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Botafogo crestBotafogo
v
Fluminense crestFluminense

Serie A | Sun 09 Aug, 01:00

Botafogo v Fluminense Stats

Data last updated: Tue 08 Sep 2026, 20:18 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Botafogo face Fluminense in Serie A on Sun 09 Aug, 01:00. Luis Zubeldia’s team return to league duty after Wednesday’s 3-1 Copa do Brasil defeat to Vasco da Gama completed a draining two-legged elimination.

BT4Y best bet

Botafogo FR to win and both teams to score

  • At 10/3, Botafogo FR to win and both teams to score implies roughly 23%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 31%.
  • Botafogo and Fluminense both carry scoring threat, but the result leg still demands a clear winner.
  • Botafogo need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Botafogo on 8 and Fluminense on 4.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 60% for Botafogo and 60% for Fluminense.
  • Botafogo FR to win and both teams to score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1 for Botafogo and 0.6 for Fluminense are central to the read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 31% for Botafogo FR to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 23% implied by the current price. Botafogo need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Botafogo on 8 and Fluminense on 4. Botafogo and Fluminense both carry scoring threat, but the result leg still demands a clear winner.

Model chance vs price31% model chance against roughly 23% implied
Positive
Botafogo need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Botafogo and Fluminense both carry scoring threat, but the.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Botafogo Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because botafogo and Fluminense both carry scoring threat, but the result leg still demands a clear winner. Botafogo need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Botafogo on 8 and Fluminense on 4. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Botafogo FR to win and both teams to score evidence

Botafogo and Fluminense both carry scoring threat, but the result leg still demands a clear winner.

Botafogo need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Botafogo on 8 and Fluminense on 4.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 60% for Botafogo and 60% for Fluminense.

Botafogo Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1 for Botafogo and 0.6 for Fluminense are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Botafogo FR to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Botafogo1
Avg goals scored
Fluminense0.6
Botafogo0.8
Avg goals conceded
Fluminense0.8
Botafogo60%
BTTS rate
Fluminense60%
Botafogo40%
Over 2.5 goals
Fluminense0%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 56% · edge +10.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 38%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBotafogo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 57% · edge +14.1 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Botafogo to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 38%
2
Check odds @ 2
Botafogo Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Serie A hubfull betting preview for Botafogo v Fluminensecorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Botafogo4.4
Avg corners for
Fluminense6
Botafogo10.6
Avg total corners
Fluminense10.6
Botafogo3.6
Avg yellow cards
Fluminense2.4
Botafogo14.2
Avg shots
Fluminense15.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 56% · edge +13.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Botafogo

WDWLD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
26 Jul 2026A Cruzeiro1-0
23 Jul 2026H Vitoria0-0
16 Jul 2026H Santos2-1
30 May 2026A Bahia1-2
23 May 2026A Sao Paulo1-1

Fluminense

DDDDL
Last 50W 4D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 5D 2L
30 Jul 2026H Bahia0-0
26 Jul 2026A Gremio1-1
18 Jul 2026H RB Bragantino1-1
01 Jun 2026A Cruzeiro1-1
23 May 2026A Mirassol0-1
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 86% vs implied 75% · edge +10.8 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
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Botafogo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Botafogo to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

7Botafogo wins
0Draws
3Fluminense wins
12 Feb 2026Fluminense v Botafogo1-0
01 Feb 2026Botafogo v Fluminense0-1
28 Sep 2025Fluminense v Botafogo2-0
27 Apr 2025Botafogo v Fluminense2-0
30 Jan 2025Botafogo v Fluminense2-1
21 Sep 2024Fluminense v Botafogo0-1
Market aligned with main pickBotafogo to WinBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 38%
2
Check odds @ 2
The head-to-head sample gives context for Botafogo to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie A

Botafogo25
Played
Fluminense26
Botafogo1.5
Avg goals for
Fluminense1.5
Botafogo1.6
Avg goals against
Fluminense1.2
Botafogo4
Clean sheets
Fluminense5
Market aligned with main pickBotafogo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 57% · edge +14.1 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Botafogo to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Season data supports Botafogo Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Fluminense452612958
14Botafogo31258710-3
Botafogo sit in position 14, while Fluminense sit in position 4, so table pressure belongs in the Botafogo FR to win and both teams to score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Botafogo Over 2.5
0%Fluminense Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Botafogo sit at 40% and Fluminense sit at 0% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Botafogo v Fluminense prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Competition and hubs

Serie A hubSerie A hubfull betting preview for Botafogo v Fluminensecorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football stats

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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