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Flamengo crestFlamengo
v
Corinthians crestCorinthians

Serie A | Sun 13 Sep, 21:30

Flamengo v Corinthians Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:06 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Flamengo face Corinthians in Serie A on Sun 13 Sep, 21:30. Can Corinthians find their scoring touch in time to stop a rampant Flamengo side at the Arena Corinthians? Flamengo enter this match in exceptional form, scoring 16 goals while conceding zero in their last five outings. The shape of this game starts in midfield.

BT4Y best bet

Flamengo to Win — Rationale Flamengo are operating at a level that Corinthians simply cannot match at this moment

  • At 11/10, Flamengo to Win — Rationale Flamengo are operating at a level that Corinthians simply cannot match at this moment implies roughly 48%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 63%.
  • Flamengo have conceded zero goals in their last five matches, showcasing a formidable defensive unit under Leonardo Jardim.
  • Flamengo have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 3 for Corinthians.
  • Flamengo have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Flamengo to Win — Rationale Flamengo are operating at a level that Corinthians simply cannot match at this moment angle.
  • Flamengo sit 1 in the table, while Corinthians sit 12, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 63% for Flamengo to Win — Rationale Flamengo are operating at a level that Corinthians simply cannot match at this moment sits against roughly 48% implied by the current price. Flamengo have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 3 for Corinthians. Flamengo have conceded zero goals in their last five matches, showcasing a formidable defensive unit under Leonardo Jardim.

Model chance vs price63% model chance against roughly 48% implied
Strong positive
Flamengo have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points.Visible data support
Positive
Flamengo have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Flamengo have conceded zero goals in their last five.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Flamengo Win is the preferred angle because flamengo have conceded zero goals in their last five matches, showcasing a formidable defensive unit under Leonardo Jardim. Flamengo have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 3 for Corinthians. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Flamengo to Win — Rationale Flamengo are operating at a level that Corinthians simply cannot match at this moment evidence

Flamengo have conceded zero goals in their last five matches, showcasing a formidable defensive unit under Leonardo Jardim.

Flamengo have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 3 for Corinthians.

Flamengo have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Flamengo Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Flamengo sit 1 in the table, while Corinthians sit 12, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Flamengo to Win — Rationale Flamengo are operating at a level that Corinthians simply cannot match at this moment notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Flamengo2.4
    Avg goals scored
    Corinthians1
    Flamengo0.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Corinthians1.4
    Flamengo40%
    BTTS rate
    Corinthians60%
    Flamengo60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Corinthians60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
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    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 70%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickFlamengo to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 75% · edge -1.2 pts
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
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    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Flamengo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Flamengo to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Flamengo5.8
    Avg corners for
    Corinthians6.4
    Flamengo10.6
    Avg total corners
    Corinthians10
    Flamengo0.6
    Avg yellow cards
    Corinthians1.8
    Flamengo16.4
    Avg shots
    Corinthians15.8
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 55% vs implied 51% · edge +4.6 pts
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
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    Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Flamengo

    WWWLW
    Last 54W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 107W 2D 1L
    06 Sep 2026A Remo1-0
    02 Sep 2026H Mirassol2-0
    30 Aug 2026H Botafogo3-0
    23 Aug 2026A Cruzeiro1-2
    16 Aug 2026A Mirassol5-1

    Corinthians

    LLLLW
    Last 51W 0D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 2D 4L
    06 Sep 2026H Chapecoense-sc1-2
    30 Aug 2026H Santos0-1
    23 Aug 2026A Coritiba1-2
    16 Aug 2026H Cruzeiro1-2
    09 Aug 2026A RB Bragantino2-0
    Market aligned with main pickFlamengo to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 75% · edge -1.2 pts
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
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    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
    1.07
    Check odds @ 1.07
    Flamengo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    5Flamengo wins
    3Draws
    2Corinthians wins
    22 Mar 2026Corinthians v Flamengo1-1
    01 Feb 2026Flamengo v Corinthians0-2
    29 Sep 2025Corinthians v Flamengo1-2
    27 Apr 2025Flamengo v Corinthians4-0
    20 Oct 2024Corinthians v Flamengo0-0
    03 Oct 2024Flamengo v Corinthians1-0
    Market aligned with main pickFlamengo to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 75% · edge -1.2 pts
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Flamengo to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Serie A

    Flamengo26
    Played
    Corinthians26
    Flamengo2
    Avg goals for
    Corinthians1
    Flamengo0.8
    Avg goals against
    Corinthians1
    Flamengo12
    Clean sheets
    Corinthians10
    Market aligned with main pickFlamengo to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 75% · edge -1.2 pts
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Load more odds for this section
    Flamengo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Season data supports Flamengo to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Flamengo5426166430
    12Corinthians322688100
    Flamengo sit in position 1, while Corinthians sit in position 12, so table pressure belongs in the Flamengo to Win — Rationale Flamengo are operating at a level that Corinthians simply cannot match at this moment assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Flamengo Over 2.5
    60%Corinthians Over 2.5
    2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Flamengo sit at 60% and Corinthians sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.