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Criciuma crestCriciuma
v
Sport Recife crestSport Recife

Serie B | Sat 04 Jul, 20:00

Criciuma v Sport Recife Stats

Data last updated: Mon 27 Jul 2026, 01:37 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Criciuma face Sport Recife in Serie B on Sat 04 Jul, 20:00. Criciúma have secured consecutive 1-0 victories coming into this fixture and have managed three 1-0 scorelines in their past six home appearances, lining up perfectly with Sport Recife’s solid 0.73 concession average.

BT4Y best bet

Is placed on either a home win (1), a draw (X), or an away win (2) at the conclusion of standard duration

  • At 19/20, Is placed on either a home win (1), a draw (X), or an away win (2) at the conclusion of standard duration implies roughly 51%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • They are not blowing teams away, but they are not allowing opponents much room to breathe either.
  • Criciuma have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 6 for Sport Recife.
  • Criciuma have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Is placed on either a home win (1), a draw (X), or an away win (2) at the conclusion of.
  • Criciuma sit 1 in the table, while Sport Recife sit 9, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for Is placed on either a home win (1), a draw (X), or an away win (2) at the conclusion of standard duration sits against roughly 51% implied by the current price. Criciuma have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 6 for Sport Recife. They are not blowing teams away, but they are not allowing opponents much room to breathe either.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 51% implied
Strong positive
Criciuma have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points.Visible data support
Positive
Criciuma have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
They are not blowing teams away, but they are.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Criciuma Win is the preferred angle because they are not blowing teams away, but they are not allowing opponents much room to breathe either. Criciuma have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 6 for Sport Recife. That mixture tells us Sport have not been flying, but they remain competitive in tight games.

Main risk

That mixture tells us Sport have not been flying, but they remain competitive in tight games.

Key Data Signals

Is placed on either a home win (1), a draw (X), or an away win (2) at the conclusion of standard duration evidence

They are not blowing teams away, but they are not allowing opponents much room to breathe either.

Criciuma have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 6 for Sport Recife.

Criciuma have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Criciuma Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Criciuma sit 1 in the table, while Sport Recife sit 9, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Is placed on either a home win (1), a draw (X), or an away win (2) at the conclusion of standard duration notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Criciuma1.2
    Avg goals scored
    Sport Recife1
    Criciuma0.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Sport Recife0.8
    Criciuma40%
    BTTS rate
    Sport Recife60%
    Criciuma20%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Sport Recife20%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 50% · edge +13.3 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
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    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Criciuma

    WWDWW
    Last 54W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 5D 0L
    27 Jun 2026H São Bernardo1-0
    24 Jun 2026A America Mineiro1-0
    16 Jun 2026H Ceara1-1
    06 Jun 2026H Londrina1-0
    30 May 2026A Avai2-1

    Sport Recife

    LDDDW
    Last 51W 3D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 3D 2L
    28 Jun 2026A Fortaleza EC1-2
    19 Jun 2026H Atletico Goianiense1-1
    14 Jun 2026A São Bernardo0-0
    11 Jun 2026H Athletic Club1-1
    31 May 2026H Nautico Recife2-0
    Market aligned with main pickCriciuma to WinBetUK guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
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    Criciuma Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
    1.52
    Check odds @ 1.52
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Criciuma4020117211
    9Sport Recife281961036
    Criciuma sit in position 1, while Sport Recife sit in position 9, so table pressure belongs in the Is placed on either a home win (1), a draw (X), or an away win (2) at the conclusion of standard duration assessment.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickCriciuma to WinBetUK guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
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    Criciuma Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
    1.52
    Check odds @ 1.52
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 69%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Criciuma to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Criciuma6.6
    Avg corners for
    Sport Recife6.4
    Criciuma9.2
    Avg total corners
    Sport Recife10.2
    Criciuma1.8
    Avg yellow cards
    Sport Recife2.6
    Criciuma14.2
    Avg shots
    Sport Recife15.2
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 64% · edge -0.8 pts
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 69%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 5.5 CardsBetMGM guide price
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Criciuma wins
    4Draws
    2Sport Recife wins
    10 Sep 2023Sport Recife v Criciuma3-3
    25 May 2023Criciuma v Sport Recife1-0
    03 Aug 2022Sport Recife v Criciuma1-1
    23 Apr 2022Criciuma v Sport Recife1-1
    09 Nov 2019Sport Recife v Criciuma1-0
    11 Aug 2019Criciuma v Sport Recife1-0
    Market aligned with main pickCriciuma to WinBetUK guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
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    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Criciuma to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Serie B

    Criciuma20
    Played
    Sport Recife19
    Criciuma1.2
    Avg goals for
    Sport Recife1.3
    Criciuma0.6
    Avg goals against
    Sport Recife0.9
    Criciuma10
    Clean sheets
    Sport Recife7
    Market aligned with main pickCriciuma to WinBetUK guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Load more odds for this section
    Criciuma Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
    1.52
    Check odds @ 1.52
    Season data supports Criciuma to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    20%Criciuma Over 2.5
    20%Sport Recife Over 2.5
    2.38H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Criciuma sit at 20% and Sport Recife sit at 20% with the H2H average at 2.38 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Criciuma v Sport Recife prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

    More stats pages

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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