FC Dallas

Austin

Major League Soccer | Sun 20 Sep, 01:30

FC Dallas v Austin Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:19 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Major League Soccer clash features FC Dallas hosting Austin in a fixture where Austin aims to avoid defeat and maintain momentum. FC Dallas sits third in the standings with a strong home record, while Austin, placed 13th, seeks to capitalize on recent defensive solidity. Austin's tactical approach focuses on disciplined defending and quick transitions, contrasting with FC Dallas's higher scoring but more vulnerable defense. The match carries significance for Austin's playoff hopes, adding intensity to their cautious yet opportunistic style.

BT4Y best bet

Austin or Draw

Austin has conceded only 1 goal per game recently, showing defensive resilience.
FC Dallas scores more goals on average but concedes heavily, risking exposure.
Austin or Draw offers good value with a 68.1% versus 47.6% implied .
Austin's recent form includes 9 points with a strong defensive record.
Head-to-head average goals suggest a moderately open game, supporting cautious backing of Austin or Draw.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Austin or Draw with a 68.1% chance, reflecting Austin's solid defensive record conceding just 1 goal per game compared to FC Dallas's 2.6. Despite FC Dallas's higher scoring rate, their defensive vulnerabilities and Austin's recent form provide a strong case for avoiding a home win. The price offers positive value with a 20.5% edge, making this a sensible bet given the tactical dynamics and recent performances. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Defensive SolidityAustin concedes 1 goal per game vs FC Dallas 2.6

Strong positive

Recent FormAustin earned 9 points recently, FC Dallas 10

Positive

Value Edge20.5% positive value at 2.1 odds

Strong positive

Goal ScoringFC Dallas scores 2.2 goals per game, Austin 1.4

Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Austin or Draw is a tactically sound pick given Austin's disciplined defense and ability to frustrate opponents. FC Dallas's defensive frailties and Austin's recent form underpin the value in this double chance. This bet balances the risk of FC Dallas's attack with Austin's resilience, making it a prudent choice for this fixture.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and form-based rationale

“Austin's defensive organization and recent form make them a tough opponent to beat, especially against a FC Dallas side that concedes frequently. Backing Austin or Draw leverages this tactical edge and offers value against the .”

Key Data Signals

Austin or Draw evidence

Austin has conceded only 1 goal per game recently, showing defensive resilience.

FC Dallas scores more goals on average but concedes heavily, risking exposure.

Austin or Draw offers good value with a 68.1% versus 47.6% implied .

Austin's recent form includes 9 points with a strong defensive record.

What To Watch In The Data

Austin or Draw notes

Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.5, indicating moderately open games.
Austin's lower over 2.5 goals rate (40%) versus FC Dallas's 100% suggests Austin prefers tighter games, which aligns with the double chance pick.
The trend supports a match with some goals but controlled tempo, favoring cautious betting approaches.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Dallas2.2

Avg goals scored

Austin1.4

FC Dallas2.6

Avg goals conceded

Austin1

FC Dallas80%

BTTS rate

Austin100%

FC Dallas100%

Over 2.5 goals

Austin40%

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 84%

1.17

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%

2.4

Check odds @ 2.4

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Recent trends show FC Dallas averaging 2.2 goals per game but conceding 2.6, while Austin scores less but concedes only 1. Both teams to score is likely given FC Dallas's defensive lapses and Austin's attacking threat, but the overall goal expectation suggests a moderately open game with potential for goals from both sides.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

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Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 64%

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Austin Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%

2.85

Check odds @ 2.85

Austin to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%

4.5

Check odds @ 4.5

Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%

1.3

Check odds @ 1.3

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%

4.2

Check odds @ 4.2

The Austin or Draw market is priced attractively with a 2.1 implying a 47.6% chance, while the model estimates a 68.1% probability, indicating strong value. This price sensitivity reflects market underestimation of Austin's defensive strengths and recent form, making this a compelling bet to consider at current .

