Puebla

Atlante FC

Liga MX | Sat 19 Sep, 02:00

Puebla v Atlante FC Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 12:01 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Puebla hosts Atlante FC in a Liga MX clash where Puebla's recent form and league standing suggest a clear advantage. Puebla has accumulated 13 points and sits 8th, showing more consistency compared to Atlante FC's 7 points and 15th place. Puebla's attack averages 1.4 goals per game, supported by key players like I. Maestro Puch and M. Tomás, who contribute significantly to their offensive threat. Atlante FC struggles offensively, scoring just 0.4 goals per game, which combined with Puebla's home strength, sets the stage for a competitive match with Puebla favored to secure victory.

BT4Y best bet

Puebla to Win

Puebla holds a strong 74% to win, indicating clear value at 2.1 .
Puebla averages 1.4 goals per game, nearly quadruple Atlante FC's 0.4 goals per game.
Atlante FC concedes 1.4 goals per game, matching Puebla's offensive output, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.
Key Puebla attackers like I. Maestro Puch and M. Tomás show high shot and goal threat metrics.
Atlante FC's low league standing and recent form underline their struggles this season.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Puebla to win with a 74% chance, reflecting their superior recent form, offensive production, and league position. Puebla's attack is more potent, averaging 1.4 goals per game, while Atlante FC's offense is limited to 0.4 goals per game. Defensive metrics show Atlante FC concedes as much as Puebla scores, indicating potential for Puebla to capitalize. Player-level data highlights Puebla's key attackers with strong shot volumes and goal threat, reinforcing the likelihood of a home victory. No price warning is needed as the offer positive value.

Model Chance74%

Strong positive

Puebla Goals Per Game1.4

Strong positive

Atlante FC Goals Per Game0.4

Negative

Player Offensive MetricsHigh shot and goal threat from Puebla's key players

Strong positive

League StandingsPuebla 8th vs Atlante FC 15th

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Puebla's stronger offensive output and higher league standing make them the logical choice to win this match. Their key attackers consistently generate quality chances, while Atlante FC's limited scoring record and lower form suggest they will struggle to keep pace. Puebla's home advantage and recent momentum provide a tactical edge likely to be decisive.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Puebla to Win

“Puebla's attacking midfielders and forwards have demonstrated consistent goal threat, which combined with Atlante FC's defensive frailties, points strongly towards a home win. The data clearly supports Puebla's control in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Puebla to Win evidence

Puebla holds a strong 74% to win, indicating clear value at 2.1 .

Puebla averages 1.4 goals per game, nearly quadruple Atlante FC's 0.4 goals per game.

Atlante FC concedes 1.4 goals per game, matching Puebla's offensive output, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.

Key Puebla attackers like I. Maestro Puch and M. Tomás show high shot and goal threat metrics.

What To Watch In The Data

Puebla to Win notes

Recent matches show Puebla's Over 2.5 Goals rate at 40%, double Atlante FC's 20%, indicating Puebla's games are more likely to have multiple goals.
The low average goals in their single head-to-head meeting (1 goal) suggests cautious tactics historically, but Puebla's current attacking form points to a more open game.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Puebla5.6

Avg corners for

Atlante FC3.6

Puebla11.2

Avg total corners

Atlante FC8.2

Puebla1

Avg yellow cards

Atlante FC2.2

Puebla15.4

Avg shots

Atlante FC16.6

Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 55% · edge +4.2 pts

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 58%

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Over 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 52%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 64%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price

2.5

Check odds @ 2.5

Puebla averages 5.6 corners per game compared to Atlante FC's 3.6, indicating greater attacking pressure and territorial advantage. Atlante FC's higher yellow card average (2.2 vs Puebla's 1) suggests a more aggressive defensive approach, potentially leading to set-piece opportunities for Puebla.

