Jagiellonia

Legia Warszawa

Ekstraklasa | Sun 20 Sep, 16:30

Jagiellonia v Legia Warszawa Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Jagiellonia and Legia Warszawa meet in an Ekstraklasa clash where both sides have shown attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities. Jagiellonia, ranked 8th, have scored regularly but also conceded frequently, while Legia Warszawa, sitting 3rd, boast a stronger defense and higher goal output. Recent matches highlight open play and goal-scoring opportunities at both ends, setting the stage for a contest likely to see goals from both teams. Tactical approaches suggest an engaging encounter with offensive players expected to influence the scoreline.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

Jagiellonia and Legia Warszawa have BTTS rates of 60% and 80% respectively this season.
Both teams average over 13 shots per game, indicating offensive activity.
Recent form shows Jagiellonia concede 1.8 goals per match, Legia only 1.0 but score more.
Head-to-head matches average 3 goals, supporting a goal-rich game.
Key attacking players from both sides have strong shot and goal involvement stats.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, reflecting strong attacking performances and defensive lapses on both sides. Jagiellonia's 60% BTTS rate combined with Legia Warszawa's 80% rate and their average shots on target per game support the likelihood of goals at both ends. The price offers positive value with a 14.3% edge over the implied chance. This pick aligns well with the teams' offensive tendencies and recent goal patterns, making it a solid choice for this fixture.

Jagiellonia BTTS Rate60%

Positive

Legia Warszawa BTTS Rate80%

Strong positive

Model Chance76%

Strong positive

Value Edge14.3%

Strong positive

Implied Chance61.7%

Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have demonstrated offensive capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities, making both teams to score a logical selection. Legia Warszawa's higher scoring rate and Jagiellonia's openness in defense suggest goals at both ends. The data supports an open game where both sides find the net, fitting the tactical and form context of this Ekstraklasa fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“This fixture features two teams with contrasting defensive solidity but shared attacking ambition, making both teams to score a compelling market to consider given their recent goal involvements and shot volumes.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Jagiellonia and Legia Warszawa have BTTS rates of 60% and 80% respectively this season.

Both teams average over 13 shots per game, indicating offensive activity.

Recent form shows Jagiellonia concede 1.8 goals per match, Legia only 1.0 but score more.

Head-to-head matches average 3 goals, supporting a goal-rich game.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3, indicating a trend towards open, attacking games.
Both teams' recent matches also show a tendency for over 2.5 goals, supporting a lively tempo and multiple scoring chances in this fixture.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Jagiellonia1.6

Avg goals scored

Legia Warszawa2.2

Jagiellonia1.8

Avg goals conceded

Legia Warszawa1

Jagiellonia60%

BTTS rate

Legia Warszawa80%

Jagiellonia60%

Over 2.5 goals

Legia Warszawa40%

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts

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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%

2.08

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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%

1.22

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 36%

2.75

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BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Both teams have shown a strong propensity to score and concede this season, with Jagiellonia scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.8 goals per game, and Legia Warszawa scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.0. Their BTTS rates of 60% and 80% respectively, along with an average of 3 goals in recent head-to-heads, suggest a high likelihood of goals from both sides.

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Useful next reads

corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles stats dashboard football analysis hub prediction centre best bets research acca fixture filtering

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Jagiellonia

LWLWL

Last 52W 0D 3L

Last 5 record

Last 104W 0D 3L

11 Sep 2026A Wisla Krakow0-2

06 Sep 2026H Slask Wroclaw2-1

03 Sep 2026A Lech Poznan1-2

30 Aug 2026A Raków Częstochowa5-2

09 Aug 2026H Widzew Łódź0-2

Legia Warszawa

DWDDW

Last 52W 3D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 104W 4D 0L

13 Sep 2026H Widzew Łódź1-1

05 Sep 2026A Motor Lublin3-2

28 Aug 2026H Slask Wroclaw1-1

22 Aug 2026A Piast Gliwice1-1

14 Aug 2026H Radomiak Radom5-0

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 82% vs implied 67% · edge +15 pts