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Useful next reads

Major League Soccer fixtures and predictions corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles latest football stats main football hub today's predictions best bets research acca fixture filtering

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

FC Dallas4.4

Avg corners for

Austin4.8

FC Dallas10.2

Avg total corners

Austin10.6

FC Dallas1.8

Avg yellow cards

Austin2.2

FC Dallas11

Avg shots

Austin10.6

Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 55% · edge +9.4 pts

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 69%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%

1.3

Check odds @ 1.3

Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 57%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Both teams average around 4 corners per game, indicating balanced territorial exchanges. FC Dallas averages more shots (10.5) and shots on target (5.5) than Austin, who take fewer shots (9.25) with less accuracy (3.25 SOT). Austin's higher yellow card average (2.5 vs 1.75) suggests a more physical approach, which may disrupt FC Dallas's rhythm and limit their attacking flow.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Dallas

WWWDL

Last 53W 1D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 105W 3D 2L

13 Sep 2026H Portland Timbers2-1

10 Sep 2026A Minnesota United FC2-1

06 Sep 2026H Sporting Kansas City4-3

31 Aug 2026A St. Louis City3-3

23 Aug 2026A Vancouver Whitecaps0-5

Austin

WDDWD

Last 52W 3D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 104W 3D 3L

13 Sep 2026A Vancouver Whitecaps2-1

10 Sep 2026H Colorado Rapids1-1

06 Sep 2026H San Jose Earthquakes1-1

30 Aug 2026A Portland Timbers2-1

23 Aug 2026H Philadelphia Union1-1

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts

2.1

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Austin Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%

2.85

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Austin to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%

4.5

Check odds @ 4.5

Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 75%

1.18

Check odds @ 1.18

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%

4.2

Check odds @ 4.2

FC Dallas Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

FC Dallas to WinBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

Austin's recent form shows 9 points with a strong defensive record, conceding only 1 goal per game, which contrasts with FC Dallas's 10 points but higher goals conceded (2.6). This defensive stability gives Austin a solid platform to avoid defeat, while FC Dallas's form is more volatile due to defensive lapses, supporting the double chance on Austin or Draw.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

6FC Dallas wins

1Draws

3Austin wins

17 Aug 2026Austin v FC Dallas1-2

14 Sep 2025FC Dallas v Austin2-0

17 Aug 2025Austin v FC Dallas1-1

18 Jul 2024FC Dallas v Austin3-1

12 May 2024FC Dallas v Austin2-1

31 Mar 2024Austin v FC Dallas2-1

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

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Austin to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%

4.5

Check odds @ 4.5

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%

4.2

Check odds @ 4.2

FC Dallas to WinBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

The 10 previous meetings between FC Dallas and Austin average 2.5 goals per game, showing a balanced scoring pattern. While FC Dallas has had the upper hand historically, Austin's recent defensive improvements weaken the predictive power of past results, making the head-to-head data a background factor rather than a decisive guide.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Major League Soccer

FC Dallas25

Played

Austin25

FC Dallas2

Avg goals for

Austin1.3

FC Dallas1.7

Avg goals against

Austin1.8

FC Dallas4

Clean sheets

Austin4

Best odds for this sectionAustin Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 49% vs implied 35% · edge +14 pts

2.85

Check odds @ 2.85

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Austin to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%

4.5

Check odds @ 4.5

FC Dallas Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

FC Dallas to WinBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

Season-long stats highlight Austin's defensive discipline, conceding fewer goals (1 per game) compared to FC Dallas's 2.6. FC Dallas's higher scoring rate (2.2 goals per game) is offset by their defensive vulnerabilities, reinforcing the likelihood of a tight contest where Austin can secure at least a draw.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
3	FC Dallas	43	25	12	7	6	7
13	Austin	29	25	7	8	10	-12

FC Dallas sits comfortably in 3rd place with 43 points, reflecting strong overall performance, while Austin is 13th with 29 points, fighting to improve their position. The standings suggest FC Dallas as favorites, but Austin's need for points and defensive form add competitive tension, making the double chance a reasonable hedge against an upset or draw.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%FC Dallas Over 2.5

40%Austin Over 2.5

2.5H2H avg goals

Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.5, indicating moderately open games. Austin's lower over 2.5 goals rate (40%) versus FC Dallas's 100% suggests Austin prefers tighter games, which aligns with the double chance pick. The trend supports a match with some goals but controlled tempo, favoring cautious betting approaches.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

FC Dallas v Austin Stats

Match Report

Austin or Draw

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

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What To Watch In The Data

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FC Dallas v Austin Stats

Match Report

Austin or Draw

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Verdict

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