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Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickPuebla to WinBetUK guide price · Model 58% vs implied 43% · edge +15 pts

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

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Puebla Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 65%

Check odds @ 2

Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 59%

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 64%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

The current of 2.1 for Puebla to win reflect a positive value opportunity given the model's 74% win probability. This suggests the market underestimates Puebla's chances, making the bet attractive without price sensitivity concerns.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Puebla

LWLWW

Last 53W 0D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 104W 1D 3L

16 Sep 2026H Toluca0-1

12 Sep 2026A Necaxa1-0

30 Aug 2026A Club America0-2

23 Aug 2026H Santos Laguna3-2

18 Aug 2026A CF Pachuca3-2

Atlante FC

LDDLD

Last 50W 3D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 4D 3L

12 Sep 2026H CF Pachuca0-3

06 Sep 2026A Atlas1-1

29 Aug 2026H Leon1-1

22 Aug 2026A Tigres UANL0-2

16 Aug 2026H Toluca0-0

Market aligned with main pickPuebla to WinBetUK guide price · Model 58% vs implied 43% · edge +15 pts

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Puebla Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 65%

Check odds @ 2

Puebla's recent form shows 9 points gained with an average of 1.4 goals scored and conceded per game, reflecting balanced but effective performances. Atlante FC's 3 points and lower scoring rate highlight struggles to generate offense and secure results, favoring Puebla's momentum.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Puebla1.4

Avg goals scored

Atlante FC0.4

Puebla1.4

Avg goals conceded

Atlante FC1.4

Puebla40%

BTTS rate

Atlante FC40%

Puebla40%

Over 2.5 goals

Atlante FC20%

Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 2

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 47%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%

Check odds @ 3

Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%

1.25

Check odds @ 1.25

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Puebla averages 1.4 goals per game with a 40% BTTS rate, while Atlante FC scores only 0.4 goals per game and shares a 40% BTTS rate. This indicates a moderate likelihood of goals from Puebla but limited scoring threat from Atlante FC, suggesting a game with some goals but not necessarily both teams scoring.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Puebla wins

0Draws

1Atlante FC wins

23 Dec 2024Atlante FC v Puebla1-0

Market aligned with main pickPuebla to WinBetUK guide price · Model 58% vs implied 43% · edge +15 pts

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

The single previous meeting between Puebla and Atlante FC featured just one goal, indicating historically tight contests. However, current form and offensive metrics favor Puebla to break this pattern and assert control in this fixture.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
5	Puebla	14	9	4	2	3	0
14	Atlante FC	8	9	1	5	3	-5

Puebla's 8th place and 13 points contrast with Atlante FC's 15th place and 7 points, underscoring the difference in season progress and consistency. This gap suggests Puebla faces less pressure and can approach the match with , while Atlante FC must overcome form challenges.

Season team stats

Liga MX

Puebla9

Played

Atlante FC9

Puebla1.2

Avg goals for

Atlante FC0.9

Puebla1.2

Avg goals against

Atlante FC1.4

Puebla2

Clean sheets

Atlante FC1

Market aligned with main pickPuebla to WinBetUK guide price · Model 58% vs implied 43% · edge +15 pts

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

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Puebla Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 65%

Check odds @ 2

Over the season, Puebla maintains a stronger offensive record and better league position, scoring 1.4 goals per game and conceding the same, indicating a stable but effective style. Atlante FC's lower scoring and similar concession rate reflect defensive vulnerabilities but limited attacking threat, supporting Puebla's winning chances.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Puebla Over 2.5

20%Atlante FC Over 2.5

1H2H avg goals

Recent matches show Puebla's Over 2.5 Goals rate at 40%, double Atlante FC's 20%, indicating Puebla's games are more likely to have multiple goals. The low average goals in their single head-to-head meeting (1 goal) suggests cautious tactics historically, but Puebla's current attacking form points to a more open game.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

Puebla v Atlante FC Stats

Match Report

Puebla to Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Puebla

Atlante FC

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Football Stats Hub

Puebla v Atlante FC Stats

Match Report

Puebla to Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Puebla

Atlante FC

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