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FC Juarez crestFC Juarez
v
Tigres UANL crestTigres UANL

Liga MX | Sat 19 Sep, 04:00

FC Juarez v Tigres UANL Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Juarez face Tigres UANL in Liga MX on Sat 19 Sep, 04:00. FC Juarez come in with 0 recent points and 0.6 goals per match, while Tigres UANL have 6 points and 0.8 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Tigres UANL to Win

  • At 1.75, Tigres UANL to Win implies roughly 57%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • Tigres UANL have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for FC Juarez.
  • Tigres UANL have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Tigres UANL to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • FC Juarez sit 18 in the table, while Tigres UANL sit 14, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for Tigres UANL to Win sits against roughly 57% implied by the current price. Tigres UANL have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for FC Juarez.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 57% implied
Positive
Tigres UANL have the stronger recent points return, taking 6.Visible data support
Positive
Tigres UANL have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Tigres UANL Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Tigres UANL have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for FC Juarez. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Tigres UANL to Win evidence

Tigres UANL have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for FC Juarez.

Tigres UANL have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Tigres UANL Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

FC Juarez sit 18 in the table, while Tigres UANL sit 14, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Tigres UANL to Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    FC Juarez3
    Avg corners for
    Tigres UANL6
    FC Juarez10.4
    Avg total corners
    Tigres UANL10.8
    FC Juarez3.2
    Avg yellow cards
    Tigres UANL1.8
    FC Juarez8.4
    Avg shots
    Tigres UANL17
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 58% · edge +3.3 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    FC Juarez0.6
    Avg goals scored
    Tigres UANL0.8
    FC Juarez3.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Tigres UANL0.6
    FC Juarez60%
    BTTS rate
    Tigres UANL40%
    FC Juarez80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Tigres UANL20%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 55% vs implied 49% · edge +6 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 60%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 44%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 31%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 80% for FC Juarez and 20% for Tigres UANL, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickTigres UANL to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Tigres UANL Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.42
    Check odds @ 1.42
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 60%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Tigres UANL to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    FC Juarez

    LLLLL
    Last 50W 0D 5L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 8L
    14 Sep 2026A Santos Laguna1-2
    05 Sep 2026H CF Pachuca0-2
    31 Aug 2026A Toluca0-4
    22 Aug 2026H Club America1-2
    16 Aug 2026A Monterrey1-6

    Tigres UANL

    DDDWL
    Last 51W 3D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 4D 3L
    13 Sep 2026A Monterrey0-0
    06 Sep 2026H Necaxa1-1
    30 Aug 2026A Santos Laguna0-0
    22 Aug 2026H Atlante FC2-0
    16 Aug 2026A Atlas1-2
    Market aligned with main pickTigres UANL to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Tigres UANL Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.42
    Check odds @ 1.42
    Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2FC Juarez wins
    2Draws
    6Tigres UANL wins
    23 Mar 2026FC Juarez v Tigres UANL2-1
    20 Jul 2025Tigres UANL v FC Juarez1-0
    26 Feb 2025Tigres UANL v FC Juarez0-1
    23 Sep 2024FC Juarez v Tigres UANL0-1
    29 Feb 2024Tigres UANL v FC Juarez1-0
    09 Jul 2023FC Juarez v Tigres UANL1-1
    Market aligned with main pickTigres UANL to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 60%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Tigres UANL to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Liga MX

    FC Juarez8
    Played
    Tigres UANL8
    FC Juarez0.5
    Avg goals for
    Tigres UANL1.1
    FC Juarez2.9
    Avg goals against
    Tigres UANL1.4
    FC Juarez0
    Clean sheets
    Tigres UANL3
    Market aligned with main pickTigres UANL to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Tigres UANL Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.42
    Check odds @ 1.42
    Season data supports Tigres UANL to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    14Tigres UANL78143-2
    18FC Juarez08008-19
    FC Juarez sit in position 18, while Tigres UANL sit in position 14, so table pressure belongs in the Tigres UANL to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%FC Juarez Over 2.5
    20%Tigres UANL Over 2.5
    1.8H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: FC Juarez sit at 80% and Tigres UANL sit at 20% with the H2H average at 1.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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