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Degerfors IF crestDegerfors IF
v
Halmstad crestHalmstad

Allsvenskan | Sat 05 Sep, 14:00

Degerfors IF v Halmstad Stats

Data last updated: Fri 04 Sep 2026, 07:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Degerfors IF and Halmstad meet in an Allsvenskan clash where both sides have struggled to find consistent scoring form. Degerfors IF have averaged just 1 goal per game recently, while Halmstad's attack has been even more subdued, scoring only 0.4 goals per match on average. Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities but have not translated this into high-scoring affairs. The tactical setup suggests a cautious approach from both sides, with an emphasis on defensive solidity and limited offensive risk, making a low-scoring game likely.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Degerfors IF average only 1 goal per game recently, indicating limited attacking output.
  • Halmstad have scored just 0.4 goals per match, showing offensive struggles.
  • Both teams have low BTTS rates at 20%, suggesting matches often end with one or no team scoring.
  • Recent matches show Degerfors IF have a 40% Over 2.5 Goals rate, but Halmstad have 0%, reinforcing low scoring expectations.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 66% chance for Under 2.5 Goals, reflecting the low scoring trends of both teams. Halmstad's minimal goal output and Degerfors IF's modest scoring, combined with their defensive records, support a cautious game with fewer goals. The at 1.8 offer positive value given the implied 55.6% chance, making Under 2.5 Goals a sensible selection. No data limitations affect , and the model's 77% rating underscores the strength of this low-scoring prediction.

Model Probability66% chance Under 2.5 Goals
Strong positive
Recent Scoring RatesDegerfors IF 1.0, Halmstad 0.4 goals per game
Strong positive
BTTS RatesBoth teams at 20%, indicating low scoring matches
Positive
Odds Value Edge10.4% positive value at 1.8 odds
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a logical pick given the subdued attacking output from both Degerfors IF and Halmstad. The tactical caution and recent low scoring form suggest a tight game with limited goal opportunities. Data supports a low-scoring match, making this selection a solid choice for bettors seeking a controlled game scenario.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Under 2.5 Goals rationale

“This fixture features two teams with limited offensive firepower and a tendency to keep matches tight. The Under 2.5 Goals bet aligns well with their defensive approaches and recent scoring struggles, making it a prudent selection.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Degerfors IF average only 1 goal per game recently, indicating limited attacking output.

Halmstad have scored just 0.4 goals per match, showing offensive struggles.

Both teams have low BTTS rates at 20%, suggesting matches often end with one or no team scoring.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.6, slightly above 2.5, but recent matches have trended lower.
  • The tempo and defensive setups in this fixture suggest a slower pace with fewer goal-scoring opportunities, aligning with a trend towards Under 2.5 Goals in the near term.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Degerfors IF3.8
Avg corners for
Halmstad5
Degerfors IF11.8
Avg total corners
Halmstad12.75
Degerfors IF2
Avg yellow cards
Halmstad0.75
Degerfors IF8
Avg shots
Halmstad16.25
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 60% · edge +9.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Halmstad averages more shots (15.8) and corners (5.6) than Degerfors IF, but their low conversion rates and limited goals suggest these chances are often low quality or well defended. Card counts are low, indicating disciplined play which may reduce game interruptions and maintain a steady tempo, limiting chaotic high-scoring bursts.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Degerfors IF1
Avg goals scored
Halmstad0.4
Degerfors IF1.4
Avg goals conceded
Halmstad1.2
Degerfors IF20%
BTTS rate
Halmstad20%
Degerfors IF40%
Over 2.5 goals
Halmstad0%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 54% · edge +11.9 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Both teams have low scoring rates and BTTS percentages at 20%, suggesting matches rarely see both sides scoring. Degerfors IF's slightly higher Over 2.5 rate contrasts with Halmstad's zero, indicating that while Degerfors occasionally participates in higher scoring games, overall goal totals remain modest, favoring Under 2.5 Goals.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 74% · edge +1.5 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Degerfors IF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Degerfors IF Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Halmstad Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Halmstad to WinBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
The Under 2.5 Goals market is priced at 1.8 with an implied chance of 55.6%, while the model estimates a 66% probability, indicating clear value. This pricing reflects the market's cautious stance on goal volume, but the statistical evidence supports a lower scoring game, making the attractive for this bet.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Degerfors IF

LLWWL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 7L
29 Aug 2026A IF Elfsborg0-2
23 Aug 2026A IF Brommapojkarna0-2
16 Aug 2026H IFK Goteborg3-0
09 Aug 2026A Malmo FF2-1
02 Aug 2026A IFK Goteborg0-2

Halmstad

WDLLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 7L
29 Aug 2026H Kalmar FF1-0
22 Aug 2026A Orgryte IS1-1
17 Aug 2026A BK Hacken0-1
09 Aug 2026H Gais0-2
03 Aug 2026H Sirius0-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 81% vs implied 82% · edge -0.8 pts
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Load more odds for this section
Degerfors IF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Degerfors IF Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Halmstad Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Halmstad to WinBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Recent form data shows Degerfors IF scoring 1 goal per game and conceding 1.4, while Halmstad scores only 0.4 and concedes 1.2. Both teams have low Over 2.5 Goals rates recently, especially Halmstad at 0%, reinforcing the expectation of a low-scoring encounter.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

6Degerfors IF wins
2Draws
2Halmstad wins
12 Apr 2026Halmstad v Degerfors IF0-3
20 Oct 2025Degerfors IF v Halmstad0-1
30 Mar 2025Halmstad v Degerfors IF0-5
07 Oct 2023Halmstad v Degerfors IF0-0
08 Apr 2023Degerfors IF v Halmstad3-1
16 Oct 2021Degerfors IF v Halmstad2-1
Best odds for this sectionDegerfors IF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 51% · edge +3.6 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Halmstad to WinBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The head-to-head record over ten matches shows an average of 2.6 goals per game, indicating moderately open contests historically. However, recent tactical adjustments and current form suggest this fixture will be more cautious, making the historical average less predictive and supporting a lower scoring expectation.
Season team stats

Allsvenskan

Degerfors IF19
Played
Halmstad19
Degerfors IF0.9
Avg goals for
Halmstad0.7
Degerfors IF1.6
Avg goals against
Halmstad1.8
Degerfors IF2
Clean sheets
Halmstad2
Best odds for this sectionDegerfors IF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 51% · edge +3.6 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Degerfors IF Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Halmstad Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Halmstad to WinBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Season-long statistics reveal both teams have struggled offensively, with low goals per game and modest attacking efficiency. Defensive records are average, but the lack of prolific scoring supports a low total goals outcome, consistent with the Under 2.5 Goals selection.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
14Degerfors IF16194411-14
16Halmstad11192512-22
Degerfors IF and Halmstad occupy lower positions in the Allsvenskan table, reflecting their struggles to secure points and score goals. The pressure to avoid defeat may encourage cautious tactics, further reducing the likelihood of a high-scoring game.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Degerfors IF Over 2.5
0%Halmstad Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.6, slightly above 2.5, but recent matches have trended lower. The tempo and defensive setups in this fixture suggest a slower pace with fewer goal-scoring opportunities, aligning with a trend towards Under 2.5 Goals in the near term.

Related football research

Fixture links

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