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Juve Stabia crestJuve Stabia
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Cesena crestCesena

Serie B | Fri 18 Sep, 19:30

Juve Stabia v Cesena Stats

Data last updated: Thu 17 Sep 2026, 08:16 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Juve Stabia hosts Cesena in a Serie B clash where both teams have shown a tendency for active wing play and sustained pressure. Juve Stabia, positioned lower in the table, will likely push for territorial advantage to improve their standing, while Cesena's mid-table form suggests a balanced approach with moments of attacking intent. Recent matches indicate a competitive tempo with both sides capable of generating set-piece opportunities, setting the stage for a contest with frequent corner situations and tactical battles along the flanks.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Juve Stabia averages 5.5 corners per game, Cesena 4.25, combining for nearly 10 per match.
  • Both teams show a 50% rate for matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating open play and attacking intent.
  • Juve Stabia commits fewer fouls but maintains pressure through wide attacks, aiding corner creation.
  • Cesena’s higher yellow card average suggests aggressive defending, often leading to set-piece chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 9.5 Corners as a strong value bet with a 68.3% chance against a 54.6% implied market chance, reflecting a 13.7% . Both teams exhibit attacking styles that generate numerous corners: Juve Stabia’s 5.5 average and Cesena’s 4.25 per game combine to support this. The match context of active wing play and defensive fouling further enhances corner likelihood. is high at 84%, indicating robust data support and tactical alignment for this corners market.

Juve Stabia average corners5.5 per game
Strong positive
Cesena average corners4.25 per game
Strong positive
Model chance vs implied chance68.3% vs 54.6%
Strong positive
Match tempo and wing playHigh attacking activity on flanks
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with sustained wing pressure and frequent attacking transitions that should produce numerous corners. Juve Stabia’s need to assert themselves at home combined with Cesena’s balanced offensive play supports a high corner count. Data and tactical patterns align well with Over 9.5 Corners as a compelling selection for this fixture.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market rationale

“The corner count is a natural reflection of both teams’ attacking styles and defensive tendencies. Juve Stabia’s home urgency and Cesena’s disciplined pressure create a fertile environment for set-piece opportunities.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Juve Stabia averages 5.5 corners per game, Cesena 4.25, combining for nearly 10 per match.

Both teams show a 50% rate for matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating open play and attacking intent.

Juve Stabia commits fewer fouls but maintains pressure through wide attacks, aiding corner creation.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last five matches, both teams have a 50% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating open games with attacking tempo.
  • The average 2.4 goals in their five head-to-head meetings further suggests offensive engagement.
  • This attacking rhythm correlates with increased corner counts through transitions and set-piece chances.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Juve Stabia5.5
Avg corners for
Cesena4.25
Juve Stabia10.25
Avg total corners
Cesena10.75
Juve Stabia1.25
Avg yellow cards
Cesena2.25
Juve Stabia14.75
Avg shots
Cesena10.25
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Juve Stabia averages 5.5 corners and 1.25 yellow cards per game, while Cesena averages 4.25 corners and 2.25 yellows, reflecting aggressive defending and frequent fouls. This physicality and territorial pressure translate into numerous corner opportunities through wide attacks and set-piece situations.

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corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Juve Stabia0.75
Avg goals scored
Cesena1.5
Juve Stabia1.5
Avg goals conceded
Cesena1.25
Juve Stabia50%
BTTS rate
Cesena100%
Juve Stabia50%
Over 2.5 goals
Cesena50%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 33%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Both Juve Stabia and Cesena have a 50% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, with Cesena showing 100% BTTS rate, indicating open games with attacking intent. This offensive openness correlates with increased set-piece chances, including corners, as both sides push forward and concede space.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Cesena Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Cesena to WinBetUK guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Juve Stabia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The Over 9.5 Corners market is priced attractively with a 1.83 reflecting a 54.6% implied chance, while the model’s 68.3% probability signals clear value. This discrepancy highlights a strong opportunity given the teams’ combined corner averages and tactical tendencies. The market is not price-sensitive and supports a standard stake recommendation.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Juve Stabia

DLWL
Last 51W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 2L
12 Sep 2026A Vicenza Virtus1-1
06 Sep 2026H Pisa0-3
29 Aug 2026A Sampdoria2-1
23 Aug 2026A Palermo0-1

Cesena

DDWD
Last 51W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 0L
12 Sep 2026H Cremonese2-2
06 Sep 2026H Mantova1-1
29 Aug 2026A Virtus Entella2-1
23 Aug 2026H Sampdoria1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 77% vs implied 62% · edge +15 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Cesena Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Cesena to WinBetUK guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Juve Stabia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Juve Stabia to WinBetUK guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Recent form shows Juve Stabia with 4 points and Cesena with 6, both teams averaging around 5 corners per game combined. Their matches frequently feature sustained wing play and attacking pressure, supporting a high corner count. The consistency of corner generation in recent fixtures underpins in the Over 9.5 Corners market.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Juve Stabia wins
2Draws
0Cesena wins
11 Apr 2026Juve Stabia v Cesena2-0
20 Dec 2025Cesena v Juve Stabia1-1
30 Mar 2025Cesena v Juve Stabia1-2
22 Dec 2024Juve Stabia v Cesena1-0
19 May 2024Cesena v Juve Stabia2-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Cesena to WinBetUK guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Juve Stabia to WinBetUK guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
The five previous meetings between Juve Stabia and Cesena have averaged 2.4 goals per game, reflecting open contests with attacking opportunities. While the sample is moderate, the trend supports a match environment conducive to frequent corners due to active wing play and transitional attacks.
Season team stats

Serie B

Juve Stabia4
Played
Cesena4
Juve Stabia0.8
Avg goals for
Cesena1.5
Juve Stabia1.5
Avg goals against
Cesena1.3
Juve Stabia0
Clean sheets
Cesena0
Best odds for this sectionCesena Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Cesena to WinBetUK guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Juve Stabia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Juve Stabia to WinBetUK guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Season-long data confirms Juve Stabia’s 5.5 and Cesena’s 4.25 average corners per match, reflecting tactical patterns favoring flank attacks and set-piece creation. Defensive fouling rates and shot volumes further support frequent corner scenarios, aligning well with the Over 9.5 Corners selection.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8Cesena641301
18Juve Stabia24112-3
Juve Stabia’s lower table position (18th) suggests a need for offensive urgency at home, likely increasing attacking pressure and corners. Cesena’s mid-table standing (8th) indicates balanced play but willingness to contest territory, contributing to corner opportunities. The standings context supports a competitive match with sustained wing play.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Juve Stabia Over 2.5
50%Cesena Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
In the last five matches, both teams have a 50% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating open games with attacking tempo. The average 2.4 goals in their five head-to-head meetings further suggests offensive engagement. This attacking rhythm correlates with increased corner counts through transitions and set-piece chances.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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More stats pages

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