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Drogheda United crestDrogheda United
v
Shelbourne crestShelbourne

Premier Division | Fri 19 Jun, 19:45

Drogheda United v Shelbourne Stats

Data last updated: Mon 13 Jul 2026, 04:59 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Drogheda United face Shelbourne in Premier Division on Fri 19 Jun, 19:45. The visiting side average 1.15 goals scored per fixture while keeping extreme compactness on the road, matching well against a Drogheda squad that failed to generate goals in their latest outing.

BT4Y best bet

— Shelbourne to Win Conversely, Drogheda United continue to struggle with a significant balance problem

  • At 5/1, Drogheda United Win implies roughly 17%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • Shelbourne hold a superior defensive foundation, allowing a mere three goals across their previous six matches.
  • Shelbourne have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 2 for Drogheda United.
  • Shelbourne have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Drogheda United Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Drogheda United sit 8 in the table, while Shelbourne sit 5, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 27% for Drogheda United Win sits against roughly 17% implied by the current price. Shelbourne have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 2 for Drogheda United. Shelbourne hold a superior defensive foundation, allowing a mere three goals across their previous six matches.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 17% implied
Positive
Shelbourne have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points.Visible data support
Positive
Shelbourne have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Shelbourne hold a superior defensive foundation, allowing a mere.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Drogheda United Win is the preferred angle because shelbourne hold a superior defensive foundation, allowing a mere three goals across their previous six matches. Shelbourne have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 2 for Drogheda United. Hard to enjoy visiting, but not impossible to get something from.

Main risk

Hard to enjoy visiting, but not impossible to get something from.

Key Data Signals

Drogheda United Win evidence

Shelbourne hold a superior defensive foundation, allowing a mere three goals across their previous six matches.

Shelbourne have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 2 for Drogheda United.

Shelbourne have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Drogheda United Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Drogheda United sit 8 in the table, while Shelbourne sit 5, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Drogheda United Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Drogheda United1.2
    Avg goals scored
    Shelbourne1.2
    Drogheda United2
    Avg goals conceded
    Shelbourne0.6
    Drogheda United80%
    BTTS rate
    Shelbourne60%
    Drogheda United60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Shelbourne40%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 56% · edge +20.4 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 74%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 38%
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Drogheda United

    LDDLL
    Last 50W 2D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 2D 5L
    12 Jun 2026A St Patrick's Athl.0-2
    29 May 2026H Waterford3-3
    22 May 2026H Dundalk1-1
    18 May 2026A Waterford1-2
    15 May 2026A Bohemians1-2

    Shelbourne

    WDDWW
    Last 53W 2D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 4D 2L
    12 Jun 2026H Shamrock Rovers2-1
    29 May 2026H Galway United1-1
    25 May 2026A Derry City0-0
    22 May 2026H Waterford2-1
    15 May 2026A St Patrick's Athl.1-0
    Market aligned with main pickDrogheda United to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 26% · edge +0.7 pts
    3.8
    Check odds @ 3.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Drogheda United Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    related match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    5Shelbourne342481060
    8Drogheda United25246711-12
    Drogheda United sit in position 8, while Shelbourne sit in position 5, so table pressure belongs in the Drogheda United Win assessment.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickDrogheda United to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 26% · edge +0.7 pts
    3.8
    Check odds @ 3.8
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Drogheda United Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Drogheda United to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Drogheda United3.6
    Avg corners for
    Shelbourne3.2
    Drogheda United11.2
    Avg total corners
    Shelbourne7.6
    Drogheda United2.6
    Avg yellow cards
    Shelbourne2.6
    Drogheda United9.4
    Avg shots
    Shelbourne12.2
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 47%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    3Drogheda United wins
    4Draws
    3Shelbourne wins
    24 Apr 2026Shelbourne v Drogheda United3-4
    27 Feb 2026Drogheda United v Shelbourne1-2
    22 Sep 2025Drogheda United v Shelbourne2-1
    19 May 2025Shelbourne v Drogheda United0-0
    18 Apr 2025Drogheda United v Shelbourne2-2
    07 Mar 2025Shelbourne v Drogheda United0-1
    Market aligned with main pickDrogheda United to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 26% · edge +0.7 pts
    3.8
    Check odds @ 3.8
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Drogheda United to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Premier Division

    Drogheda United24
    Played
    Shelbourne24
    Drogheda United1.2
    Avg goals for
    Shelbourne1.5
    Drogheda United1.7
    Avg goals against
    Shelbourne1.5
    Drogheda United6
    Clean sheets
    Shelbourne5
    Market aligned with main pickDrogheda United to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 26% · edge +0.7 pts
    3.8
    Check odds @ 3.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Drogheda United Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Season data supports Drogheda United to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Drogheda United Over 2.5
    40%Shelbourne Over 2.5
    2.7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Drogheda United sit at 60% and Shelbourne sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Drogheda United v Shelbourne prediction

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    Betting context

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