Leganes

Granada CF

Segunda División | Sun 20 Sep, 20:00

Leganes v Granada CF Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:19 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Leganes and Granada CF meet in a Segunda División clash where both sides have shown cautious attacking output this season. Leganes have scored just 0.6 goals per game while conceding the same, reflecting a compact defensive approach. Granada CF, slightly more adventurous, average 1.2 goals scored but have also conceded one per match. Both teams have accumulated 8 points, sitting mid-table with similar form, suggesting a balanced contest likely to feature limited clear-cut chances. The tactical setup and recent low-scoring trends point to a match where defensive solidity may prevail over offensive risk-taking.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

Leganes average only 0.6 goals scored and conceded per game this season.
Granada CF scores 1.2 goals per game but concedes 1, indicating moderate attacking risk.
Both teams have low Over 2.5 Goals rates: Leganes 0%, Granada CF 40%.
Head-to-head average goals stand at 1.13 across eight matches, supporting a low-scoring outlook.
Leganes and Granada CF have similar recent form with 8 points each, reflecting balanced competitiveness.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 66% chance, supported by both teams' conservative scoring and defensive records. Leganes' very low scoring and conceding rates, combined with Granada CF's moderate offensive output but solid defensive discipline, suggest limited goal opportunities. Historical head-to-head data showing an average of just over one goal per game reinforces this low-scoring expectation. The price offers a small positive edge, reflecting a sensible value given the tactical caution and recent form. No price warnings or data limitations affect this pick.

Model Chance66%

Strong positive

Leganes Goals For/Against0.6/0.6 per game

Strong positive

Granada CF Goals For/Against1.2/1.0 per game

Positive

H2H Average Goals1.13 goals per match

Positive

Over 2.5 Goals RateLeganes 0%, Granada CF 40%

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a logical call given both teams' restrained attacking records and disciplined defensive setups. Leganes' low scoring and conceding rates combined with Granada CF's moderate offensive threat suggest a match unlikely to produce many goals. The historical average goals in their encounters further support a tight, low-scoring game.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical defensive discipline and low scoring potential

“This fixture looks set for a tactical battle with both sides prioritizing defensive organization over open attacking play, making Under 2.5 Goals a prudent selection.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Leganes average only 0.6 goals scored and conceded per game this season.

Granada CF scores 1.2 goals per game but concedes 1, indicating moderate attacking risk.

Head-to-head average goals stand at 1.13 across eight matches, supporting a low-scoring outlook.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

Over the last eight head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is just 1.13, indicating a consistent trend towards low-scoring encounters.
This sample suggests a tempo and tactical setup that restricts goal opportunities, reinforcing the likelihood of Under 2.5 Goals in this fixture.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Leganes2.5

Avg corners for

Granada CF4.2

Leganes8.5

Avg total corners

Granada CF7.4

Leganes1.25

Avg yellow cards

Granada CF1.8

Leganes9

Avg shots

Granada CF14

Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.

3.75

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Over 5.5 CardsBetUK guide price

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 38%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 51%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 44%

2.02

Check odds @ 2.02

Granada CF averages more shots (14) and corners (4.2) than Leganes (9 shots, 2.5 corners), suggesting slightly more attacking pressure. However, both teams maintain disciplined defensive structures, reflected in modest foul and card averages. The moderate shot volume and set-piece frequency imply a controlled tempo without excessive open play or wild attacking bursts.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Leganes0.6

Avg goals scored

Granada CF1.2

Leganes0.6

Avg goals conceded

Granada CF1

Leganes20%

BTTS rate

Granada CF40%

Leganes0%

Over 2.5 goals

Granada CF40%

Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 64% · edge +2.3 pts

1.57

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 40%

Check odds @ 4

Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%

4.33

Check odds @ 4.33

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 57%

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

Both teams have low goals scored and conceded per game, with Leganes averaging just 0.6 goals for and against, and Granada CF slightly higher but still moderate. The head-to-head average of 1.13 goals per match suggests a pattern of low scoring. BTTS rates are also low, especially for Leganes at 20%, indicating a controlled, defensive game with fewer goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionGranada CF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 41% · edge +12.4 pts

