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Coritiba crestCoritiba
v
Atletico Paranaense crestAtletico Paranaense

Serie A | Sat 12 Sep, 01:00

Coritiba v Atletico Paranaense Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Coritiba and Atletico Paranaense meet in a Serie A clash where both sides have shown attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities. Coritiba averages 1.8 goals scored and concedes 1.4 per game, while Atletico Paranaense scores 2.0 but concedes 1.8, indicating an open game likely to see goals at both ends. Coritiba's perfect recent BTTS rate of 100% and Atletico's 80% suggest a fixture ripe for both teams finding the net. The match carries significance for league positioning, with Atletico Paranaense sitting higher but Coritiba eager to close the gap, setting up an engaging contest with offensive emphasis.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Coritiba has a 100% BTTS rate in recent matches, showing consistent goal scoring and conceding.
  • Atletico Paranaense averages 2.0 goals scored and concedes 1.8, indicating attacking strength and defensive openness.
  • Both teams average over 12 shots per game, with Atletico Paranaense having 6.4 shots on target on average.
  • Recent form shows Coritiba with 10 points and Atletico Paranaense with 8 points, reflecting competitive momentum.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, well above the implied market chance of 52.4%, indicating strong value. Both teams have high BTTS rates recently—Coritiba at 100% and Atletico Paranaense at 80%—supported by their offensive output and defensive concessions. The attacking profiles, shot volumes, and recent form data align with an open game where both sides are likely to find the net. No data limitations affect , making this a solid value bet with standard staking recommended.

Model Chance76%
Strong positive
Coritiba BTTS Rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
Atletico Paranaense BTTS Rate80% recent matches
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance52.4%
Positive
Shot VolumeCoritiba 12.6, Atletico Paranaense 13.8 per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have demonstrated attacking prowess and defensive vulnerabilities that make a Both Teams to Score outcome highly plausible. Coritiba's flawless recent BTTS record combined with Atletico Paranaense's consistent goal threat supports expecting goals at both ends. This bet aligns well with the tactical openness and recent scoring trends of both sides.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“Coritiba's relentless attacking style paired with Atletico Paranaense's offensive potency creates a fixture where both sides are likely to score. The data strongly supports a BTTS outcome given their recent form and shot profiles.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Coritiba has a 100% BTTS rate in recent matches, showing consistent goal scoring and conceding.

Atletico Paranaense averages 2.0 goals scored and concedes 1.8, indicating attacking strength and defensive openness.

Both teams average over 12 shots per game, with Atletico Paranaense having 6.4 shots on target on average.

Recent form shows Coritiba with 10 points and Atletico Paranaense with 8 points, reflecting competitive momentum.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last five matches, Coritiba has an 80% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, while Atletico Paranaense has a 60% rate.
  • The average goals in their last ten head-to-head matches is 1.6, suggesting a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • These patterns indicate a tempo and style conducive to multiple goals, reinforcing the likelihood of an open, goal-filled encounter.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Coritiba4.2
Avg corners for
Atletico Paranaense4.4
Coritiba12.6
Avg total corners
Atletico Paranaense12
Coritiba1.4
Avg yellow cards
Atletico Paranaense1.2
Coritiba12.6
Avg shots
Atletico Paranaense13.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Both teams average similar corner counts around 4 per game, reflecting balanced territorial exchanges and attacking pressure. Shot data shows Atletico Paranaense averages 6.4 shots on target per game, indicating frequent quality chances. Discipline is moderate with yellow cards averaging around 1.3 per team, suggesting a competitive but not overly aggressive match environment.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Coritiba1.8
Avg goals scored
Atletico Paranaense2
Coritiba1.4
Avg goals conceded
Atletico Paranaense1.8
Coritiba100%
BTTS rate
Atletico Paranaense80%
Coritiba80%
Over 2.5 goals
Atletico Paranaense60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
4
Check odds @ 4
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Coritiba's perfect recent BTTS rate and Atletico Paranaense's 80% rate highlight a strong trend of both teams scoring. Their average goals per game and shot volumes support an open, attacking match likely to produce goals at both ends, reinforcing the BTTS selection.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Coritiba to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Coritiba Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Atletico Paranaense Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Atletico Paranaense to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively with implying just over a 50% chance, while the model estimates a 76% likelihood, indicating clear value. This discrepancy suggests the market underestimates the probability of both sides scoring, making the bet a positive-value opportunity without price sensitivity concerns.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Coritiba

LWWDW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
06 Sep 2026H Mirassol1-2
01 Sep 2026A Remo3-2
23 Aug 2026H Corinthians2-1
16 Aug 2026A Sao Paulo1-1
09 Aug 2026H Chapecoense-sc2-1

Atletico Paranaense

LDWDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 3D 1L
06 Sep 2026A Cruzeiro1-3
30 Aug 2026H Fluminense3-3
25 Aug 2026A Botafogo3-2
15 Aug 2026H RB Bragantino1-1
09 Aug 2026A Santos2-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 79% vs implied 65% · edge +13.7 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Coritiba to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Coritiba Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Atletico Paranaense Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Atletico Paranaense to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Recent form data shows Coritiba accumulating 10 points with a 100% BTTS rate, reflecting consistent scoring and conceding. Atletico Paranaense has 8 points with an 80% BTTS rate, demonstrating similar tendencies. Both teams' offensive outputs and defensive concessions in recent matches support an expectation of goals from both sides in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Coritiba wins
4Draws
3Atletico Paranaense wins
22 Mar 2026Atletico Paranaense v Coritiba2-0
17 Jan 2026Atletico Paranaense v Coritiba0-1
19 Oct 2025Coritiba v Atletico Paranaense0-0
28 Jun 2025Atletico Paranaense v Coritiba0-1
25 Jan 2025Coritiba v Atletico Paranaense0-0
18 Feb 2024Coritiba v Atletico Paranaense1-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Coritiba to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Atletico Paranaense to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
The last ten meetings between Coritiba and Atletico Paranaense have averaged 1.6 goals per game, indicating moderately open contests. While this average is slightly lower than recent form goalscoring rates, it provides useful background context. Current attacking form and defensive trends suggest a higher scoring potential than historical averages alone.
Season team stats

Serie A

Coritiba26
Played
Atletico Paranaense26
Coritiba1.3
Avg goals for
Atletico Paranaense1.5
Coritiba1.3
Avg goals against
Atletico Paranaense1.1
Coritiba6
Clean sheets
Atletico Paranaense8
Best odds for this sectionCoritiba to WinBet365 guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +15 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
Coritiba Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Atletico Paranaense Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Atletico Paranaense to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Season-long statistics reveal Coritiba averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, while Atletico Paranaense scores 2.0 and concedes 1.8. These figures indicate both teams possess attacking capabilities but also defensive vulnerabilities, aligning with a high likelihood of both teams scoring in this match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Atletico Paranaense4526136710
7Coritiba37261079-1
Atletico Paranaense sits 3rd in the league with 45 points, while Coritiba is 7th with 37 points, highlighting Atletico's stronger position. However, both teams are within striking distance in the standings, adding competitive stakes that could encourage offensive play to secure vital points, supporting an open game with goals at both ends.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Coritiba Over 2.5
60%Atletico Paranaense Over 2.5
1.6H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Coritiba has an 80% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, while Atletico Paranaense has a 60% rate. The average goals in their last ten head-to-head matches is 1.6, suggesting a moderately high-scoring trend. These patterns indicate a tempo and style conducive to multiple goals, reinforcing the likelihood of an open, goal-filled encounter.

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