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Dundee Utd crestDundee Utd
v
Livingston crestLivingston

Premiership | Tue 12 May, 19:45

Dundee Utd v Livingston Stats

Data last updated: Tue 09 Jun 2026, 04:15 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Dundee Utd face Livingston in Premiership on Tue 12 May, 19:45. Dundee Utd come in with 6 recent points and 1.6 goals per match, while Livingston have 5 points and 1.6 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Cards

  • At 2.1, Over 3.5 Cards implies roughly 48%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 60%.
  • Dundee Utd have the higher yellow-card average at 1.8, while Livingston sit at 1.6.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 60% for Over 3.5 Cards sits against roughly 48% implied by the current price. Dundee Utd have the higher yellow-card average at 1.8, while Livingston sit at 1.6.

Model chance vs price60% model chance against roughly 48% implied
Positive
Dundee Utd have the higher yellow-card average at 1.8.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +12.5 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 3.5 Cards is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Dundee Utd have the higher yellow-card average at 1.8, while Livingston sit at 1.6. The card line needs match pressure and repeated duels; a controlled game state would weaken the booking angle.

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Cards evidence

Dundee Utd have the higher yellow-card average at 1.8, while Livingston sit at 1.6.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Cards notes

  • Compare both yellow-card averages before treating the card line as value.
  • Check whether match pressure is likely to create fouls and recovery challenges.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Dundee Utd1.6
Avg goals scored
Livingston1.6
Dundee Utd2.2
Avg goals conceded
Livingston2
Dundee Utd40%
BTTS rate
Livingston60%
Dundee Utd80%
Over 2.5 goals
Livingston80%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 84% vs implied 82% · edge +2.2 pts
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 80% for Dundee Utd and 80% for Livingston, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 48% · edge +12.5 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Livingston to WinBetUK guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Dundee Utd Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
DrawBetUK guide price · model 29%
4
Check odds @ 4
Livingston Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 48%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 3.5 Cards is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Premiership hubcorners trends hubplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Dundee Utd3.4
Avg corners for
Livingston5.2
Dundee Utd8.4
Avg total corners
Livingston10.6
Dundee Utd1.8
Avg yellow cards
Livingston1.6
Dundee Utd14.6
Avg shots
Livingston11.8
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 48% · edge +12.5 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Dundee Utd

LLWWL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
09 May 2026A Aberdeen0-2
02 May 2026A Kilmarnock0-3
26 Apr 2026H Dundee3-0
11 Apr 2026H Livingston3-2
04 Apr 2026A Rangers2-4

Livingston

LDWLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 6D 3L
09 May 2026A Dundee0-3
01 May 2026H Aberdeen2-2
25 Apr 2026A ST Mirren2-0
11 Apr 2026A Dundee Utd2-3
05 Apr 2026H Heart Of Midlothian2-2
Best odds for this sectionLivingston to WinBetUK guide price · Model 38% vs implied 23% · edge +14.7 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Load more odds for this section
Dundee Utd Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
DrawBetUK guide price · model 29%
4
Check odds @ 4
Livingston Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 48%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Dundee Utd to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Dundee Utd wins
2Draws
4Livingston wins
11 Apr 2026Dundee Utd v Livingston3-2
30 Dec 2025Livingston v Dundee Utd1-3
04 Oct 2025Dundee Utd v Livingston1-1
20 May 2023Livingston v Dundee Utd2-1
22 Apr 2023Dundee Utd v Livingston2-0
08 Mar 2023Livingston v Dundee Utd1-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 60% · edge +6.8 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Livingston to WinBetUK guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
DrawBetUK guide price · model 29%
4
Check odds @ 4
Dundee Utd to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Premiership

Dundee Utd38
Played
Livingston38
Dundee Utd1.3
Avg goals for
Livingston1.1
Dundee Utd1.6
Avg goals against
Livingston2
Dundee Utd7
Clean sheets
Livingston4
Best odds for this sectionLivingston to WinBetUK guide price · Model 38% vs implied 23% · edge +14.7 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Load more odds for this section
Dundee Utd Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Livingston Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 48%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Dundee Utd to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Season data supports Livingston to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7Dundee Utd403391311-9
12Livingston163311319-31
1Dundee Utd4538101513-11
6Livingston213821521-35
Dundee Utd sit in position 1, while Livingston sit in position 6, so table pressure belongs in the Over 3.5 Cards assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Dundee Utd Over 2.5
80%Livingston Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Dundee Utd sit at 80% and Livingston sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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Betting context

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