Independiente Medellin

Jaguares

Primera A | Wed 23 Sep, 00:00

Independiente Medellin v Jaguares Stats

Data last updated: Tue 22 Sep 2026, 08:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Independiente Medellin face Jaguares in Primera A on Wed 23 Sep, 00:00. Independiente Medellin come in with 7 recent points and 1.6 goals per match, while Jaguares have 7 points and 1.8 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

At 2, Both Teams to Score implies roughly 50%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 65%.
Independiente Medellin show a 60% BTTS rate and Jaguares show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Independiente Medellin average 1.6 goals scored and Jaguares average 1.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 65% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price. Independiente Medellin show a 60% BTTS rate and Jaguares show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price65% model chance against roughly 50% implied

Strong positive

Independiente Medellin show a 60% BTTS rate and Jaguares show.Visible data support

Positive

Independiente Medellin average 1.6 goals scored and Jaguares average 1.Visible data support

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Independiente Medellin show a 60% BTTS rate and Jaguares show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Independiente Medellin show a 60% BTTS rate and Jaguares show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Independiente Medellin average 1.6 goals scored and Jaguares average 1.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Independiente Medellin3.75

Avg corners for

Jaguares3.8

Independiente Medellin7

Avg total corners

Jaguares12.6

Independiente Medellin3.5

Avg yellow cards

Jaguares4

Independiente Medellin15

Avg shots

Jaguares11.6

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 55% vs implied 48% · edge +7 pts

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles latest football stats main football hub today's predictions best bets research acca fixture filtering

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Independiente Medellin1.6

Avg goals scored

Jaguares1.8

Independiente Medellin1.2

Avg goals conceded

Jaguares1.6

Independiente Medellin60%

BTTS rate

Jaguares80%

Independiente Medellin80%

Over 2.5 goals

Jaguares60%

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 2

Load more odds for this section

Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%

1.18

Check odds @ 1.18

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 60%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%

2.5

Check odds @ 2.5

Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 2

Load more odds for this section

Jaguares Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 34%

5.25

Check odds @ 5.25

Jaguares to WinBet365 guide price · model 25%

Check odds @ 10

DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%

Check odds @ 5

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 60%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Independiente Medellin Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%

1.16

Check odds @ 1.16

Independiente Medellin to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Independiente Medellin

DLWWL

Last 52W 1D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 106W 1D 3L

18 Sep 2026A Bucaramanga2-2

13 Sep 2026A Chico1-2

04 Sep 2026A Deportivo Pereira3-0

30 Aug 2026H Llaneros2-1

23 Aug 2026H Cucuta0-1

Jaguares

DDDWD

Last 51W 4D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 5D 3L

12 Sep 2026H Fortaleza FC2-2

06 Sep 2026A Junior3-3

29 Aug 2026H America de Cali2-2

21 Aug 2026H Chico1-0

10 Aug 2026H Once Caldas1-1

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +15 pts

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

Load more odds for this section

Jaguares Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 34%

5.25

Check odds @ 5.25

Jaguares to WinBet365 guide price · model 25%

Check odds @ 10

DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%

Check odds @ 5

Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 73%

1.06

Check odds @ 1.06

Independiente Medellin Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%

1.16

Check odds @ 1.16

Independiente Medellin to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Independiente Medellin wins

4Draws

1Jaguares wins

15 Mar 2026Jaguares v Independiente Medellin1-2

07 Aug 2025Jaguares v Independiente Medellin0-1

01 Aug 2025Independiente Medellin v Jaguares1-1

29 Oct 2024Independiente Medellin v Jaguares4-1

08 Apr 2024Jaguares v Independiente Medellin2-2

02 Sep 2023Jaguares v Independiente Medellin1-1

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 2

Load more odds for this section

Jaguares to WinBet365 guide price · model 25%

Check odds @ 10

DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%

Check odds @ 5

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 60%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Independiente Medellin to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.

Season team stats

Primera A

Independiente Medellin27

Played

Jaguares27

Independiente Medellin1.5

Avg goals for

Jaguares1.1

Independiente Medellin1.3

Avg goals against

Jaguares1.7

Independiente Medellin7

Clean sheets

Jaguares5

Best odds for this sectionJaguares Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 34% vs implied 19% · edge +15 pts

5.25

Check odds @ 5.25

Load more odds for this section

Jaguares to WinBet365 guide price · model 25%

Check odds @ 10

Independiente Medellin Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%

1.16

Check odds @ 1.16

Independiente Medellin to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

Season data supports Jaguares Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
11	Independiente Medellin	26	19	7	5	7	2
16	Jaguares	18	19	5	3	11	-13
7	Independiente Medellin	16	8	5	1	2	5
18	Jaguares	7	8	1	4	3	-5

Independiente Medellin sit in position 7, while Jaguares sit in position 18, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams to Score assessment.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Independiente Medellin Over 2.5

60%Jaguares Over 2.5

2.2H2H avg goals

The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Independiente Medellin sit at 80% and Jaguares sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Independiente Medellin v Jaguares Stats

Match Report

Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Independiente Medellin

Jaguares

Next step

Your privacy choices

Football Stats Hub

Independiente Medellin v Jaguares Stats

Match Report

Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Independiente Medellin

Jaguares

Related football research

Prediction context

More stats pages

Competition and hubs

Next step