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Jaguares crestJaguares
v
Fortaleza FC crestFortaleza FC

Primera A | Sat 12 Sep, 00:15

Jaguares v Fortaleza FC Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Jaguares face Fortaleza FC in Primera A on Sat 12 Sep, 00:15. Jaguares come in with 6 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while Fortaleza FC have 5 points and 1.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Cards

  • Over 3.5 Cards is rated around 73% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Jaguares have the higher yellow-card average at 3.4, while Fortaleza FC sit at 2.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 3.5 Cards around 73% on the latest available numbers. Jaguares have the higher yellow-card average at 3.4, while Fortaleza FC sit at 2.

Jaguares have the higher yellow-card average at 3.4, while Fortaleza.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 3.5 Cards is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Jaguares have the higher yellow-card average at 3.4, while Fortaleza FC sit at 2. The card line needs match pressure and repeated duels; a controlled game state would weaken the booking angle.

Main risk

The card line needs match pressure and repeated duels; a controlled game state would weaken the booking angle.

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Cards evidence

Jaguares have the higher yellow-card average at 3.4, while Fortaleza FC sit at 2.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Cards notes

  • Compare both yellow-card averages before treating the card line as value.
  • Check whether match pressure is likely to create fouls and recovery challenges.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Jaguares2.8
Avg corners for
Fortaleza FC2
Jaguares10.2
Avg total corners
Fortaleza FC6.25
Jaguares3.4
Avg yellow cards
Fortaleza FC2
Jaguares8
Avg shots
Fortaleza FC11.75

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Jaguares1.4
Avg goals scored
Fortaleza FC1.2
Jaguares1.4
Avg goals conceded
Fortaleza FC1.2
Jaguares60%
BTTS rate
Fortaleza FC60%
Jaguares40%
Over 2.5 goals
Fortaleza FC60%

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Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Jaguares

DDWDL
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
06 Sep 2026A Junior3-3
29 Aug 2026H America de Cali2-2
21 Aug 2026H Chico1-0
10 Aug 2026H Once Caldas1-1
06 Aug 2026A Internacional de Bogota0-1

Fortaleza FC

DLDLW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
06 Sep 2026A Santa Fe2-2
02 Sep 2026H Once Caldas1-2
26 Aug 2026A Chico0-0
23 Aug 2026H Atletico Nacional1-2
08 Aug 2026H Cucuta2-0

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Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Jaguares wins
0Draws
3Fortaleza FC wins
05 Mar 2026Fortaleza FC v Jaguares2-1
08 Oct 2024Fortaleza FC v Jaguares3-1
24 Mar 2024Jaguares v Fortaleza FC0-1
03 Jul 2016Jaguares v Fortaleza FC1-0
30 Jan 2016Fortaleza FC v Jaguares1-2

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Season team stats

Primera A

Jaguares26
Played
Fortaleza FC27
Jaguares1
Avg goals for
Fortaleza FC1.1
Jaguares1.7
Avg goals against
Fortaleza FC1.4
Jaguares5
Clean sheets
Fortaleza FC6

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League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
15Fortaleza FC2219577-5
16Jaguares18195311-13
14Fortaleza FC78143-2
16Jaguares67133-5
Jaguares sit in position 16, while Fortaleza FC sit in position 14, so table pressure belongs in the Over 3.5 Cards assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Jaguares Over 2.5
60%Fortaleza FC Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Jaguares sit at 40% and Fortaleza FC sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.