidence

Djurgardens IF have a 0% BTTS rate recently, indicating strong defensive performances.

AIK Stockholm's BTTS rate stands at 40%, showing moderate scoring inconsistency.

Djurgardens IF concede only 0.2 goals per game, highlighting defensive resilience.

Both teams average a combined 2.1 goals in their last 10 head-to-head matches, suggesting modest scoring.

What To Watch In The Data

BTTS No notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals total is 2.1, with a moderate Over 2.5 Goals rate.
  • This trend suggests matches tend to be balanced with limited goal-scoring bursts, aligning with a cautious tempo and supporting a low BTTS likelihood.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Djurgardens IF8.2
Avg corners for
AIK Stockholm3.2
Djurgardens IF12.4
Avg total corners
AIK Stockholm7.2
Djurgardens IF1.2
Avg yellow cards
AIK Stockholm1.2
Djurgardens IF14.4
Avg shots
AIK Stockholm11.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Djurgardens IF average 8.2 corners per game compared to AIK Stockholm's 3.2, indicating territorial control. Both teams maintain disciplined play with similar yellow card averages (1.2), and Djurgardens IF's higher shots on target (7 vs 3.4) reflect controlled attacking pressure without reckless fouling or excessive cards.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Djurgardens IF2
Avg goals scored
AIK Stockholm1.6
Djurgardens IF0.2
Avg goals conceded
AIK Stockholm1.4
Djurgardens IF0%
BTTS rate
AIK Stockholm40%
Djurgardens IF40%
Over 2.5 goals
AIK Stockholm60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 38%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 40%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Recent data shows Djurgardens IF have not allowed both teams to score in their last matches, while AIK Stockholm's BTTS rate is moderate at 40%. The average goals in their last 10 meetings is 2.1, supporting a low-scoring game with limited goal exchanges.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAIK Stockholm Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 29% · edge +13 pts
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
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AIK Stockholm to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Djurgardens IF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Djurgardens IF to WinBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
The BTTS No market is priced attractively at 2.2, reflecting a 45.5% implied chance, while the model estimates a 64% probability, indicating clear value. This price sensitivity suggests a strong betting angle given the defensive profiles and recent scoring trends of both teams.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Djurgardens IF

LWWDW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 3L
10 Aug 2026A Vasteras SK FK0-1
03 Aug 2026H Vasteras SK FK6-0
25 Jul 2026A Degerfors IF1-0
20 Jul 2026A Orgryte IS0-0
13 Jul 2026H Halmstad3-0

AIK Stockholm

WLDWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
08 Aug 2026A Orgryte IS4-3
02 Aug 2026H Orgryte IS0-3
27 Jul 2026A BK Hacken0-0
18 Jul 2026H Gais2-0
11 Jul 2026A Mjallby AIF2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
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AIK Stockholm Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
AIK Stockholm to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 79%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Djurgardens IF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Djurgardens IF to WinBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Both teams have earned 10 points in their last five matches, but Djurgardens IF's defensive form stands out with only 0.2 goals conceded per game and a 0% BTTS rate, contrasting with AIK Stockholm's 1.4 goals conceded and 40% BTTS rate. This recent form favors a low-scoring outcome.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Djurgardens IF wins
3Draws
5AIK Stockholm wins
10 May 2026AIK Stockholm v Djurgardens IF2-4
10 Aug 2025AIK Stockholm v Djurgardens IF0-0
04 May 2025Djurgardens IF v AIK Stockholm1-1
18 Aug 2024Djurgardens IF v AIK Stockholm0-2
21 Apr 2024AIK Stockholm v Djurgardens IF2-0
17 Mar 2024AIK Stockholm v Djurgardens IF1-1
Best odds for this sectionAIK Stockholm to WinBet365 guide price · Model 32% vs implied 17% · edge +14.5 pts
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
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DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Djurgardens IF to WinBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 40%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The 10 previous meetings between these teams have averaged 2.1 goals per game, indicating modest scoring. This historical trend weakly supports the BTTS No pick, as matches have generally been competitive but not high-scoring, emphasizing defensive discipline over attacking openness.
Season team stats

Allsvenskan

Djurgardens IF15
Played
AIK Stockholm16
Djurgardens IF2.2
Avg goals for
AIK Stockholm1.4
Djurgardens IF1.1
Avg goals against
AIK Stockholm1.5
Djurgardens IF6
Clean sheets
AIK Stockholm3
Best odds for this sectionAIK Stockholm Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 29% · edge +13 pts
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
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AIK Stockholm to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Djurgardens IF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Djurgardens IF to WinBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Djurgardens IF's season-long defensive record is impressive, conceding very few goals and maintaining a low BTTS rate, while AIK Stockholm's attack is less consistent. These season stats underpin the BTTS No pick, highlighting defensive strength over attacking threat.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Djurgardens IF261582517
6AIK Stockholm2516745-2
Djurgardens IF sit 4th and AIK Stockholm 6th in the Allsvenskan, separated by just one point. While the table is tight, the stakes encourage cautious play, especially from Djurgardens IF aiming to maintain their position, supporting a defensive, low-scoring match context.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Djurgardens IF Over 2.5
60%AIK Stockholm Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals total is 2.1, with a moderate Over 2.5 Goals rate. This trend suggests matches tend to be balanced with limited goal-scoring bursts, aligning with a cautious tempo and supporting a low BTTS likelihood.

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