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Juventude crestJuventude
v
Atletico Goianiense crestAtletico Goianiense

Serie B | Sat 05 Sep, 22:00

Juventude v Atletico Goianiense Stats

Data last updated: Fri 04 Sep 2026, 07:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Juventude currently leads Serie B and hosts Atletico Goianiense, who sit seventh, in a match where home advantage and recent defensive solidity are key factors. Juventude's disciplined defensive record and Atletico Goianiense's moderate attacking output set the stage for a tactical battle with limited goal-scoring opportunities. Both teams have shown cautious approaches recently, with Juventude focusing on maintaining their top position and Atletico Goianiense aiming to close the points gap, making this a contest where a Juventude win or draw is a realistic outcome.

BT4Y best bet

Juventude Draw No Bet

  • Juventude leads Serie B and boasts the best defensive record in recent matches.
  • Atletico Goianiense averages fewer goals scored and concedes more than Juventude, indicating defensive vulnerability.
  • Both teams have a low BTTS rate of 20%, suggesting limited goal-scoring chances.
  • Juventude's home form and defensive discipline provide a strong base for a Draw No Bet selection.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 65.2% chance to Juventude avoiding defeat, reflecting their strong defensive form and home advantage. The implied of 1.98 offer a positive of 14.7%, indicating the market underestimates Juventude's resilience. The team's low goals conceded rate (0.2 per game) and Atletico Goianiense's modest attacking threat support the Draw No Bet pick. is high at 78%, with no data limitations affecting the assessment, making this a solid value bet based on defensive strength and league positioning.

Model Chance65.2%
Strong positive
Value Edge14.7%
Strong positive
Juventude Defensive Record0.2 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Atletico Goianiense Attack1 goal per game
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Juventude's superior defensive form and home advantage make the Draw No Bet selection a prudent choice. Their ability to limit goals conceded complements Atletico Goianiense's moderate attack, suggesting Juventude is well-positioned to avoid defeat in this Serie B clash.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Defensive solidity and league form

“Juventude's defensive discipline and league leadership create a strong foundation for avoiding defeat, especially against an Atletico Goianiense side that struggles to consistently convert chances.”

Key Data Signals

Juventude Draw No Bet evidence

Juventude leads Serie B and boasts the best defensive record in recent matches.

Atletico Goianiense averages fewer goals scored and concedes more than Juventude, indicating defensive vulnerability.

Both teams have a low BTTS rate of 20%, suggesting limited goal-scoring chances.

Juventude's home form and defensive discipline provide a strong base for a Draw No Bet selection.

What To Watch In The Data

Juventude Draw No Bet notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.1, with both teams showing a tendency towards low-scoring encounters.
  • The 20% Over 2.5 goals rate for both sides suggests a cautious tempo and defensive focus, reinforcing expectations of a tightly contested match with limited goal-scoring chances.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Juventude0.8
Avg goals scored
Atletico Goianiense1
Juventude0.2
Avg goals conceded
Atletico Goianiense0.6
Juventude20%
BTTS rate
Atletico Goianiense20%
Juventude20%
Over 2.5 goals
Atletico Goianiense20%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetUK guide price · Model 67% vs implied 62% · edge +5.6 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams have a low BTTS rate of 20%, reflecting a tendency for tight, low-scoring matches. Juventude's strong defensive record and Atletico Goianiense's modest attack suggest limited goal-scoring opportunities, supporting a controlled goals environment rather than an open, high-scoring game.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Juventude

DWWDW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 3D 1L
01 Sep 2026A Londrina0-0
25 Aug 2026H CRB2-1
19 Aug 2026A Goias1-0
15 Aug 2026H Fortaleza EC0-0
09 Aug 2026A Novorizontino1-0

Atletico Goianiense

WWDLD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
30 Aug 2026A Avai1-0
25 Aug 2026H Botafogo SP3-0
18 Aug 2026A Londrina0-0
15 Aug 2026H Vila Nova0-2
09 Aug 2026A Nautico Recife1-1
Market aligned with main pickJuventude Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 51% · edge +14.7 pts
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 82%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Juventude to WinBetUK guide price · model 56%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Juventude's recent form shows 11 points with a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.2 goals per game, while Atletico Goianiense has 8 points and concedes more frequently. This form disparity underlines Juventude's ability to control matches and avoid defeat, justifying the Draw No Bet selection.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Juventude4726138513
7Atletico Goianiense4026101065
Juventude's position at the top of Serie B reflects sustained performance and defensive solidity, while Atletico Goianiense's seventh place shows competitive but less consistent form. The standings highlight the pressure on Atletico Goianiense to close the gap, but Juventude's home advantage and league lead provide a buffer against upset.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickJuventude Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 51% · edge +14.7 pts
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Juventude to WinBetUK guide price · model 56%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
The market offers of 1.98 for Juventude Draw No Bet, which the model rates as positive value given the 65.2% chance of success. This indicates the market underestimates Juventude's defensive strength and home advantage, making this a price-sensitive opportunity worth considering with standard stakes.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Juventude4
Avg corners for
Atletico Goianiense9
Juventude9.6
Avg total corners
Atletico Goianiense14
Juventude2
Avg yellow cards
Atletico Goianiense2.33
Juventude11
Avg shots
Atletico Goianiense15
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 60% · edge +9.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 59%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Atletico Goianiense averages nearly double Juventude's corners (7.8 vs 4), indicating more attacking pressure, but Juventude's defensive discipline limits shot quality and quantity. Both teams maintain similar yellow card averages, suggesting balanced discipline and controlled aggression in midfield battles.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Juventude wins
4Draws
3Atletico Goianiense wins
03 May 2026Atletico Goianiense v Juventude0-0
24 Aug 2024Atletico Goianiense v Juventude2-1
05 Jun 2024Juventude v Atletico Goianiense1-0
10 Sep 2023Atletico Goianiense v Juventude3-0
24 May 2023Juventude v Atletico Goianiense3-0
16 Oct 2022Juventude v Atletico Goianiense1-1
Market aligned with main pickJuventude to WinBetUK guide price · Model 56% vs implied 48% · edge +8.5 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
The ten previous meetings between Juventude and Atletico Goianiense average 2.1 goals per game, indicating moderately low-scoring contests. This historical trend aligns with the current defensive strengths and suggests a balanced matchup where Juventude's resilience at home is a key factor.
Season team stats

Serie B

Juventude26
Played
Atletico Goianiense26
Juventude1.1
Avg goals for
Atletico Goianiense1.2
Juventude0.6
Avg goals against
Atletico Goianiense1
Juventude18
Clean sheets
Atletico Goianiense9
Market aligned with main pickJuventude Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 51% · edge +14.7 pts
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
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Juventude to WinBetUK guide price · model 56%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Juventude tops the league with 46 points and boasts the best defensive stats, conceding fewer goals than Atletico Goianiense, who have 39 points. This season-long defensive consistency supports the likelihood of Juventude avoiding defeat at home.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Juventude Over 2.5
20%Atletico Goianiense Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.1, with both teams showing a tendency towards low-scoring encounters. The 20% Over 2.5 goals rate for both sides suggests a cautious tempo and defensive focus, reinforcing expectations of a tightly contested match with limited goal-scoring chances.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.