IF Brommapojkarna

Orgryte IS

Allsvenskan | Sun 16 Aug, 13:00

IF Brommapojkarna v Orgryte IS Stats

Data last updated: Sat 15 Aug 2026, 07:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Allsvenskan clash features IF Brommapojkarna hosting Orgryte IS in a crucial relegation battle. Brommapojkarna have struggled for points recently, earning only 2 from their last fixtures, while Orgryte IS have shown more resilience with 7 points in the same period. Both teams have defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 1.8 goals per game, but Orgryte's sharper attack and recent momentum make them a confident away contender. The match carries high stakes for survival, with tactical discipline and finishing efficiency likely to decide the outcome.

BT4Y best bet

Orgryte IS to Win

Orgryte IS have earned 7 points recently versus Brommapojkarna's 2, showing better form.
Orgryte IS average 2.0 goals per game, indicating stronger attacking potential.
Brommapojkarna have a high BTTS rate (100%), but Orgryte IS's lower BTTS rate (40%) suggests defensive solidity.
Christoffersson is a key goal threat with 8 goals and 1.26 shots on target per 90 minutes.
The model gives Orgryte IS a 68% chance to win, with strong value at of 4.1.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Orgryte IS to win with a 68% probability, reflecting their superior recent form and attacking output compared to IF Brommapojkarna. Despite Brommapojkarna's home advantage, their low points haul and defensive frailties contrast with Orgryte's sharper offensive players like N. Christoffersson and J. Tibbling, who generate high shot volumes and goal threat. The offer significant value given the implied chance is only 24.4%, making this an attractive selection based on both data and tactical context. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Recent FormOrgryte IS have 7 points recently vs Brommapojkarna's 2

Strong positive

Attacking OutputOrgryte IS average 2.0 goals per game

Strong positive

Key Player ThreatN. Christoffersson with 8 goals and 1.26 SOT/90

Strong positive

Defensive VulnerabilityBoth teams concede 1.8 goals per game

Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Orgryte IS's recent momentum and attacking prowess, led by key players like N. Christoffersson, give them the edge in this relegation battle. Their ability to convert chances and better form suggest they can overcome Brommapojkarna's home challenge and secure a vital away victory.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · tactical and form advantage

“Orgryte IS's offensive efficiency and recent points haul make them a compelling pick here, especially given Brommapojkarna's defensive lapses and low recent form. Their attackers are well-positioned to exploit weaknesses and clinch the win.”

Key Data Signals

Orgryte IS to Win evidence

Orgryte IS have earned 7 points recently versus Brommapojkarna's 2, showing better form.

Orgryte IS average 2.0 goals per game, indicating stronger attacking potential.

Brommapojkarna have a high BTTS rate (100%), but Orgryte IS's lower BTTS rate (40%) suggests defensive solidity.

Christoffersson is a key goal threat with 8 goals and 1.26 shots on target per 90 minutes.

What To Watch In The Data

Orgryte IS to Win notes

In the last nine head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 2.89, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.
Both teams have shown tendencies for open play, which supports the likelihood of goals and a dynamic match tempo, aligning with the Over 2.5 goals trend observed in recent fixtures.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

IF Brommapojkarna4

Avg corners for

Orgryte IS3.6

IF Brommapojkarna12

Avg total corners

Orgryte IS10

IF Brommapojkarna1.4

Avg yellow cards

Orgryte IS1.2

IF Brommapojkarna8.8

Avg shots

Orgryte IS11.4

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 64% · edge -1.2 pts

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

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Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 69%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Brommapojkarna average more corners (4.0) and slightly more yellow cards (1.4) than Orgryte IS, reflecting their aggressive and territorial play style. Orgryte IS generate more shots (10.75) and shots on target (3.75), highlighting their offensive efficiency. The lower card count for Orgryte IS suggests disciplined play, aiding their chances to maintain control.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

