Lillestrom

Kristiansund BK

Eliteserien | Wed 20 May, 18:00

Lillestrom v Kristiansund BK Stats

Data last updated: Mon 17 Aug 2026, 02:09 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lillestrom face Kristiansund BK in Eliteserien on Wed 20 May, 18:00. Lillestrom have scored sixteen league goals this season, ensuring their attacking output remains highly potent ahead of Wednesday. Lillestrom are in fine form with back-to-back victories at Aaraasen Stadion, scoring 16 goals while conceding just seven this season.

BT4Y best bet

Of Lillestrom -1 to win, the home side must secure victory by a margin of two or more goals

At 10/11, Of Lillestrom -1 to win, the home side must secure victory by a margin of two or more goals implies roughly 52%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
Lillestrom boast a rock-solid defensive setup, limiting opponents to just 0.8 goals per game this season.
Lillestrom have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 5 for Kristiansund BK.
Lillestrom have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Of Lillestrom -1 to win, the home side must secure victory by a margin of two or more goals angle.
Lillestrom sit 5 in the table, while Kristiansund BK sit 14, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Of Lillestrom -1 to win, the home side must secure victory by a margin of two or more goals sits against roughly 52% implied by the current price. Lillestrom have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 5 for Kristiansund BK. Lillestrom boast a rock-solid defensive setup, limiting opponents to just 0.8 goals per game this season.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 52% implied

Strong positive

Lillestrom have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points.Visible data support

Positive

Lillestrom have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support

Positive

Lillestrom boast a rock-solid defensive setup, limiting opponents.Article support

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Lillestrom Win is the preferred angle because lillestrom boast a rock-solid defensive setup, limiting opponents to just that scoring level per game this season. Lillestrom have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 5 for Kristiansund BK. Higher-risk strategies often leverage alternative handicaps or combined player props, where late game-state shifts can create significant swings.

Main risk

Higher-risk strategies often leverage alternative handicaps or combined player props, where late game-state shifts can create significant swings.

Key Data Signals

Of Lillestrom -1 to win, the home side must secure victory by a margin of two or more goals evidence

Lillestrom boast a rock-solid defensive setup, limiting opponents to just 0.8 goals per game this season.

Lillestrom have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 5 for Kristiansund BK.

Lillestrom have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Lillestrom Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Lillestrom sit 5 in the table, while Kristiansund BK sit 14, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Of Lillestrom -1 to win, the home side must secure victory by a margin of two or more goals notes

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Lillestrom1.8

Avg goals scored

Kristiansund BK0.8

Lillestrom1

Avg goals conceded

Kristiansund BK1

Lillestrom20%

BTTS rate

Kristiansund BK40%

Lillestrom40%

Over 2.5 goals

Kristiansund BK0%

Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 35% · edge +15 pts

2.88

Check odds @ 2.88

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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 51%

2.25

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 53%

1.57

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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%

1.1

Check odds @ 1.1

Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 38%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%

1.91

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickLillestrom to WinBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 71% · edge -4 pts

1.4

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Lillestrom Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%

1.24

Check odds @ 1.24

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 53%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 38%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Lillestrom to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

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Useful next reads

Lillestrom v Kristiansund BK prediction corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles football stats hub football hub football predictions hub best bets research acca fixture filtering

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Lillestrom4.8

Avg corners for

Kristiansund BK5.2

Lillestrom9.6

Avg total corners

Kristiansund BK11.2

Lillestrom2

Avg yellow cards

Kristiansund BK2.2

Lillestrom12.2

Avg shots

Kristiansund BK12

Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.

1.98

Check odds @ 1.98

Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Lillestrom

WLWLW

Last 53W 0D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 106W 1D 2L

16 May 2026H Sandefjord3-1

10 May 2026A Rosenborg0-2

03 May 2026H Sarpsborg 08 FF4-0

26 Apr 2026H Bodo/Glimt0-2

19 Apr 2026A Valerenga2-0

Kristiansund BK

LLDDW

Last 51W 2D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 2D 4L

16 May 2026A Molde0-1

10 May 2026A Sandefjord0-2

03 May 2026H Ham-Kam1-1

26 Apr 2026A Aalesund1-1

19 Apr 2026H Fredrikstad2-0

Market aligned with main pickLillestrom to WinBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 71% · edge -4 pts

1.4

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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%

1.11

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Lillestrom Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%

1.24

Check odds @ 1.24

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Lillestrom wins

4Draws

4Kristiansund BK wins

09 Jul 2025Lillestrom v Kristiansund BK2-0

04 Aug 2024Kristiansund BK v Lillestrom2-1

01 Apr 2024Lillestrom v Kristiansund BK2-3

28 Aug 2022Lillestrom v Kristiansund BK1-1

03 Jul 2022Kristiansund BK v Lillestrom1-3

16 Oct 2021Lillestrom v Kristiansund BK0-0

Market aligned with main pickLillestrom to WinBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 71% · edge -4 pts

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 53%

1.57

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 38%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

The head-to-head sample gives context for Lillestrom to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Eliteserien

Lillestrom17

Played

Kristiansund BK17

Lillestrom1.4

Avg goals for

Kristiansund BK0.9

Lillestrom1.2

Avg goals against

Kristiansund BK1.6

Lillestrom5

Clean sheets

Kristiansund BK2

Market aligned with main pickLillestrom to WinBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 71% · edge -4 pts

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

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Lillestrom Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%

1.24

Check odds @ 1.24

Season data supports Lillestrom to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
5	Lillestrom	26	17	8	2	7	2
14	Kristiansund BK	15	17	4	3	10	-12

Lillestrom sit in position 5, while Kristiansund BK sit in position 14, so table pressure belongs in the Of Lillestrom -1 to win, the home side must secure victory by a margin of two or more goals assessment.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Lillestrom Over 2.5

0%Kristiansund BK Over 2.5

2.8H2H avg goals

The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Lillestrom sit at 40% and Kristiansund BK sit at 0% with the H2H average at 2.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Lillestrom v Kristiansund BK Stats

Match Report

Of Lillestrom -1 to win, the home side must secure victory by a margin of two or more goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Lillestrom

Kristiansund BK

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Football Stats Hub

Lillestrom v Kristiansund BK Stats

Match Report

Of Lillestrom -1 to win, the home side must secure victory by a margin of two or more goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Lillestrom

Kristiansund BK

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