Football Stats Hub

Levante crestLevante
v
Mallorca crestMallorca

La Liga | Sun 17 May, 18:00

Levante v Mallorca Stats

Data last updated: Fri 05 Jun 2026, 22:49 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Levante face Mallorca in La Liga on Sun 17 May, 18:00. Levante have won five of their last six home league matches, making them strong on home turf. Levante are resurgent under Luis Castro, securing five victories in their previous six home fixtures. Levante are not dominating possession games.

BT4Y best bet

Levante to Win Rationale Levante are entering this relegation showdown with immense mental momentum under Luis Castro

  • At 1/1, Levante Win implies roughly 50%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 68%.
  • Levante have conceded 59 goals this season, the highest tally among the surrounding bottom-tier clubs.
  • Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 5 for Mallorca.
  • Mallorca have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Levante Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Levante sit 16 in the table, while Mallorca sit 18, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 68% for Levante Win sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price. Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 5 for Mallorca. Levante have conceded that scoring level this season, the highest tally among the surrounding bottom-tier clubs.

Model chance vs price68% model chance against roughly 50% implied
Strong positive
Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points.Visible data support
Positive
Mallorca have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Levante have conceded 59 goals this season, the highest.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Levante Win is the preferred angle because levante have conceded that scoring level this season, the highest tally among the surrounding bottom-tier clubs. Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 5 for Mallorca. The hosts have improved mentally, but they still allow opportunities.

Main risk

The hosts have improved mentally, but they still allow opportunities.

Key Data Signals

Levante Win evidence

Levante have conceded 59 goals this season, the highest tally among the surrounding bottom-tier clubs.

Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 5 for Mallorca.

Mallorca have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Levante Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Levante sit 16 in the table, while Mallorca sit 18, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Levante Win notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickLevante to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 48% · edge +20.4 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Levante Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Levante to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Levante1.8
    Avg goals scored
    Mallorca1
    Levante1.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Mallorca1.4
    Levante60%
    BTTS rate
    Mallorca80%
    Levante60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Mallorca40%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 60% · edge +16.1 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 51%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Levante

    WWLDW
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 3D 2L
    12 May 2026A Celta Vigo3-2
    08 May 2026H Osasuna3-2
    02 May 2026A Villarreal1-5
    27 Apr 2026A Espanyol0-0
    23 Apr 2026H Sevilla2-0

    Mallorca

    LDWLD
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 3D 3L
    13 May 2026A Getafe1-3
    10 May 2026H Villarreal1-1
    01 May 2026A Girona1-0
    25 Apr 2026A Alaves1-2
    21 Apr 2026H Valencia1-1
    Market aligned with main pickLevante to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 48% · edge +20.4 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Levante Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Levante5.8
    Avg corners for
    Mallorca4.75
    Levante10.2
    Avg total corners
    Mallorca9.75
    Levante2.2
    Avg yellow cards
    Mallorca1.75
    Levante15.4
    Avg shots
    Mallorca12.75
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 53% · edge +9.5 pts
    1.88
    Check odds @ 1.88
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
    1.82
    Check odds @ 1.82
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    5Levante wins
    3Draws
    2Mallorca wins
    26 Oct 2025Mallorca v Levante1-1
    08 Jan 2022Levante v Mallorca2-0
    02 Oct 2021Mallorca v Levante1-0
    27 Aug 2020Levante v Mallorca2-1
    09 Jul 2020Mallorca v Levante2-0
    22 Nov 2019Levante v Mallorca2-1
    Market aligned with main pickLevante to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 48% · edge +20.4 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Levante to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    La Liga

    Levante38
    Played
    Mallorca38
    Levante1.2
    Avg goals for
    Mallorca1.2
    Levante1.6
    Avg goals against
    Mallorca1.5
    Levante9
    Clean sheets
    Mallorca6
    Market aligned with main pickLevante to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 48% · edge +20.4 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Levante Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    Season data supports Levante to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    16Levante423811918-14
    18Mallorca423811918-10
    Levante sit in position 16, while Mallorca sit in position 18, so table pressure belongs in the Levante Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Levante Over 2.5
    40%Mallorca Over 2.5
    2.4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Levante sit at 60% and Mallorca sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Levante v Mallorca prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

    More stats pages

    Browse football stats pages

    Open the main stats hub for the latest fixture dashboards.

    Competition and hubs

    La Liga hubLa Liga fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictionbest bets hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angles

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    Read full prediction View match centre