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Degerfors IF crestDegerfors IF
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IFK Goteborg crestIFK Goteborg

Allsvenskan | Sun 16 Aug, 13:00

Degerfors IF v IFK Goteborg Stats

Data last updated: Sat 15 Aug 2026, 07:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

IFK Goteborg and Degerfors IF meet at Gamla Ullevi with both sides under pressure near the bottom of the Allsvenskan table. Goteborg seek to build on a recent European win and their strong head-to-head record against Degerfors, who arrive winless in 10 league matches and struggling to convert possession into chances. Goteborg's attacking volume contrasts with defensive vulnerabilities, while Degerfors must find sharper attacking movement to break down Goteborg's home defense. The fixture carries high stakes as Goteborg aim to extend their advantage and Degerfors fight to close the gap, promising a tense, open contest with scoring opportunities for both teams.

BT4Y best bet

IFK Goteborg to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Goteborg have won the last four meetings and six of the previous eight against Degerfors.
  • Goteborg average 15.7 attempts and 5.1 shots on target per game, scoring 1.5 goals recently.
  • Goteborg concede 2.7 goals per match, allowing opponents 13.2 attempts per game on average.
  • Degerfors have scored only 0.7 goals per game and failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches.
  • Both teams have shown defensive frailty, making a Both Teams to Score outcome plausible.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates IFK Goteborg to Win & Both Teams to Score as a strong value bet with a 39.9% chance, notably higher than the implied 29.4% . Goteborg's high attacking output and recent European success support their winning potential, while their defensive weaknesses allow Degerfors to score despite their poor form. This combination aligns with tactical patterns and recent head-to-head results, making the bet a compelling choice. Data quality is solid for both teams, reinforcing in the prediction.

Model Chance vs Implied OddsModel chance 39.9% vs implied 29.4%
Strong positive
Goteborg Attacking Volume15.7 attempts and 5.1 shots on target per game
Strong positive
Defensive VulnerabilityGoteborg concede 2.7 goals per match
Positive
Degerfors Scoring Struggles0.7 goals per game but likely to score due to Goteborg's defense
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

IFK Goteborg's superior attacking firepower and recent head-to-head control position them well for victory, while their defensive frailties leave room for Degerfors to score. This dynamic suggests a competitive match with goals at both ends, making the combined bet a tactically and statistically sound choice.

Main risk

Both sides need improvement, but the emotional temperature is different.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and goal potential

“Goteborg's ability to generate high-quality chances paired with Degerfors' offensive struggles creates a compelling scenario for a home win with goals from both sides. Defensive gaps on both teams set the stage for an open, goal-filled encounter.”

Key Data Signals

IFK Goteborg to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Goteborg have won the last four meetings and six of the previous eight against Degerfors.

Goteborg average 15.7 attempts and 5.1 shots on target per game, scoring 1.5 goals recently.

Goteborg concede 2.7 goals per match, allowing opponents 13.2 attempts per game on average.

Degerfors have scored only 0.7 goals per game and failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches.

What To Watch In The Data

IFK Goteborg to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 3.4, indicating a trend towards open, high-scoring matches.
  • Goteborg's 80% rate of Over 2.5 goals in recent games contrasts with Degerfors' 40%, suggesting the fixture is likely to produce multiple goals, supporting the Over 2.5 trend.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Degerfors IF5
Avg corners for
IFK Goteborg7.8
Degerfors IF10.2
Avg total corners
IFK Goteborg12.6
Degerfors IF2.6
Avg yellow cards
IFK Goteborg2
Degerfors IF10
Avg shots
IFK Goteborg19
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 64% · edge +5.2 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Goteborg average 7.8 corners and 19 shots per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure, while Degerfors average 5 corners and 10 shots, reflecting less offensive threat. Card averages are moderate, suggesting a competitive but not overly aggressive match environment.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Degerfors IF0.4
Avg goals scored
IFK Goteborg1.6
Degerfors IF2
Avg goals conceded
IFK Goteborg2.2
Degerfors IF20%
BTTS rate
IFK Goteborg60%
Degerfors IF40%
Over 2.5 goals
IFK Goteborg80%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 82% vs implied 78% · edge +4.3 pts
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 44%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Both teams have struggled defensively, with Goteborg conceding 2.7 goals per game and Degerfors failing to keep clean sheets recently. Goteborg's 1.5 goals per game and Degerfors' ability to exploit defensive gaps support a Both Teams to Score outcome in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickIFK Goteborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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IFK Goteborg to WinBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The market price of 3.4 for Goteborg to Win & Both Teams to Score offers clear value compared to the model's 39.9% chance. This positive reflects Goteborg's attacking strength and Degerfors' defensive weaknesses, making the bet attractive without price sensitivity concerns.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Degerfors IF

WLLLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 7L
09 Aug 2026A Malmo FF2-1
02 Aug 2026A IFK Goteborg0-2
25 Jul 2026H Djurgardens IF0-1
19 Jul 2026A Hammarby FF0-4
12 Jul 2026A Vasteras SK FK0-2

IFK Goteborg

WWLWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 4L
09 Aug 2026H Kalmar FF3-2
02 Aug 2026H Degerfors IF2-0
26 Jul 2026A Sirius1-4
17 Jul 2026H IF Brommapojkarna2-1
12 Jul 2026A Malmo FF0-4
Market aligned with main pickAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 84% vs implied 71% · edge +12.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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IFK Goteborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
IFK Goteborg to WinBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Goteborg have collected 9 points recently with a goals-for average of 1.6, showing improved attacking form. Degerfors have only 3 points and 0.4 goals per game, highlighting their offensive struggles. This contrast underlines Goteborg's advantage but also Degerfors' potential to score against a leaky defense.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Degerfors IF wins
0Draws
9IFK Goteborg wins
02 Aug 2026IFK Goteborg v Degerfors IF2-0
08 Mar 2026IFK Goteborg v Degerfors IF3-1
04 Aug 2025IFK Goteborg v Degerfors IF3-0
19 May 2025Degerfors IF v IFK Goteborg1-3
19 Aug 2023Degerfors IF v IFK Goteborg1-2
04 May 2023IFK Goteborg v Degerfors IF6-0
Market aligned with main pickIFK Goteborg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Goteborg have won six of the last eight meetings, including the last four consecutively, demonstrating a clear psychological and tactical edge. This head-to-head control supports Goteborg's chances of victory but does not guarantee a clean sheet given their defensive issues.
Season team stats

Allsvenskan

Degerfors IF16
Played
IFK Goteborg16
Degerfors IF0.9
Avg goals for
IFK Goteborg1.4
Degerfors IF1.7
Avg goals against
IFK Goteborg2.2
Degerfors IF1
Clean sheets
IFK Goteborg1
Market aligned with main pickIFK Goteborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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IFK Goteborg to WinBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Over the season, Goteborg have scored 17 goals but conceded 33, illustrating their attacking capability coupled with defensive frailty. Degerfors have struggled offensively with low scoring rates and poor defensive records, reinforcing the likelihood of a high-scoring game favoring Goteborg.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
10IFK Goteborg1916547-13
14Degerfors IF1316349-13
Goteborg sit 10th with 19 points, slightly ahead of 14th-placed Degerfors with 13 points. The narrow gap intensifies the stakes, as Goteborg aim to create breathing room while Degerfors seek to close in, adding competitive tension to the fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Degerfors IF Over 2.5
80%IFK Goteborg Over 2.5
3.4H2H avg goals
In the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 3.4, indicating a trend towards open, high-scoring matches. Goteborg's 80% rate of Over 2.5 goals in recent games contrasts with Degerfors' 40%, suggesting the fixture is likely to produce multiple goals, supporting the Over 2.5 trend.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.