Santa Fe

Deportes Tolima

Primera A | Sat 12 Sep, 02:30

Santa Fe v Deportes Tolima Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Santa Fe face Deportes Tolima in Primera A on Sat 12 Sep, 02:30. Santa Fe come in with 9 recent points and 1.6 goals per match, while Deportes Tolima have 10 points and 1.6 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

At 2, Both Teams to Score implies roughly 50%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 65%.
Santa Fe show a 60% BTTS rate and Deportes Tolima show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Santa Fe average 1.6 goals scored and Deportes Tolima average 1.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 65% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price. Santa Fe show a 60% BTTS rate and Deportes Tolima show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price65% model chance against roughly 50% implied

Strong positive

Santa Fe show a 60% BTTS rate and Deportes Tolima.Visible data support

Positive

Santa Fe average 1.6 goals scored and Deportes Tolima average.Visible data support

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Santa Fe show a 60% BTTS rate and Deportes Tolima show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Santa Fe show a 60% BTTS rate and Deportes Tolima show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Santa Fe average 1.6 goals scored and Deportes Tolima average 1.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Santa Fe1.6

Avg goals scored

Deportes Tolima1.6

Santa Fe1

Avg goals conceded

Deportes Tolima1.2

Santa Fe60%

BTTS rate

Deportes Tolima80%

Santa Fe40%

Over 2.5 goals

Deportes Tolima80%

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 2

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%

2.4

Check odds @ 2.4

Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 35%

4.5

Check odds @ 4.5

Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

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Useful next reads

corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles stats dashboard football analysis hub prediction centre best bets research acca fixture filtering

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 2

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Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 62%

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%

2.4

Check odds @ 2.4

Deportes Tolima to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%

3.2

Check odds @ 3.2

Deportes Tolima Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Santa Fe to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

Santa Fe Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 50%

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Santa Fe5

Avg corners for

Deportes Tolima7

Santa Fe9.5

Avg total corners

Deportes Tolima11.5

Santa Fe1.5

Avg yellow cards

Deportes Tolima3.5

Santa Fe15

Avg shots

Deportes Tolima14

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 62% vs implied 53% · edge +9.2 pts

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Santa Fe

DWDDW

Last 52W 3D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 103W 6D 1L

06 Sep 2026H Fortaleza FC2-2

03 Sep 2026H Millonarios3-2

30 Aug 2026A Junior1-1

23 Aug 2026H America de Cali0-0

08 Aug 2026H Chico2-0

Deportes Tolima

WWDWL

Last 53W 1D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 106W 1D 3L

08 Sep 2026A Llaneros2-1

01 Sep 2026H Cucuta2-1

22 Aug 2026H Bucaramanga0-0

09 Aug 2026H Internacional de Bogota2-1

05 Aug 2026H Independiente Medellin2-3

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 64% · edge +9.5 pts

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

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Deportes Tolima to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%

3.2

Check odds @ 3.2

Deportes Tolima Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 69%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Santa Fe to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

Santa Fe Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 50%

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Santa Fe wins

4Draws

3Deportes Tolima wins

05 Apr 2026Deportes Tolima v Santa Fe2-2

29 Nov 2025Deportes Tolima v Santa Fe1-0

26 Nov 2025Santa Fe v Deportes Tolima1-2

19 Jul 2025Deportes Tolima v Santa Fe0-1

01 Feb 2025Santa Fe v Deportes Tolima0-0

01 Oct 2024Deportes Tolima v Santa Fe0-0

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 2

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%

2.4

Check odds @ 2.4

Deportes Tolima to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%

3.2

Check odds @ 3.2

Santa Fe to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Primera A

Santa Fe30

Played

Deportes Tolima0

Santa Fe1.5

Avg goals for

Deportes Tolima-

Santa Fe1.1

Avg goals against

Deportes Tolima-

Santa Fe5

Clean sheets

Deportes Tolima-

Best odds for this sectionDeportes Tolima to WinBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 31% · edge +12.9 pts

3.2

Check odds @ 3.2

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Deportes Tolima Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Santa Fe to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

Santa Fe Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 50%

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

Season data supports Deportes Tolima to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Santa Fe Over 2.5

80%Deportes Tolima Over 2.5

1.6H2H avg goals

The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Santa Fe sit at 40% and Deportes Tolima sit at 80% with the H2H average at 1.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Santa Fe v Deportes Tolima Stats

Match Report

Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Santa Fe

Deportes Tolima

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Football Stats Hub

Santa Fe v Deportes Tolima Stats

Match Report

Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Santa Fe

Deportes Tolima

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Prediction context

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