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Dunfermline crestDunfermline
v
Partick crestPartick

Premiership | Tue 12 May, 19:45

Dunfermline v Partick Stats

Data last updated: Wed 24 Jun 2026, 06:40 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Dunfermline face Partick in Premiership on Tue 12 May, 19:45. Firhill Stadium hosts a Premiership relegation phase clash loaded with anxiety as Partick Thistle and Dunfermline meet again with everything hanging in the balance after the first leg ended 1-1.

BT4Y best bet

Partick Thistle to Win Partick Thistle enter this decisive second leg with a historical and situational advantage that is difficult to overlook

  • At 8/11, Dunfermline Win implies roughly 58%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 64%.
  • Partick Thistle boast a formidable record at Firhill, suffering only one home defeat in normal time all season.
  • Dunfermline have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Partick.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 64% for Dunfermline Win sits against roughly 58% implied by the current price. Dunfermline have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Partick. Partick Thistle boast a formidable record at Firhill, suffering only one home defeat in normal time all season.

Model chance vs price64% model chance against roughly 58% implied
Neutral
Dunfermline have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points.Visible data support
Positive
Partick Thistle boast a formidable record at Firhill, suffering.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Dunfermline Win is the preferred angle because partick Thistle boast a formidable record at Firhill, suffering only one home defeat in normal time all season. Dunfermline have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Partick. He remains the focal point of the attack and still carries the reputation of someone capable of producing a decisive moment, but recent output has not matched the expectation.

Main risk

He remains the focal point of the attack and still carries the reputation of someone capable of producing a decisive moment, but recent output has not matched the expectation.

Key Data Signals

Dunfermline Win evidence

Partick Thistle boast a formidable record at Firhill, suffering only one home defeat in normal time all season.

Dunfermline have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Partick.

What To Watch In The Data

Dunfermline Win notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickDunfermline to WinBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 36% · edge +27.2 pts
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Dunfermline Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 72%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 32%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Dunfermline to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Dunfermline0.5
    Avg goals scored
    Partick-
    Dunfermline0
    Avg goals conceded
    Partick-
    Dunfermline0%
    BTTS rate
    Partick-
    Dunfermline0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Partick-
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetUK guide price · Model 68% vs implied 51% · edge +16.7 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 32%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Dunfermline

    DW
    Last 51W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 0L
    08 May 2026A Arbroath0-0
    05 May 2026H Arbroath1-0

    Partick

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Partick yet.

    Market aligned with main pickDunfermline to WinBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 36% · edge +27.2 pts
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Dunfermline Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 72%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Dunfermline6
    Avg corners for
    Partick-
    Dunfermline9
    Avg total corners
    Partick-
    Dunfermline2.5
    Avg yellow cards
    Partick-
    Dunfermline0
    Avg shots
    Partick-
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 53% · edge -2.1 pts
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Dunfermline wins
    3Draws
    5Partick wins
    11 Apr 2026Partick v Dunfermline2-0
    24 Feb 2026Dunfermline v Partick2-2
    25 Nov 2025Partick v Dunfermline1-0
    27 Sep 2025Dunfermline v Partick0-2
    19 Apr 2025Dunfermline v Partick0-0
    04 Jan 2025Partick v Dunfermline1-4
    Market aligned with main pickDunfermline to WinBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 36% · edge +27.2 pts
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 32%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Dunfermline to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Premiership

    Dunfermline4
    Played
    Partick4
    Dunfermline0.8
    Avg goals for
    Partick1
    Dunfermline0.8
    Avg goals against
    Partick1
    Dunfermline2
    Clean sheets
    Partick0
    Market aligned with main pickDunfermline to WinBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 36% · edge +27.2 pts
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Dunfermline Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 72%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Season data supports Dunfermline to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Dunfermline Over 2.5
    -Partick Over 2.5
    2.2H2H avg goals
    Partick Thistle boast a formidable record at Firhill, suffering only one home defeat in normal time all season.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Dunfermline v Partick prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Betting context

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