New York Red Bulls
St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer | Thu 01 Oct, 00:30
New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City Stats
Data last updated: Thu 01 Oct 2026, 09:03 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
This Major League Soccer fixture features St. Louis City visiting New York Red Bulls, with St. Louis City currently holding a stronger position in the standings and recent form. Louis City has been prolific offensively, averaging 3 goals per game recently, while New York Red Bulls have struggled to score, averaging just 0.6 goals. The away side's attacking momentum and higher points tally suggest they will look to control the match and extend their winning run. New York Red Bulls face a tough challenge to contain the visitors' dynamic offense and find scoring opportunities themselves.
St. Louis City to Win
- Louis City leads the standings and has a recent form advantage with 11 points versus 7 for New York Red Bulls.
- Louis City averages 3 goals per game recently, while New York Red Bulls average only 0.6 goals.
- Both teams have similar corner averages, but St. Louis City generates more shots and shots on target per game.
- Louis City's attackers, including D. Downs and Rafael Navarro, show strong shot volume and goal threat.
- New York Red Bulls have a higher card risk among key players, which may impact their defensive stability.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model favors St. Louis City to win with a 70% chance, reflecting their superior recent scoring form and stronger offensive metrics. Louis City’s average of 3 goals per game and high shots on target underline their attacking control. The New York Red Bulls’ low scoring rate and defensive vulnerabilities further support the away win. The price offers positive value with an 18.7% edge, making this a confident pick based on both data and tactical context.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Louis City’s attacking firepower and recent form make them the clear favorites to win this match. Their ability to generate high-quality chances contrasts sharply with New York Red Bulls’ struggles to score, providing a strong tactical and statistical basis for backing the away win.
Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome
“Louis City’s offensive metrics and recent momentum position them well to secure victory, especially given New York Red Bulls’ scoring difficulties and defensive concerns.”
Key Data Signals
St. Louis City to Win evidence
Louis City leads the standings and has a recent form advantage with 11 points versus 7 for New York Red Bulls.
Louis City averages 3 goals per game recently, while New York Red Bulls average only 0.6 goals.
Both teams have similar corner averages, but St. Louis City generates more shots and shots on target per game.
Louis City's attackers, including D. Downs and Rafael Navarro, show strong shot volume and goal threat.
What To Watch In The Data
St. Louis City to Win notes
- In the last three meetings, the average goals scored have been 3 per game, indicating a tendency for open, attacking matches.
- Louis City’s recent 100% over 2.5 goals rate supports expectations of a high-tempo game with multiple scoring opportunities, favoring an attacking outcome.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Useful next reads
Market odds
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
New York Red Bulls
St. Louis City
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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