1.5

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Legia Warszawa Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 66%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

Legia Warszawa to WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%

2.45

Check odds @ 2.45

Jagiellonia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%

1.85

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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 50%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

Jagiellonia to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

Recent form data shows Jagiellonia earning 6 points with a 60% BTTS rate, while Legia Warszawa has 9 points and an 80% BTTS rate. Both teams have been involved in matches with goals at both ends, reflecting their current offensive momentum and defensive vulnerabilities that support the Both Teams to Score selection.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
3	Legia Warszawa	16	8	4	4	0	9
10	Jagiellonia	12	7	4	0	3	1

Legia Warszawa's 3rd place with 16 points contrasts with Jagiellonia's 8th place and 12 points, indicating a quality gap but not control that would suppress goals. The standings suggest Legia will push for attack while Jagiellonia seeks to capitalize on opportunities, maintaining the BTTS probability.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 3

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Legia Warszawa Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 66%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 68%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Legia Warszawa to WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%

2.45

Check odds @ 2.45

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Jagiellonia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively with a of 76% against an implied chance of 61.7%, indicating positive value. The reflect the offensive tendencies and defensive lapses of both teams, making this a price-sensitive but worthwhile selection given the statistical backing.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Jagiellonia4

Avg corners for

Legia Warszawa4.6

Jagiellonia10.2

Avg total corners

Legia Warszawa8.6

Jagiellonia1.8

Avg yellow cards

Legia Warszawa1.4

Jagiellonia13

Avg shots

Legia Warszawa15.2

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 68% vs implied 56% · edge +12.3 pts

1.8

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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 59%

2.25

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Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price

3.25

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Both teams generate a healthy number of shots per game, with Legia Warszawa averaging 15.2 and Jagiellonia 13, alongside similar corner counts around 4 per match. The moderate card rates indicate a competitive but not overly aggressive game, supporting sustained attacking pressure and chances for goals.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Jagiellonia wins

4Draws

4Legia Warszawa wins

01 Mar 2026Jagiellonia v Legia Warszawa2-2

24 Sep 2025Legia Warszawa v Jagiellonia0-0

13 Apr 2025Legia Warszawa v Jagiellonia0-1

26 Feb 2025Legia Warszawa v Jagiellonia3-1

06 Oct 2024Jagiellonia v Legia Warszawa1-1

06 Jul 2024Legia Warszawa v Jagiellonia2-0

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 3

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Legia Warszawa to WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%

2.45

Check odds @ 2.45

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

Jagiellonia to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

The last ten meetings between Jagiellonia and Legia Warszawa have averaged 3 goals per game, indicating a history of open contests with goals at both ends. This trend supports the expectation of both teams scoring in the upcoming match, reflecting consistent attacking threat and defensive gaps.

Season team stats

Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia7

Played

Legia Warszawa8

Jagiellonia1.6

Avg goals for

Legia Warszawa2

Jagiellonia1.4

Avg goals against

Legia Warszawa0.9

Jagiellonia1

Clean sheets

Legia Warszawa2

Best odds for this sectionLegia Warszawa Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

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Legia Warszawa to WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%

2.45

Check odds @ 2.45

Jagiellonia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

Jagiellonia to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

Season-long stats reveal Jagiellonia's attack produces 1.6 goals per game but concedes 1.8, while Legia Warszawa scores 2.2 and concedes only 1.0. These figures underline the likelihood of goals from both sides, with Legia's stronger attack and Jagiellonia's defensive openness balancing the contest.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Jagiellonia Over 2.5

40%Legia Warszawa Over 2.5

3H2H avg goals

Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3, indicating a trend towards open, attacking games. Both teams' recent matches also show a tendency for over 2.5 goals, supporting a lively tempo and multiple scoring chances in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

Jagiellonia v Legia Warszawa Stats

Match Report

Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Jagiellonia

Legia Warszawa

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Football Stats Hub

Jagiellonia v Legia Warszawa Stats

Match Report

Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Jagiellonia

Legia Warszawa

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