2.42

Check odds @ 2.42

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 40%

Check odds @ 4

Granada CF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%

4.1

Check odds @ 4.1

Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 44%

2.02

Check odds @ 2.02

DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

Leganes to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%

Check odds @ 2

Leganes Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%

1.52

Check odds @ 1.52

The Under 2.5 Goals market is priced around 1.6 with a of 66%, indicating a small positive . The reflect the cautious attacking nature of both teams and their recent low-scoring matches. This price is attractive given the defensive solidity and limited goal threat, making it a sensible bet rather than a speculative one.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Leganes

LDWWD

Last 52W 2D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 2D 1L

13 Sep 2026A Tenerife0-2

04 Sep 2026A Las Palmas0-0

29 Aug 2026H Eldense1-0

22 Aug 2026A Oviedo1-0

16 Aug 2026A Girona1-1

Granada CF

DLWWD

Last 52W 2D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 2D 1L

12 Sep 2026H Albacete1-1

06 Sep 2026A Eibar0-3

30 Aug 2026A Cordoba3-1

24 Aug 2026H Mallorca2-0

15 Aug 2026A Oviedo0-0

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

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Granada CF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%

2.42

Check odds @ 2.42

Granada CF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%

4.1

Check odds @ 4.1

Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 70%

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

Leganes to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%

Check odds @ 2

Leganes Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%

1.52

Check odds @ 1.52

Both teams have earned 8 points recently, with Leganes scoring and conceding only 0.6 goals per game, while Granada CF scores 1.2 and concedes 1. This balanced form and low scoring output reinforce the likelihood of a tight, low-goal match. Leganes' zero Over 2.5 Goals rate this season contrasts with Granada CF's 40%, but recent matches have favored defensive caution overall.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Leganes wins

1Draws

2Granada CF wins

06 Feb 2026Leganes v Granada CF1-0

14 Sep 2025Granada CF v Leganes0-2

27 May 2023Granada CF v Leganes2-0

27 Nov 2022Leganes v Granada CF1-0

22 Jun 2020Leganes v Granada CF0-0

28 Sep 2019Granada CF v Leganes1-0

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 4

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Granada CF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%

4.1

Check odds @ 4.1

DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

Leganes to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%

Check odds @ 2

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

The eight previous meetings between Leganes and Granada CF have produced an average of just 1.13 goals per game, highlighting a historical pattern of low-scoring contests. This limited goal output reflects tactical caution and defensive discipline from both sides, making the head-to-head record a strong supporting factor for the Under 2.5 Goals selection.

Season team stats

Segunda División

Leganes5

Played

Granada CF5

Leganes0.6

Avg goals for

Granada CF1.2

Leganes0.6

Avg goals against

Granada CF1

Leganes3

Clean sheets

Granada CF2

Best odds for this sectionGranada CF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 41% · edge +12.4 pts

2.42

Check odds @ 2.42

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Granada CF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%

4.1

Check odds @ 4.1

Leganes to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%

Check odds @ 2

Leganes Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%

1.52

Check odds @ 1.52

Leganes' season stats show a very low scoring and conceding rate, emphasizing defensive solidity and limited offensive threat. Granada CF presents a slightly more attacking profile but still maintains a solid defensive record. These season-long trends support an expectation of fewer goals and a controlled match tempo, aligning with the Under 2.5 Goals prediction.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
12	Granada CF	8	5	2	2	1	1
14	Leganes	8	5	2	2	1	0

Both teams sit mid-table with 8 points each, indicating similar competitive levels and no urgent pressure to take excessive attacking risks. This stable league position suggests a balanced tactical approach focused on securing points rather than high-scoring gambles, which aligns with a low-scoring game scenario.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Leganes Over 2.5

40%Granada CF Over 2.5

1.13H2H avg goals

Over the last eight head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is just 1.13, indicating a consistent trend towards low-scoring encounters. This sample suggests a tempo and tactical setup that restricts goal opportunities, reinforcing the likelihood of Under 2.5 Goals in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Leganes v Granada CF Stats

Match Report

Under 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Leganes

Granada CF

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Football Stats Hub

Leganes v Granada CF Stats

Match Report

Under 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Leganes

Granada CF

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