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Cruzeiro crestCruzeiro
v
Mirassol crestMirassol

Serie A | Sun 09 Aug, 15:00

Cruzeiro v Mirassol Stats

Data last updated: Sat 08 Aug 2026, 08:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cruzeiro and Mirassol meet in a Serie A clash where both sides have shown balanced recent form, each securing 10 points in their last five matches. Both teams average 6.4 and 5.33 corners per game respectively, indicating a likely high corner count. Cruzeiro's slightly higher shot volume and Mirassol's disciplined defensive record suggest a tactical battle with sustained wing play and set-piece opportunities. The fixture's mid-table stakes add intensity, with both teams pushing for points and territorial advantage, setting the stage for a contest rich in corner opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Over 8.5 Corners

  • Cruzeiro averages 6.4 corners per game, Mirassol 5.33, supporting a high corner count.
  • Both teams have similar recent form with 10 points each in last five matches.
  • Cruzeiro's attacking play generates 17.2 shots per game, increasing corner chances.
  • Mirassol's defensive solidity leads to frequent forced clearances and corners.
  • Historical H2H shows an average of 3 goals per match, indicating open play and wing pressure.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 75% chance for over 8.5 corners based on both teams' attacking and defensive patterns. Cruzeiro's high shot volume and Mirassol's tendency to concede corners under pressure create a fertile environment for numerous set-piece situations. The corner averages for both sides combined exceed 11 per game, reinforcing the likelihood of surpassing 8.5 corners. This pick aligns with the tactical dynamics of the match, where wing play and defensive clearances are expected to generate frequent corner kicks.

Cruzeiro Average Corners6.4 per game
Strong positive
Mirassol Average Corners5.33 per game
Strong positive
Combined Corner PotentialOver 11 corners per game
Strong positive
Model Confidence75% chance
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match where both teams seek to control wide areas, leading to numerous corner situations. Cruzeiro's higher attacking output combined with Mirassol's defensive resilience suggests a tactical game with frequent wing deliveries and clearances. This should translate into a corner count comfortably exceeding 8.5, making this an attractive angle for set-piece-focused bettors.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“The corner count stands out as a key tactical battleground in this fixture, with both teams' styles and recent stats pointing towards a high volume of corners. The sustained wing pressure and defensive clearances will be decisive.”

Key Data Signals

Over 8.5 Corners evidence

Cruzeiro averages 6.4 corners per game, Mirassol 5.33, supporting a high corner count.

Both teams have similar recent form with 10 points each in last five matches.

Cruzeiro's attacking play generates 17.2 shots per game, increasing corner chances.

Mirassol's defensive solidity leads to frequent forced clearances and corners.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 8.5 Corners notes

  • Over the last three head-to-head matches, an average of 3 goals per game has been recorded, indicating open play and attacking intent.
  • This trend, combined with recent form, suggests a tempo that favors wing attacks and transitions, which typically generate higher corner counts, supporting the over 8.5 corners angle.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Cruzeiro6.4
Avg corners for
Mirassol4.8
Cruzeiro9.6
Avg total corners
Mirassol10.2
Cruzeiro2.8
Avg yellow cards
Mirassol1.8
Cruzeiro17.2
Avg shots
Mirassol11
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 55% · edge +6.3 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Cruzeiro's average of 6.4 corners and Mirassol's 5.33 combined with Cruzeiro's 17.2 shots per game and Mirassol's 10.67 shots suggest sustained attacking pressure and territorial battles. The card averages (2.8 for Cruzeiro, 1.33 for Mirassol) reflect a moderately physical game, likely leading to fouls and set-piece opportunities that contribute to corner counts.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cruzeiro1.2
Avg goals scored
Mirassol1.2
Cruzeiro0.8
Avg goals conceded
Mirassol0.8
Cruzeiro60%
BTTS rate
Mirassol60%
Cruzeiro40%
Over 2.5 goals
Mirassol40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Both teams have a moderate goal-scoring rate with 1.2 goals per game and a 40% over 2.5 goals rate, suggesting controlled scoring rather than open goal-fests. The BTTS rate at 60% indicates occasional clean sheets, supporting a scenario where goals come with structured defensive phases, aligning with a tactical game that produces corners through wing play rather than frequent goals.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionMirassol Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 30% · edge +15 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Mirassol to WinBetUK guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Cruzeiro to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Cruzeiro Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
The Over 8.5 Corners market is priced with a solid 75% , reflecting strong statistical backing from both teams' corner averages. The current market status suggests a standard stake approach without significant price sensitivity, indicating a well-balanced value proposition based on recent data.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cruzeiro

WLWDW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
31 Jul 2026A Coritiba1-0
26 Jul 2026H Botafogo0-1
23 Jul 2026A Internacional2-1
01 Jun 2026H Fluminense1-1
24 May 2026H Chapecoense-sc2-1

Mirassol

WDWLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
29 Jul 2026H Remo2-1
26 Jul 2026A Vasco DA Gama1-1
18 Jul 2026H Gremio2-1
30 May 2026A Atletico Paranaense0-1
23 May 2026H Fluminense1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Mirassol Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Mirassol to WinBetUK guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Cruzeiro to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Cruzeiro Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Both teams have earned 10 points in their last five matches, showing balanced momentum. Cruzeiro's higher shot and corner averages indicate a more aggressive approach, while Mirassol's defensive discipline suggests they will absorb pressure, likely resulting in frequent corners as Cruzeiro presses for openings.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Cruzeiro wins
2Draws
0Mirassol wins
11 Feb 2026Mirassol v Cruzeiro2-2
19 Aug 2025Mirassol v Cruzeiro1-1
29 Mar 2025Cruzeiro v Mirassol2-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Load more odds for this section
Mirassol to WinBetUK guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Cruzeiro to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The three recent meetings between Cruzeiro and Mirassol have averaged 3 goals per match, reflecting open and competitive encounters. While the sample is limited, the attacking nature of these fixtures supports a game with active wing play and defensive pressure, factors that contribute to a higher corner count in this matchup.
Season team stats

Serie A

Cruzeiro21
Played
Mirassol20
Cruzeiro1.3
Avg goals for
Mirassol1.2
Cruzeiro1.4
Avg goals against
Mirassol1.4
Cruzeiro5
Clean sheets
Mirassol1
Best odds for this sectionMirassol Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 30% · edge +15 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
Mirassol to WinBetUK guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Cruzeiro to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Cruzeiro Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Season-long data shows Cruzeiro averaging 6.4 corners and Mirassol 5.33, with combined corner counts regularly surpassing 11 per game. This sustained pattern supports the expectation of over 8.5 corners in this fixture, reflecting consistent wing play and defensive clearances throughout the campaign.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7Cruzeiro3021867-3
15Mirassol2320659-4
Cruzeiro sits 7th and Mirassol 14th in the Serie A standings, with points totals reflecting competitive mid-table positioning. The stakes for both teams to secure points encourage proactive play and territorial battles, increasing the likelihood of set-piece situations such as corners as each side seeks to assert control.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Cruzeiro Over 2.5
40%Mirassol Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Over the last three head-to-head matches, an average of 3 goals per game has been recorded, indicating open play and attacking intent. This trend, combined with recent form, suggests a tempo that favors wing attacks and transitions, which typically generate higher corner counts, supporting the over 8.5 corners angle.

Related football research

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Prediction context

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