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Londrina crestLondrina
v
CRB crestCRB

Serie B | Sat 04 Jul, 20:00

Londrina v CRB Stats

Data last updated: Sun 26 Jul 2026, 23:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Londrina face CRB in Serie B on Sat 04 Jul, 20:00. Londrina come in with 7 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while CRB have 5 points and 1.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Londrina to Win

  • At 2.7, Londrina to Win implies roughly 37%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 52%.
  • Londrina have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for CRB.
  • Londrina have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Londrina to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Londrina sit 16 in the table, while CRB sit 12, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 52% for Londrina to Win sits against roughly 37% implied by the current price. Londrina have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for CRB.

Model chance vs price52% model chance against roughly 37% implied
Strong positive
Londrina have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Londrina have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Londrina Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Londrina have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for CRB. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Londrina to Win evidence

Londrina have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for CRB.

Londrina have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Londrina Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Londrina sit 16 in the table, while CRB sit 12, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Londrina to Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Londrina3.6
    Avg corners for
    CRB5.6
    Londrina11.2
    Avg total corners
    CRB13.2
    Londrina3
    Avg yellow cards
    CRB2.2
    Londrina11
    Avg shots
    CRB16.2
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 69% vs implied 65% · edge +3.6 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
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    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Londrina1.4
    Avg goals scored
    CRB1.4
    Londrina1.2
    Avg goals conceded
    CRB1.8
    Londrina40%
    BTTS rate
    CRB60%
    Londrina40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    CRB40%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 55% · edge +12.1 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
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    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 31%
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickLondrina to WinBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 37% · edge +15 pts
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
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    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Londrina Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
    1.92
    Check odds @ 1.92
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Londrina to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Londrina

    DWWLL
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 1D 6L
    26 Jun 2026A Cuiaba2-2
    20 Jun 2026H Athletic Club2-0
    16 Jun 2026H Avai3-2
    06 Jun 2026A Criciuma0-1
    31 May 2026H Vila Nova0-1

    CRB

    WDDLL
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 2D 3L
    01 Jul 2026A Botafogo SP1-0
    21 Jun 2026H Fortaleza EC1-1
    12 Jun 2026A Atletico Goianiense3-3
    07 Jun 2026H São Bernardo2-3
    01 Jun 2026A Cuiaba0-2
    Market aligned with main pickLondrina to WinBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 37% · edge +15 pts
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
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    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 81%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Londrina Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
    1.92
    Check odds @ 1.92
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Londrina wins
    2Draws
    6CRB wins
    29 Oct 2023Londrina v CRB1-1
    01 Jul 2023CRB v Londrina2-1
    30 Aug 2022Londrina v CRB1-0
    19 May 2022CRB v Londrina1-0
    11 Nov 2021CRB v Londrina1-0
    09 Aug 2021Londrina v CRB0-2
    Market aligned with main pickLondrina to WinBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 37% · edge +15 pts
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
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    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Londrina to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Serie B

    Londrina19
    Played
    CRB19
    Londrina1.4
    Avg goals for
    CRB1.5
    Londrina1.4
    Avg goals against
    CRB1.7
    Londrina4
    Clean sheets
    CRB3
    Market aligned with main pickLondrina to WinBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 37% · edge +15 pts
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Londrina Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
    1.92
    Check odds @ 1.92
    Season data supports Londrina to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    12CRB2619757-3
    16Londrina2019559-1
    Londrina sit in position 16, while CRB sit in position 12, so table pressure belongs in the Londrina to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Londrina Over 2.5
    40%CRB Over 2.5
    1.9H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Londrina sit at 40% and CRB sit at 40% with the H2H average at 1.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.