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Coritiba crestCoritiba
v
Chapecoense-sc crestChapecoense-sc

Serie A | Sun 09 Aug, 00:30

Coritiba v Chapecoense-sc Stats

Data last updated: Sat 08 Aug 2026, 08:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Coritiba and Chapecoense-sc meet in a Serie A clash where both teams have shown a tendency for open games. Coritiba, positioned mid-table, have struggled defensively but maintain a moderate attacking threat, while Chapecoense-sc, near the bottom, have conceded heavily but also push forward with some intent. Recent matches suggest a contest with offensive opportunities on both sides, as defensive vulnerabilities and attacking ambitions combine to set the stage for a potentially high-scoring encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals this season.
  • Coritiba averages 14.5 shots per game with 2 on target, indicating attacking activity.
  • Chapecoense-sc concedes 2.2 goals per game, highlighting defensive frailties.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.7 across 10 meetings, supporting a goal-rich fixture.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model estimates a 61.6% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, supported by both teams' attacking tendencies and defensive weaknesses. Coritiba's average shots and Chapecoense-sc's high goals conceded rate suggest a match prone to multiple goals. The consistent Over 2.5 rate of 60% for both sides and an average of 2.7 goals in their last 10 meetings reinforce this expectation. No price warning is needed, and the data quality is solid with comprehensive stats for both teams.

Model Chance61.6%
Strong positive
Coritiba Over 2.5 Rate60%
Positive
Chapecoense-sc Over 2.5 Rate60%
Positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals2.7
Positive
Defensive WeaknessesCoritiba 1.8, Chapecoense-sc 2.2 goals conceded per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with attacking intent from both sides, as Coritiba's offensive efforts meet Chapecoense-sc's defensive vulnerabilities. The data indicates a strong likelihood of multiple goals, making Over 2.5 Goals a fitting selection for this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and tactical openness

“Coritiba's willingness to attack combined with Chapecoense-sc's defensive struggles sets up a scenario ripe for goals. The average goals in their meetings and current form underline the potential for a lively, high-scoring match.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals this season.

Coritiba averages 14.5 shots per game with 2 on target, indicating attacking activity.

Chapecoense-sc concedes 2.2 goals per game, highlighting defensive frailties.

Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.7 across 10 meetings, supporting a goal-rich fixture.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.7, indicating a historical trend toward matches with multiple goals.
  • This trend, combined with recent Over 2.5 rates and attacking styles, points to a fixture likely to feature a lively tempo and several scoring opportunities.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Coritiba4
Avg corners for
Chapecoense-sc3.5
Coritiba9
Avg total corners
Chapecoense-sc12
Coritiba1
Avg yellow cards
Chapecoense-sc2
Coritiba13.5
Avg shots
Chapecoense-sc9
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 58% · edge +10.5 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Coritiba averages 4 corners per game and 14.5 shots with 2 on target, indicating sustained attacking pressure. Chapecoense-sc offers 3.5 corners and 10.5 shots with 3.5 on target, showing they can create chances despite defensive issues. The card count is low for Coritiba but higher for Chapecoense-sc, hinting at a physical contest that could influence game flow and shot opportunities.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Coritiba0.8
Avg goals scored
Chapecoense-sc0.6
Coritiba1.8
Avg goals conceded
Chapecoense-sc2.2
Coritiba40%
BTTS rate
Chapecoense-sc40%
Coritiba60%
Over 2.5 goals
Chapecoense-sc60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 51% · edge +10.3 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 80%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 47%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Both teams have a 60% rate of Over 2.5 Goals matches this season, with Coritiba scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.8 goals per game, and Chapecoense-sc scoring 0.6 while conceding 2.2. The head-to-head average of 2.7 goals per game further suggests that matches between these sides tend to be goal-rich affairs.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 51% · edge +10.3 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Chapecoense-sc Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Coritiba to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Coritiba Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Chapecoense-sc to WinBetMGM guide price · model 25%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The Over 2.5 Goals market is supported by a above 60%, reflecting both teams' tendencies for open play and goal concessions. The price appears reasonable with no warning flags, indicating a balanced opportunity rather than a value overload, making it a sensible choice for bettors seeking goal markets.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Coritiba

LDLLW
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
31 Jul 2026H Cruzeiro0-1
26 Jul 2026A RB Bragantino0-0
22 Jul 2026H Palmeiras1-3
30 May 2026A Flamengo0-3
26 May 2026H Bahia3-2

Chapecoense-sc

DLLLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 8L
25 Jul 2026A Santos2-2
23 Jul 2026H Flamengo0-4
17 Jul 2026A Bahia0-2
31 May 2026A Palmeiras0-1
24 May 2026A Cruzeiro1-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 84% vs implied 88% · edge -3.6 pts
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Load more odds for this section
Chapecoense-sc Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Coritiba to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Coritiba Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Chapecoense-sc to WinBetMGM guide price · model 25%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Recent form shows Coritiba earning 4 points with a 60% Over 2.5 rate, while Chapecoense-sc has 1 point and the same Over 2.5 rate, indicating both teams have been involved in matches with multiple goals. This shared trend supports expectations for a high-scoring encounter in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Coritiba wins
2Draws
4Chapecoense-sc wins
11 Feb 2026Chapecoense-sc v Coritiba3-3
09 Aug 2025Coritiba v Chapecoense-sc0-0
12 Apr 2025Chapecoense-sc v Coritiba1-2
17 Nov 2024Chapecoense-sc v Coritiba2-1
27 Jul 2024Coritiba v Chapecoense-sc1-0
03 Dec 2017Chapecoense-sc v Coritiba2-1
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 51% · edge +10.3 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Coritiba to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Chapecoense-sc to WinBetMGM guide price · model 25%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The 10 previous meetings between Coritiba and Chapecoense-sc have averaged 2.7 goals per game, showing a consistent pattern of goal-rich encounters. This historical data supports the expectation of multiple goals in the upcoming match, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals selection.
Season team stats

Serie A

Coritiba21
Played
Chapecoense-sc21
Coritiba1.2
Avg goals for
Chapecoense-sc1
Coritiba1.3
Avg goals against
Chapecoense-sc2
Coritiba6
Clean sheets
Chapecoense-sc1
Best odds for this sectionChapecoense-sc Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 42% vs implied 30% · edge +11.7 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
Coritiba to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Coritiba Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Chapecoense-sc to WinBetMGM guide price · model 25%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Season-long statistics reveal Coritiba’s attack produces nearly one goal per game but concedes 1.8, while Chapecoense-sc scores slightly less but concedes over two goals per match. Both teams’ defensive records suggest vulnerabilities that opponents can exploit, increasing the likelihood of a match with more than 2.5 goals.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
11Coritiba2721768-3
20Chapecoense-sc10201712-22
Coritiba sits 11th with 27 points, comfortably mid-table, while Chapecoense-sc is 20th with 10 points, facing relegation pressure. The standings context suggests Chapecoense-sc may need to take risks to improve their position, potentially opening the game up and contributing to a higher goal count.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Coritiba Over 2.5
60%Chapecoense-sc Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.7, indicating a historical trend toward matches with multiple goals. This trend, combined with recent Over 2.5 rates and attacking styles, points to a fixture likely to feature a lively tempo and several scoring opportunities.

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