IF Brommapojkarna1.2

Avg goals scored

Orgryte IS2

IF Brommapojkarna1.8

Avg goals conceded

Orgryte IS1.8

IF Brommapojkarna100%

BTTS rate

Orgryte IS40%

IF Brommapojkarna80%

Over 2.5 goals

Orgryte IS60%

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 83%

1.17

Check odds @ 1.17

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Brommapojkarna have a 100% BTTS rate and an 80% Over 2.5 goals rate, indicating open games with goals at both ends. Orgryte IS, by contrast, have a more conservative 40% BTTS rate and 60% Over 2.5 rate, suggesting they can control matches defensively while still scoring. This mix points to a game with goals but possibly a controlled Orgryte win.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOrgryte IS to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts

4.1

Check odds @ 4.1

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Orgryte IS Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 69%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

The current of 4.1 for Orgryte IS to win reflect significant value compared to the model's 68% win probability. This discrepancy suggests the market underestimates Orgryte's chances, likely due to their away status and lower league standing. The price is attractive for bettors seeking a high-reward selection with solid data backing.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

IF Brommapojkarna

DLDLL

Last 50W 2D 3L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 4D 4L

10 Aug 2026A Sirius2-2

02 Aug 2026H Malmo FF1-2

26 Jul 2026H Hammarby FF1-1

17 Jul 2026A IFK Goteborg1-2

12 Jul 2026H Sirius1-2

Orgryte IS

LWLDW

Last 52W 1D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 2D 6L

08 Aug 2026H AIK Stockholm3-4

02 Aug 2026A AIK Stockholm3-0

24 Jul 2026A Vasteras SK FK0-2

20 Jul 2026H Djurgardens IF0-0

11 Jul 2026H BK Hacken4-3

Market aligned with main pickOrgryte IS to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts

4.1

Check odds @ 4.1

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Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 66%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

Orgryte IS Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

Orgryte IS have collected 7 points in recent matches, showing improved consistency and attacking output, while Brommapojkarna have struggled with only 2 points and a leaky defense. This recent form disparity favors Orgryte IS's and tactical execution heading into the game.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

6IF Brommapojkarna wins

2Draws

1Orgryte IS wins

22 Apr 2026Orgryte IS v IF Brommapojkarna1-2

23 Feb 2025IF Brommapojkarna v Orgryte IS3-0

05 Nov 2022IF Brommapojkarna v Orgryte IS3-1

19 Jul 2022Orgryte IS v IF Brommapojkarna1-1

25 Mar 2022IF Brommapojkarna v Orgryte IS3-1

28 Sep 2019Orgryte IS v IF Brommapojkarna3-2

Market aligned with main pickOrgryte IS to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts

4.1

Check odds @ 4.1

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

The nine previous meetings between these teams have averaged 2.89 goals per game, reflecting a history of open contests. While this supports the potential for goals, the head-to-head record does not strongly favor either side, making current form and player quality more decisive factors in this match.

Season team stats

Allsvenskan

IF Brommapojkarna16

Played

Orgryte IS16

IF Brommapojkarna1.4

Avg goals for

Orgryte IS1.3

IF Brommapojkarna1.6

Avg goals against

Orgryte IS2.3

IF Brommapojkarna1

Clean sheets

Orgryte IS3

Market aligned with main pickOrgryte IS to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts

4.1

Check odds @ 4.1

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Orgryte IS Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

Over the season, Orgryte IS average 2.0 goals scored per game, outperforming Brommapojkarna's 1.2, while both concede 1.8 goals per game. Orgryte's better scoring rate combined with similar defensive records suggests they have the offensive edge needed to secure a win.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
12	IF Brommapojkarna	18	16	4	6	6	-4
15	Orgryte IS	13	16	3	4	9	-17

Both teams are near the bottom of the Allsvenskan table, with Brommapojkarna 12th and Orgryte IS 15th. The pressure to avoid relegation intensifies this fixture's stakes, likely motivating Orgryte IS to capitalize on their recent form and secure vital points away from home.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%IF Brommapojkarna Over 2.5

60%Orgryte IS Over 2.5

2.89H2H avg goals

In the last nine head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 2.89, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend. Both teams have shown tendencies for open play, which supports the likelihood of goals and a dynamic match tempo, aligning with the Over 2.5 goals trend observed in recent fixtures.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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IF Brommapojkarna v Orgryte IS Stats

Match Report

Orgryte IS to Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Match Report

Orgryte IS to Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

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What To Watch In The Data

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