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IF Brommapojkarna crestIF Brommapojkarna
v
IF Elfsborg crestIF Elfsborg

Allsvenskan | Sun 06 Sep, 15:30

IF Brommapojkarna v IF Elfsborg Stats

Data last updated: Sat 05 Sep 2026, 08:13 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

IF Brommapojkarna face IF Elfsborg in Allsvenskan on Sun 06 Sep, 15:30. IF Brommapojkarna come in with 7 recent points and 1.6 goals per match, while IF Elfsborg have 13 points and 1.8 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

IF Elfsborg to Win

  • At 2.05, IF Elfsborg to Win implies roughly 49%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 64%.
  • IF Elfsborg have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 7 for IF Brommapojkarna.
  • IF Elfsborg have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the IF Elfsborg to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • IF Brommapojkarna sit 10 in the table, while IF Elfsborg sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 64% for IF Elfsborg to Win sits against roughly 49% implied by the current price. IF Elfsborg have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 7 for IF Brommapojkarna.

Model chance vs price64% model chance against roughly 49% implied
Strong positive
IF Elfsborg have the stronger recent points return, taking 13.Visible data support
Positive
IF Elfsborg have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: IF Elfsborg Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers IF Elfsborg have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 7 for IF Brommapojkarna. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

IF Elfsborg to Win evidence

IF Elfsborg have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 7 for IF Brommapojkarna.

IF Elfsborg have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the IF Elfsborg Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

IF Brommapojkarna sit 10 in the table, while IF Elfsborg sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

IF Elfsborg to Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    IF Brommapojkarna5
    Avg corners for
    IF Elfsborg5
    IF Brommapojkarna10.2
    Avg total corners
    IF Elfsborg9.8
    IF Brommapojkarna1.8
    Avg yellow cards
    IF Elfsborg1
    IF Brommapojkarna12.8
    Avg shots
    IF Elfsborg14.4
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 56% · edge -1.6 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    IF Brommapojkarna1.6
    Avg goals scored
    IF Elfsborg1.8
    IF Brommapojkarna1.8
    Avg goals conceded
    IF Elfsborg0.4
    IF Brommapojkarna60%
    BTTS rate
    IF Elfsborg40%
    IF Brommapojkarna80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    IF Elfsborg40%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 83% vs implied 82% · edge +1.4 pts
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 39%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Over 1.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 80% for IF Brommapojkarna and 40% for IF Elfsborg, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickIF Elfsborg to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    IF Elfsborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    IF Elfsborg to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    IF Brommapojkarna

    LWWDL
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 4D 4L
    31 Aug 2026A Gais0-4
    23 Aug 2026H Degerfors IF2-0
    16 Aug 2026H Orgryte IS3-1
    10 Aug 2026A Sirius2-2
    02 Aug 2026H Malmo FF1-2

    IF Elfsborg

    WDWWW
    Last 54W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 3D 3L
    29 Aug 2026H Degerfors IF2-0
    23 Aug 2026A IFK Goteborg1-1
    14 Aug 2026H Vasteras SK FK3-0
    08 Aug 2026A Mjallby AIF1-0
    26 Jul 2026A Malmo FF2-1
    Market aligned with main pickIF Elfsborg to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    IF Elfsborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2IF Brommapojkarna wins
    2Draws
    6IF Elfsborg wins
    08 May 2026IF Elfsborg v IF Brommapojkarna2-0
    14 Mar 2026IF Elfsborg v IF Brommapojkarna2-1
    30 Aug 2025IF Brommapojkarna v IF Elfsborg3-0
    15 May 2025IF Elfsborg v IF Brommapojkarna4-3
    01 Mar 2025IF Elfsborg v IF Brommapojkarna1-1
    01 Sep 2024IF Brommapojkarna v IF Elfsborg3-3
    Market aligned with main pickIF Elfsborg to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    The head-to-head sample gives context for IF Elfsborg to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Allsvenskan

    IF Brommapojkarna19
    Played
    IF Elfsborg19
    IF Brommapojkarna1.4
    Avg goals for
    IF Elfsborg1.4
    IF Brommapojkarna1.6
    Avg goals against
    IF Elfsborg1
    IF Brommapojkarna2
    Clean sheets
    IF Elfsborg6
    Market aligned with main pickIF Elfsborg to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    IF Elfsborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Season data supports IF Elfsborg to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    4IF Elfsborg31198748
    10IF Brommapojkarna2419667-4
    IF Brommapojkarna sit in position 10, while IF Elfsborg sit in position 4, so table pressure belongs in the IF Elfsborg to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%IF Brommapojkarna Over 2.5
    40%IF Elfsborg Over 2.5
    3.7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: IF Brommapojkarna sit at 80% and IF Elfsborg sit at 40% with the H2H average at 3.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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