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Lillestrom crestLillestrom
v
Kristiansund BK crestKristiansund BK

Eliteserien | Wed 20 May, 18:00

Lillestrom v Kristiansund BK Stats

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 2.7, Under 2.5 Goals is priced at roughly 37% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 66%, so the current line is showing a +29-point value edge.
  • Lillestrom are at 40% for Over 2.5 in their last-five sample, Kristiansund BK are at 0%, and the H2H goal average is 2.8.
  • The goals data supports the Under 2.5 Goals angle: Lillestrom have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Under 2.5 Goals angle: Kristiansund BK have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 2.7, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 25% · edge +17 pts
4
Bet HERE @ 4
Load more odds for this section
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.23
Bet HERE @ 1.23
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
6.25
Bet HERE @ 6.25
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
5
Bet HERE @ 5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 38%
1.44
Bet HERE @ 1.44
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

40%Lillestrom Over 2.5
0%Kristiansund BK Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Lillestrom

WLWLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 2L
16 May 2026H Sandefjord3-1
10 May 2026A Rosenborg0-2
03 May 2026H Sarpsborg 08 FF4-0
26 Apr 2026H Bodo/Glimt0-2
19 Apr 2026A Valerenga2-0

Kristiansund BK

LLDDW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 4L
16 May 2026A Molde0-1
10 May 2026A Sandefjord0-2
03 May 2026H Ham-Kam1-1
26 Apr 2026A Aalesund1-1
19 Apr 2026H Fredrikstad2-0
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 25% · edge +17 pts
4
Bet HERE @ 4
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.11
Bet HERE @ 1.11
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.23
Bet HERE @ 1.23
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
6.25
Bet HERE @ 6.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
5
Bet HERE @ 5
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 46%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Lillestrom1.8
Avg goals scored
Kristiansund BK0.8
Lillestrom1
Avg goals conceded
Kristiansund BK1
Lillestrom20%
BTTS rate
Kristiansund BK40%
Lillestrom40%
Over 2.5 goals
Kristiansund BK0%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 37% · edge +29 pts
2.7
Bet HERE @ 2.7
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.12
Bet HERE @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 38%
1.44
Bet HERE @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

2Lillestrom wins
4Draws
4Kristiansund BK wins
09 Jul 2025Lillestrom v Kristiansund BK2-0
04 Aug 2024Kristiansund BK v Lillestrom2-1
01 Apr 2024Lillestrom v Kristiansund BK2-3
28 Aug 2022Lillestrom v Kristiansund BK1-1
03 Jul 2022Kristiansund BK v Lillestrom1-3
16 Oct 2021Lillestrom v Kristiansund BK0-0
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 71% · edge -4 pts
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
6.25
Bet HERE @ 6.25
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
5
Bet HERE @ 5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 38%
1.44
Bet HERE @ 1.44
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Lillestrom4.8
Avg corners for
Kristiansund BK5.2
Lillestrom9.6
Avg total corners
Kristiansund BK11.2
Lillestrom2
Avg yellow cards
Kristiansund BK2.2
Lillestrom12.2
Avg shots
Kristiansund BK12
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player anglePromise Meliga Anytime GoalscorerPromise Meliga · 2 goals · 9.47 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
Promise Meliga 1+ Shot On TargetPromise Meliga · 9.47 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
Promise Meliga 2+ ShotsPromise Meliga · 9.47 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
Vá To Assist / Key Pass AngleVá · 4 assists · 1.91 key passes/90
70/100
Bet HERE
Vá To Be FouledVá · 2.74 fouls won/90
78/100
Bet HERE
Promise Meliga Card RiskPromise Meliga · 1 yellows · 4.74 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Promise Meliga
Promise MeligaKristiansund BK · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /909.47
SOT /909.47
L. Alperud
L. AlperudLillestrom · Midfielder
Goal threat72/100
Shots /902.69
SOT /902.69
H. Magnusson
H. MagnussonKristiansund BK · Midfielder
Goal threat67/100
Shots /904.74
SOT /904.74
K. Arierhi
K. ArierhiLillestrom · Attacker
Goal threat47/100
Shots /903.13
SOT /900.9
P. Meliga
P. MeligaKristiansund BK · Attacker
Goal threat42/100
Shots /902.25
SOT /900.9
Y. Ibrahimaj
Y. IbrahimajLillestrom · Midfielder
Goal threat9/100
Shots /900.38
SOT /900
Season team stats

Eliteserien

Lillestrom9
Played
Kristiansund BK8
Lillestrom1.8
Avg goals for
Kristiansund BK0.9
Lillestrom0.8
Avg goals against
Kristiansund BK1.5
Lillestrom4
Clean sheets
Kristiansund BK1
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 25% · edge +17 pts
4
Bet HERE @ 4
Load more odds for this section
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.23
Bet HERE @ 1.23
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
6.25
Bet HERE @ 6.25
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Lillestrom1996129
12Kristiansund BK88224-5

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.

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