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Ceara crestCeara

Serie B | Sun 05 Jul, 00:00

Goias v Ceara Stats

Data last updated: Mon 06 Jul 2026, 02:26 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Goias and Ceara meet in a Serie B clash where both sides have shown moderate attacking intent but also defensive vulnerabilities. Goias, positioned 11th, have struggled to convert chances into goals, averaging just 0.6 goals per game, while Ceara, 15th, have a slightly better attacking output at 0.8 goals per game. Both teams concede frequently, with Goias allowing 1.8 goals and Ceara 1.4 per match, suggesting open play and potential for sustained pressure. This fixture is likely to feature territorial battles and set-piece opportunities as both teams seek to break defensive lines and gain advantage.

BT4Y best bet

Over 8.5 Corners

  • Both teams average 5.6 corners per game, indicating a high likelihood of crossing and set-piece situations.
  • Recent form shows both teams have a 40% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, supporting attacking openness.
  • Goias and Ceara average a combined 13.8 and 13 shots per game respectively, reflecting active offensive play.
  • Discipline stats show moderate fouling with Ceara averaging 2.4 yellow cards and Goias 2.2, suggesting physical contests that can lead to set-piece chances.
  • Player data highlights key attackers like Melk and Kauã for Ceara and E. García and Anselmo Ramon for Goias, who generate significant shooting and set-piece involvement.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Over 8.5 Corners pick is supported by both teams' consistent corner averages of 5.6 per game, indicating a combined total well above the threshold. The match context of open defensive lines and active attacking play increases the likelihood of sustained pressure and repeated wide attacks, which naturally generate corners. Player roles such as Kauã's high shot volume and fouls won further suggest frequent attacking incursions and set-piece opportunities. The model at 73.3% reflects a strong statistical basis without data limitations or price warnings.

Average Corners per Team5.6 each
Strong positive
Recent Form Over 2.5 Goals Rate40% both teams
Positive
Shots per GameGoias 13.8, Ceara 13
Positive
Player Fouls Won (Kauã)7.83 per 90
Positive
Model Confidence73.3%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match where both Goias and Ceara push for attacking opportunities, leading to frequent wide plays and set-piece situations. The consistent corner averages and active shot profiles from key players suggest a good chance for the total corners to exceed 8.5. Tactical openness and physical contests should create sustained pressure in wide areas, supporting this corners market.

Main risk

The main risk is that both teams' moderate scoring rates could translate into fewer attacking sequences ending in corners if defenses tighten or play becomes more direct and less wide, reducing corner opportunities.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · corners market

“The corner count is likely to be high given both teams' tendencies to attack down the flanks and draw fouls in dangerous areas. Players like Kauã and Melk excel at forcing set-piece situations, making Over 8.5 Corners a compelling angle in this Serie B fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 8.5 Corners evidence

Both teams average 5.6 corners per game, indicating a high likelihood of crossing and set-piece situations.

Recent form shows both teams have a 40% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, supporting attacking openness.

Goias and Ceara average a combined 13.8 and 13 shots per game respectively, reflecting active offensive play.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 8.5 Corners notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.2, indicating moderately open games.
  • This sample suggests a tempo that allows for attacking sequences and transitions, which often result in corners.
  • The trend supports a match environment conducive to crossing and set-piece chances rather than defensive stalemates.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 48% · edge +19.1 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Ceara to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Ceara Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Goias to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Goias Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The Over 8.5 Corners market aligns well with the statistical profile of both teams, each averaging 5.6 corners per match. This suggests the market is fairly priced with a solid chance of success, supported by the model's 73.3% . Without visible , the pick stands as a strong data-driven choice rather than a value or price-sensitive bet.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Goias0.6
Avg goals scored
Ceara0.8
Goias1.8
Avg goals conceded
Ceara1.4
Goias40%
BTTS rate
Ceara60%
Goias40%
Over 2.5 goals
Ceara40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 48% · edge +19.1 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 25%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Both teams have a 40% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating moderate attacking output but also defensive frailties. The 2.2 average goals in their last 10 meetings further supports an open game. While goals are modest, the attacking intent suggests opportunities for set pieces and corners rather than high-scoring shootouts.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Goias

WLDLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
28 Jun 2026A Nautico Recife1-0
21 Jun 2026H Operario-PR0-3
14 Jun 2026A Athletic Club1-1
11 Jun 2026H Novorizontino0-4
30 May 2026A Atletico Goianiense1-1

Ceara

LLDWL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
28 Jun 2026A Juventude0-2
20 Jun 2026H Botafogo SP0-1
16 Jun 2026A Criciuma1-1
11 Jun 2026H Avai2-1
31 May 2026H Operario-PR1-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 59% · edge +11.3 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Ceara to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Ceara Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Goias to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Goias Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Recent form shows both teams have a 40% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, reflecting a tendency towards open play. Their corner averages remain consistent, suggesting that recent matches have maintained the pattern of wide attacks and set-piece creation, reinforcing the likelihood of exceeding 8.5 corners in this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Goias5.6
Avg corners for
Ceara5.6
Goias10.4
Avg total corners
Ceara8.6
Goias2.2
Avg yellow cards
Ceara2.4
Goias13.8
Avg shots
Ceara13
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 5.5 CardsBetUK guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
The combined average of 11.2 corners per match reflects active wing play and crossing attempts. Both teams average around 2.3 yellow cards per game, indicating physical battles that often lead to fouls near the box and subsequent corners. Shot volumes near 14 per game for Goias and 13 for Ceara indicate sustained offensive pressure contributing to corner opportunities.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Goias wins
5Draws
1Ceara wins
13 Aug 2024Goias v Ceara2-1
20 Apr 2024Ceara v Goias1-1
05 Oct 2022Ceara v Goias1-1
12 Jun 2022Goias v Ceara1-1
21 Jan 2021Goias v Ceara0-4
27 Sep 2020Ceara v Goias2-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 48% · edge +19.1 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Ceara to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Goias to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The 10 previous meetings between Goias and Ceara have averaged 2.2 goals per game, showing a pattern of balanced contests with moderate scoring. While not directly corner-focused, this suggests neither side dominates defensively, allowing for open play that can generate corner opportunities. The H2H data supports an expectation of active attacking phases.
Season team stats

Serie B

Goias16
Played
Ceara16
Goias1
Avg goals for
Ceara0.9
Goias1.3
Avg goals against
Ceara1.3
Goias6
Clean sheets
Ceara3
Best odds for this sectionCeara to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 40% vs implied 27% · edge +13.6 pts
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Load more odds for this section
Ceara Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Goias to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Goias Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Season-long data confirms both Goias and Ceara average 5.6 corners per match, a strong indicator of frequent wide play and crossing. Their defensive records, conceding 1.8 and 1.4 goals respectively, imply open defensive lines that encourage attacking pressure and corner generation.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
9Goias2416736-5
16Ceara1716457-5
Goias sits 11th and Ceara 15th in Serie B, both mid-table teams likely to seek points through active attacking play. The standings reflect a competitive fixture where both sides may push forward, increasing the chance of sustained pressure and set-piece opportunities leading to corners.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Goias Over 2.5
40%Ceara Over 2.5
2.2H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.2, indicating moderately open games. This sample suggests a tempo that allows for attacking sequences and transitions, which often result in corners. The trend supports a match environment conducive to crossing and set-piece chances rather than defensive stalemates.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Goias v Ceara prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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