Football Stats Hub

Millwall crestMillwall
v
QPR crestQPR

Championship | Sat 21 Nov, 12:30

Millwall v QPR Stats

Data last updated: Wed 28 Oct 2026, 02:09 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Millwall face QPR in Championship on Sat 21 Nov, 12:30. Millwall come in with 5 recent points and 1.2 goals per match, while QPR have 8 points and 2.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Over 2.5 Goals is rated around 64% by the current BT4Y model.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Millwall and 80% for QPR, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • QPR are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.4 goals per match, with Millwall at 1.2.
  • BTTS rates of 60% for Millwall and 60% for QPR show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 2.5 Goals around 64% on the latest available numbers. The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Millwall and 80% for QPR, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Millwall and 80%.Visible data support
Positive
QPR are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.4.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Millwall and 80% for QPR, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Millwall and 80% for QPR, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

QPR are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.4 goals per match, with Millwall at 1.2.

BTTS rates of 60% for Millwall and 60% for QPR show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Millwall1.2
Avg goals scored
QPR2.4
Millwall1.4
Avg goals conceded
QPR1.4
Millwall60%
BTTS rate
QPR60%
Millwall60%
Over 2.5 goals
QPR80%

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

Check odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

Check odds

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Millwall

LDLWD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
24 Oct 2026A Portsmouth1-2
17 Oct 2026H Lincoln2-2
13 Oct 2026H Swansea0-1
10 Oct 2026A Preston1-0
19 Sep 2026H West Ham2-2

QPR

WLWDD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
24 Oct 2026H Swansea5-0
17 Oct 2026A Birmingham0-3
14 Oct 2026H Derby4-1
09 Oct 2026A West Ham1-1
19 Sep 2026H Preston2-2

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

Check odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Millwall Over 2.5
80%QPR Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Millwall sit at 60% and QPR sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Loading deeper match data…