Jagiellonia
Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa | Wed 16 Dec, 17:00
Jagiellonia v Pogon Szczecin Stats
Data last updated: Sun 30 Aug 2026, 14:12 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Jagiellonia face Pogon Szczecin in Ekstraklasa on Wed 16 Dec, 17:00. Jagiellonia come in with 6 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Pogon Szczecin have 8 points and 1.4 goals per match in the same lens.
Under 2.5 Goals
- At 2.25, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 44%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 59%.
- The Over 2.5 trend is 33% for Jagiellonia and 40% for Pogon Szczecin, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
- Pogon Szczecin are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.4 goals per match, with Jagiellonia at 1.
- BTTS rates of 33% for Jagiellonia and 40% for Pogon Szczecin show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 59% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 44% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 33% for Jagiellonia and 40% for Pogon Szczecin, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Pogon Szczecin are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.4 goals per match, with Jagiellonia at 1. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.
A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.
Key Data Signals
Under 2.5 Goals evidence
Pogon Szczecin are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.4 goals per match, with Jagiellonia at 1.
BTTS rates of 33% for Jagiellonia and 40% for Pogon Szczecin show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.
What To Watch In The Data
Under 2.5 Goals notes
- The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
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Continue the research
Useful next reads
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Jagiellonia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
No priced odds are available for this section yet.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
Ekstraklasa
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
